Zags a tough matchup for Illinois

Ken Pomeroy's numbers machine predicts No. 13 Illinois has a 15 percent chance of defeating No. 10 Gonzaga in Spokane on Saturday. Pomeroy, an innovator in basketball statistics, injects no opinion or bias into his projections. Like election wunderkind Nate Silver, Pomeroy's analysis is the product of an algorithm full of statistical inputs.

Those statistics -- including offensive and defensive efficiency and adjusted tempo -- currently rank the Bulldogs (9-0) as the eighth-best team in the country. Illinois, also 9-0, is rated 42nd.

So it makes sense that Pomeroy's numbers, which predict a 76-64 Gonzaga win, project such a small chance of victory for the Illini on the road.

Jeremy Werner





Filed under: Gonzaga Bulldogs, Illini Basketball

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2017 Illini Football Schedule

DateOpponentTime/TV
Sat, Sept 2Ball State11:00am BTN
Sat, Sept 9Western Kentucky7:00pm BTN
Fri, Sept 15@USF6:00pm ESPN
Fri, Sept 29Nebraska7:00pm FS1
Sat, Oct 7@Iowa11:00am
Sat, Oct 14Rutgers 
Sat, Oct 21@Minnesota2:30pm or
3:00pm
Sat, Oct 28Wisconsin
(Homecoming)
11:00am
Sat, Nov 4@Purdue 
Sat, Nov 11Indiana 
Sat, Nov 18@Ohio State 
Sat, Nov 25Northwestern 
All times CT. Game times will be listed when announced