News & Notes - January 16th

[Dan]

Projecting the 2013 Big Ten Basketball Race: January 16

Basic method
Illinois 8.88 avg wins

Margin-Aware Method
Illinois 8.01 avg wins

Illinois and Iowa are potential bubble teams, though Iowa will probably need to exceed these projections by at least a full game, maybe two, to make it.

http://www.theonlycolors.com/2013/1/...ace-january-16

Big Ten Geeks: Badgers Shock Indiana

Wisconsin now owns the most impressive result in all of college basketball after its five point win at Indiana. During the Badgers’ nonconference struggles, we Geeks wondered what was up with Wisconsin’s defense. While the Badgers were still stifling the offense of many a cupcake, they were getting lit up (in a relative sense) against tournament-level teams.

Well, it seems Bo Ryan’s squad has figured things out. Prior to last night, Indiana had not scored lower than 1.12 points per possession in Assembly Hall; Wisconsin held the Hoosiers below a point per trip. A large part of that dominance stemmed from a typical strength of Ryan’s teams–defending the three-point arc. The Badgers allow opponents to take only a quarter of their shots from three, indicating how few good looks Wisconsin allows its opponents. That perimeter defense befuddled the Hoosiers, and it kept their shooting accuracy low despite a lot of success in getting to the rim..

http://btn.com/2013/01/16/big-ten-ge...shock-indiana/

[ctblaisdell83]

Dan - from that site, using their "Basic" method, it says we have a 60% chance of winning 9 or more B1G games...assuming my addition is correct