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-   -   Bruce Weber on the Hot Seat - Possible Coaching Replacements (http://www.illinoisloyalty.com/Forums/showthread.php?t=17593)

Jani Lane Feb 28, 2012 12:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HeartofaChampion (Post 533439)
Second in the CAA with a young squad is very good. 5th isn't, but reaching the FF more than made up for that. Postseason success is more important to most fans, me included, than conference finishes.

Oh I agree FF matters more than where you finished in the conference. The tourney is really all that matters. That being said, which coach seems more likely to maintain a successful program:

Coach A: Wins his conference almost every year, hasn't made final four yet.
Coach B: Never wins his conference and doesn't even make the tourney half the time but did make a FF one year.

HeartofaChampion Feb 28, 2012 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jani Lane (Post 533436)
I never said he was my top candidate but no, not really. It could be a very young team learning their way. In 5 years, he's finished 1st 4 times and he is 3rd this year. Very impressive resume.

I'd love to see him interested in UI, but until I hear otherwise, I think he's going to politely say no thanks if he gets that call from MT. Not sure why, but he seems to be holding out hope for a pie in the sky position that probably won't happen for a long time.

HeartofaChampion Feb 28, 2012 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jani Lane (Post 533447)
Oh I agree FF matters more than where you finished in the conference. The tourney is really all that matters. That being said, which coach seems more likely to maintain a successful program:

Coach A: Wins his conference almost every year, hasn't made final four yet.
Coach B: Never wins his conference and doesn't even make the tourney half the time but did make a FF one year.

Get what you're saying, but SS seems to have VCU trending upward with the FF run followed by a 2nd-place 23-win season so far. Wouldn't be surprised if he wins the CAA next year since they have a young squad this year, provided he stays, of course.

Plus, I don't want UI to become like PU was under Keady: 6 B1G titles in 25 years or so but no FF appearances.

jhayton Feb 28, 2012 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HeartofaChampion (Post 533279)
After nearly 6 seasons of B1G and NCAA Tournament mediocrity and 9 losses in 10 games to land us in the bottom third of the conference this year, BW has run out of second chances. He's a good coach, good ambassador for the program and will do well in his next coaching gig, but his continued employment at UI can't keep relying on future potential to extend his stay. If we don't make the Dance next month, we'll have missed the tourney 3 out of the last 5 years. That shouldn't happen at UI.

+1. Extremely well stated.

bombayIllini Feb 28, 2012 12:46 PM

Sean Miller.

That would be a get, if it is possible at all.

Jcool Feb 28, 2012 01:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HeartofaChampion (Post 533450)
Get what you're saying, but SS seems to have VCU trending upward with the FF run followed by a 2nd-place 23-win season so far. Wouldn't be surprised if he wins the CAA next year since they have a young squad this year, provided he stays, of course.

Plus, I don't want UI to become like PU was under Keady: 6 B1G titles in 25 years or so but no FF appearances.

You cant be trending upward when your first NCAA is a FF followed by, as of right now, not making the Tournament. As you said tournament success is what matters.

HeartofaChampion Feb 28, 2012 01:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jcool (Post 533461)
You cant be trending upward when your first NCAA is a FF followed by, as of right now, not making the Tournament. As you said tournament success is what matters.

Uh, if you expect him to reach the FF each year, then sure, he and every other coach in America will fail to trend upward. But he's certainly trending upward in the CAA this year with a 2nd-place team that's one of the youngest in the league. I wish we could say the same about our team.

Jcool Feb 28, 2012 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HeartofaChampion (Post 533463)
Uh, if you expect him to reach the FF each year, then sure, he and every other coach in America will fail to trend upward. But he's certainly trending upward in the CAA this year with a 2nd-place team that's one of the youngest in the league. I wish we could say the same about our team.

never said you have to make FF every year but to follow up a FF run with an NIT bid is a step back.

jhayton Feb 28, 2012 01:21 PM

RW and UNC won a national title in 2009 and then made the NIT (and won that) in 2010.

Jcool Feb 28, 2012 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jhayton (Post 533467)
RW and UNC won a national title in 2009 and then made the NIT (and won that) in 2010.

They didnt win that, Dayton did.

DrewD007 Feb 28, 2012 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jhayton (Post 533467)
RW and UNC won a national title in 2009 and then made the NIT (and won that) in 2010.

