Agreed. I said u18.5 wins 200 posts earlier and think with that conference schedule I'm probably right. However doing good work in noncon and being mediocre in the conference should give us a decent enough resume for a shot. It will definitely be a fun team to watch regardless.
I think you're still in the over optimistic camp, which isn't a surprise here. But I'd feel more comfortable on the under 20 as a betting man, but you can't say until you've seen how many cupcakes we schedule. As far as predictions, I was one of the closest on this most recent season: