Zags a tough matchup for Illinois

Ken Pomeroy's numbers machine predicts No. 13 Illinois has a 15 percent chance of defeating No. 10 Gonzaga in Spokane on Saturday. Pomeroy, an innovator in basketball statistics, injects no opinion or bias into his projections. Like election wunderkind Nate Silver, Pomeroy's analysis is the product of an algorithm full of statistical inputs.

Those statistics -- including offensive and defensive efficiency and adjusted tempo -- currently rank the Bulldogs (9-0) as the eighth-best team in the country. Illinois, also 9-0, is rated 42nd.

So it makes sense that Pomeroy's numbers, which predict a 76-64 Gonzaga win, project such a small chance of victory for the Illini on the road.

Jeremy Werner





Filed under: Gonzaga Bulldogs, Illini Basketball

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2017-2018 Illini Basketball

Home: 9-2 | Away: 0-7 | Neutral: 1-1
Record: 10-10 (0-7)
DateOpponentTime/TV
Fri, Nov 10SouthernW 102-55
Sun, Nov 12Tennessee-MartinW 77-74
Fri, Nov 17DePaulW 82-73
Sun, Nov 19MarshallW 91-74
Wed, Nov 22AugustanaW 96-62
Fri, Nov 24North Carolina CentralW 86-73
Tue, Nov 28@Wake ForestL 80-73
Fri, Dec 1@NorthwesternL 72-68 OT
Sun, Dec 3MarylandL 92-91 OT
Wed, Dec 6Austin PeayW 64-57
Sat, Dec 9@UNLVL 89-82
Wed, Dec 13LongwoodW 92-45
Sat, Dec 16New Mexico StateL 74-69
Sat, Dec 23MissouriW 70-64
Sat, Dec 30Grand CanyonW 62-58
Wed, Jan 3@MinnesotaL 77-67
Sat, Jan 6@MichiganL 79-69
Thu, Jan 11IowaL 104-97 OT
Mon, Jan 15@NebraskaL 64-63
Fri, Jan 19@WisconsinL 75-50
Mon, Jan 22Michigan State8:00pm FS1
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Sun, Feb 4@Ohio State11:00am FS1
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