UNC made the finals but lost to Dayton in the 2010 NIT.

ryls Feb 28, 2012 01:40 PM

I am still holding out hope for a miracle run and Weber being retained, but if he is let go, Howard must be retained, the new coach should want to keep him and Thomas should strongly encourage the new coach to do so. Thomas needs to reach out to Howard when Weber is let go and told how important he is and we want to keep him, I know coaches want to pick their own staff but Howard should stay and the new coach brings in the rest of his staff. I see absolutely no positive to letting him go and the new coach bring in his own recruiter who may have no relationships with the 13 and 14 recruits. I know it might be a turnoff to tell the new coach Jerrance is staying but I would make that part of the deal.

4LaCosaNostra Feb 28, 2012 01:48 PM

weber had to or agreed to keep Mcclain.. the next coach would be a fool not to agree with keeping jhoward on the staff.. its more the case of jhoward having all the snakes come after him with big money if weber is fired.. you can expect his phone to be ringing off the hook from some bigtime / elite schools..kentucky for one

BrooksTaylorFan Feb 28, 2012 01:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 4LaCosaNostra (Post 533483)
weber had to or agreed to keep Mcclain.. the next coach would be a fool not to agree with keeping jhoward on the staff.. its more the case of jhoward having all the snakes come after him with big money if weber is fired.. you can expect his phone to be ringing off the hook from some bigtime / elite schools..kentucky for one

I would lose a lot of respect for Howard if he goes and joins Calapari's staff.

IlliniSteve Feb 28, 2012 01:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bombayIllini (Post 533453)
Sean Miller.

That would be a get, if it is possible at all.

I don't think that's possible at all. Arizona's a good place to be. And he's got 2 five star recruits coming in along with two 4 stars. He's doing just fine where he's at.

At best, Arizona to Illinois is a lateral move

Groundhogday Feb 28, 2012 01:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HeartofaChampion (Post 533463)
Uh, if you expect him to reach the FF each year, then sure, he and every other coach in America will fail to trend upward. But he's certainly trending upward in the CAA this year with a 2nd-place team that's one of the youngest in the league. I wish we could say the same about our team.

  • Per Sagarin, VCU and Illinois are roughly equal this year.
  • VCU is even younger than Illinois.
  • Illinois generally signs more "sought after" recruits given our tradition and membership in the Big 10.
Take as a whole, Smart has done an impressive job this year. Though he hasn't landed highly ranked classes at VCU, he seems to know how to identify the guys he needs to be successful (something Weber never mastered). While fans tend to overvalue a tournament run, they might undervalue the kind of season VCU has had this year if Smart doesn't make another run in the tournament.

IlliniSteve Feb 28, 2012 02:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jcool (Post 533464)
never said you have to make FF every year but to follow up a FF run with an NIT bid is a step back.

He's at VCU. Making the NIT should be a positive step for them...making the final four was probably an unreal feeling.

And it's not like he's struggled this year either. His team is 25-6. 15-3 in conference. Drexel's having a great season or else they'd be a shoe into the tournament.

And oh yeah, Smart lost 4 starters from last year's final four team. One returning starter. I'd say doing what he did this year is one hell of an accomplishment.

This guy can coach. The players buy into his system and love him. He's young, charismatic and smart. Instead of feeling sorry for himself and crying to the media after the game he seems to know what to do to solve team issues. Something Weber can't seem to grasp.

4LaCosaNostra Feb 28, 2012 02:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Groundhogday (Post 533486)
  • Per Sagarin, VCU and Illinois are roughly equal this year.
  • VCU is even younger than Illinois.
  • Illinois generally signs more "sought after" recruits given our tradition and membership in the Big 10.
Take as a whole, Smart has done an impressive job this year. Though he hasn't landed highly ranked classes at VCU, he seems to know how to identify the guys he needs to be successful (something Weber never mastered). While fans tend to overvalue a tournament run, they might undervalue the kind of season VCU has had this year if Smart doesn't make another run in the tournament.

jw, does any midmajor coach land highly ranked classes? Few for the Zags has had some nice classes iirc. but not as high as webers last few that is forsure.. not to mention most believe Zags are the highest midmajor in terms of exposure, winning, and in general name recognition..
with chicago and the resources SS would have (conference and $$) recruiting would not be not much of a worry..imho.. that said, he would have to work hard, maybe retain JH, and get the job done going against elite schools coming in and raping the state for players

