MSU should have more road games in the tail end of the season. Who would have thought we would be in second place now. Keep it up.
MSU by 15-20 points. Wouldn't want to play MSU immediately following Purdue.Friday nights matchup of Wisconsin at MSU is going to be must-watch TV, given where all 3 teams are sitting in the conference standings right now.
it still feels like a slight trap game
Why should we be satisfied with 4-4? Do we not want to win the BIG title! We are one game behind MSU for first place and play them at home. Looks like goal is mediocrity. We have talent to compete with anyone. Not saying the sky is falling if we don’t but we have two guys that were all BIG as freshman and one that is now sure to be. Need to raise the std back to Lou days.We need to handle Northwestern like we should 1st. Then the schedule gets nasty for the next 8 games (if we go 4-4 then great). Finish up with with winning 3 or 4 of the last 5 should put us at 20-21 wins. Good enough for bye in B10 tourney, and ticket to the dance (10-11 seed). Great turn around year, and exciting to watch.
That would put us at 13-7 or 12-8 in conference, which IMO is higher than a 10 or 11 seed, more like a 7 seed.We need to handle Northwestern like we should 1st. Then the schedule gets nasty for the next 8 games (if we go 4-4 then great). Finish up with with winning 3 or 4 of the last 5 should put us at 20-21 wins. Good enough for bye in B10 tourney, and ticket to the dance (10-11 seed). Great turn around year, and exciting to watch.
Agree with the sentiment and that would be incredible. But I’d be more than OK with us finishing the conference above 500 and making the tourney this year and continuing to progress next year. My hopes are that we get to competing for conference championship in the next couple years, but if it’s this year that would be amazing.W
Why should we be satisfied with 4-4? Do we not want to win the BIG title! We are one game behind MSU for first place and play them at home. Looks like goal is mediocrity. We have talent to compete with anyone. Not saying the sky is falling if we don’t but we have two guys that were all BIG as freshman and one that is now sure to be. Need to raise the std back to Lou days.
Glad the guys have a week off before this one, too, because as others have pointed out, this is the start of a meat grinder with no more than 4 days between any of the next 9 games. Of the 9, seven will be Q1.
Put another way, here are KenPom win odds for the next 9 games in order of chance of winning. Anyone care to guess (without looking at KP rankings) which games are which?
85% - NU
65% - Maryland
51% - Minny
46% - MSU
40% - @ Iowa
39% - @ Purdue
33% - @ Rutgers
32% - @ PSU
31% - @ Michigan
The computers project a crazy logjam in conference standings, with 10 teams in the 9 to 11 win range. One or two wins could be huge in terms of conference standings and probably NCAA seeding as well.
My stab attempt is bolded.
Glad the guys have a week off before this one, too, because as others have pointed out, this is the start of a meat grinder with no more than 4 days between any of the next 9 games. Of the 9, seven will be Q1.
Put another way, here are KenPom win odds for the next 9 games in order of chance of winning. Anyone care to guess (without looking at KP rankings) which games are which?
85% - NU
65% - Minny
51% - Maryland
46% - @ Iowa
40% - @ Purdue
39% - MSU
33% - @ Rutgers
32% - @ PSU
31% - @ Michigan
Glad the guys have a week off before this one, too, because as others have pointed out, this is the start of a meat grinder with no more than 4 days between any of the next 9 games. Of the 9, seven will be Q1.
Put another way, here are KenPom win odds for the next 9 games in order of chance of winning. Anyone care to guess (without looking at KP rankings) which games are which?
85%- NW
65% - Minnesota
51% - Maryland
46% - @ Penn St
40% - Michigan St
39% - @ Iowa
33% - @Rutgers
32% - @ Purdue
31% - @ Michigan
Let's go!!Glad the guys have a week off before this one, too, because as others have pointed out, this is the start of a meat grinder with no more than 4 days between any of the next 9 games. Of the 9, seven will be Q1.
Put another way, here are KenPom win odds for the next 9 games in order of chance of winning. Anyone care to guess (without looking at KP rankings) which games are which?
100%- NW
100% - Minnesota
100% - Maryland
100% - @ Penn St
100% - Michigan St
100% - @ Iowa
97% - @Rutgers
100% - @ Purdue
100% - @ Michigan
+1
This team hasn't handled success well, so if past patterns hold, we'll be flat. NW playing better just makes it that much more dangerous. I hope the guys have a chance to celebrate their success, but see that they're a long way from the prize. It's pretty exciting to see them fight and win games where they had problems with before. If you look at how poorly we've shot the 3 in some games, it's all the more impressive.
Props to AG! Really makes this team more dangerous the way he's been playing.
My guess to results not KPGlad the guys have a week off before this one, too, because as others have pointed out, this is the start of a meat grinder with no more than 4 days between any of the next 9 games. Of the 9, seven will be Q1.
Put another way, here are KenPom win odds for the next 9 games in order of chance of winning. Anyone care to guess (without looking at KP rankings) which games are which?
85% NW
65% Minn
51%. Maryland
46%. PU
40%. Iowa
39%. MSU
33% Michigan
32%. PSU
31%. Rutgers
Just a tidbit... Maryland was 13-7 last year and had the 6th seed.That would put us at 13-7 or 12-8 in conference, which IMO is higher than a 10 or 11 seed, more like a 7 seed....
Purdue and Miami both so close to sliding up a Q. For a bubble team 1 Q3/Q4 loss combined coupled with 1 Q2 loss seems to pretty much be the limit. Anymore than that and history shows those teams mostly go to the NIT unless they're near .500 or better in Q1.Huge game from a tournament perspective. This one, and Nebraska at home, are our only two quadrant 3 games left on the season (Neb. could actually become a Q4 depending on the rest of their season).
So far we only have one Q3 loss (Miami), and they could potentially move up to Q2. Keeping the right half of our team sheet as clean as possible will be huge in a crowded B1G — Purdue, Iowa, and Rutgers all have a single Q3 loss, while Penn State and Minnesota could pick one up, and Iowa could pick up a 2nd as they and MN both lost to DePaul.
Obviously we can't say for sure this far out what will matter in the selection room, but if I'm trying to differentiate between the last few bubble teams, and they've all played mostly the same quality opponents, with similar records, those little red boxes in the right columns are most assuredly going to stand out.
View attachment 5456
(team sheets at http://warrennolan.com/basketball/2020/net-nitty-team#)
Purdue and Miami both so close to sliding up a Q. For a bubble team 1 Q3/Q4 loss combined coupled with 1 Q2 loss seems to pretty much be the limit. Anymore than that and history shows those teams mostly go to the NIT unless they're near .500 or better in Q1.