Groundhogday Feb 28, 2012 02:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 4LaCosaNostra (Post 533493)
jw, does any midmajor coach land highly ranked classes? Few for the Zags has had some nice classes iirc. but not as high as webers last few that is forsure.. not to mention most believe Zags are the highest midmajor in terms of exposure, winning, and in general name recognition..
with chicago and the resources SS would have (conference and $$) recruiting would not be not much of a worry..imho.. that said, he would have to work hard, maybe retain JH, and get the job done going against elite schools coming in and raping the state for players

Grant was reportedly a better recruiter than Smart. But I'm not pointing out low recruiting rankings to denigrate Smart. Rather, I'm pointing out that he has done more with less than Weber at Illinois.

4LaCosaNostra Feb 28, 2012 02:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Groundhogday (Post 533498)
Grant was reportedly a better recruiter than Smart. But I'm not pointing out low recruiting rankings to denigrate Smart. Rather, I'm pointing out that he has done more with less than Weber at Illinois.

good point!!!!sad but probably true..

jhayton Feb 28, 2012 03:10 PM

Oops. I thought they won the NIT. I am absolutely playing devil's advocate here. I believe SS is a good coach but am not sold that he is the coach for us. My list goes:

1. Jay Wright
2. Buzz Williams
3. Shaka Smart

Its really just personal preference but I would prefer a proven commodity over a relative unknown, however, if I can't get jay or buzz to leave the failing Big LEast then I want SS.

Jcool Feb 28, 2012 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IlliniSteve (Post 533489)
He's at VCU. Making the NIT should be a positive step for them...making the final four was probably an unreal feeling.

Anthony Grant made it 2 out of 3 years and Smart was just in the FF. So I really doubt the NIT would be considered a positive step for them.

cjcastan Feb 28, 2012 03:21 PM

Based on the thread here

Possibly Jay Wright &/or Ben Howland might be in play for the Illini.

Quote:

from our rivals website today...believe or not believe what you will

1) nothing new to report on Shaka the last few weeks good or bad, hoping it is a negotiating ploy but nothing out there to think this is going to happen for sure

2) Anthony Grant and another oft mentioned candidate have made it known they are not interested in the Illinois job ( Brad Stevens?)

3) a couple of surprise names have made it known they are interested in the job..they are either alumni of the school they are currently at or from the city they currently coach in...one is having a bad season and may be trying to beat getting fired

Assumed one of them is Romar and the other could be Jay Wright or Ben Howland who both fit that description....
0
I wasn't on message boards at the time of BW's hiring, was it this twisty and turny?

Mr Bread Feb 28, 2012 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jhayton (Post 533503)
Oops. I thought they won the NIT. I am absolutely playing devil's advocate here. I believe SS is a good coach but am not sold that he is the coach for us. My list goes:

1. Jay Wright
2. Buzz Williams
3. Shaka Smart

Its really just personal preference but I would prefer a proven commodity over a relative unknown, however, if I can't get jay or buzz to leave the failing Big LEast then I want SS.

What precisely has Buzz Williams proven to date in your estimation? Never won the Big east (5th, 5th and 9th his first three years). Never made it past the Sweet Sixteen.

I'm not seeing what makes him a proven commodity at this point.

DaytonIllini Feb 28, 2012 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HeartofaChampion (Post 533445)
I only know about MT contacting SS and LR at this point, but I wouldn't be surprised if he's reached out to BS's camp, too. I wouldn't be surprised, either, if BS turns him down. No inside knowledge on this one. Just a sense that UI isn't a good fit for him from a recruiting standpoint or where he wants to end up.

No offense HoC but if MT is letting it be known who he has reached out to or what their responses were, I'd have to question his sanity. Why on earth would he tell anyone that? He was so tight lipped about the football search that it seems unlikely that solid information is available on this.

I hesitate to say that because your info about practice has been so spot on and valuable. I just find it hard to believe that anyone with access to practice would also have access to what MT is talking about with coaches under contract to other institutions.

Any chance that the info is less that ideally knowledgeable? Or are you confident with this source?


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