1/7 Games

#27
Miami loss looks bad, Mizzou loss looks bad, Michigan is up in the air although for most part looks good, Maryland was a good loss so to speak from a numbers stand point, and still is.

In light of everything 2-2 with wins vs Purdue/Michigan and loss vs MSU and Maryland is probably where we should be...now if we can get through the next 5 with a 4-1 record....we might be onto something from there on out. 2 of those games are rematches...Purdue and Michigan.

After that stretch we would have, 6-5 or 5-6 to close out giving us a likely 11-9?
If we win @ Wisconsin that should be the hardest game of the next 4 so vs Rutgers vs Northwestern and @ Purdue would all be winnable. That could put us at 6-2. That would put us in a great spot as it should then be “easy” to win another 4+ and finish above 0.500 in conference play. But it all starts with our game tonight @ Wisconsin
 
#28
I’m buying any B1G team if we are playing them on their court.

Until we show otherwise, winning away from SFC will be difficult.
Yeah, how many B1G teams have won on the road thus far in conference? I know MSU beat Northwestern, Rutgers beat Nebraska, and Wisky beat OSU. Is that it?
 
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#32
@ Wisconsin that should be the hardest game of the next 4
Rutgers sets up to be a tougher matchup for us than Wisconsin imo. Yes they both have good guard play, but Rutgers is far more athletic and creative than Wisconsins guards are. Motion makes for mistakes, Wisconsin guards I think will be easier to defend than Rutgers. Good test both though.
 
#33
Rutgers sets up to be a tougher matchup for us than Wisconsin imo. Yes they both have good guard play, but Rutgers is far more athletic and creative than Wisconsins guards are. Motion makes for mistakes, Wisconsin guards I think will be easier to defend than Rutgers. Good test both though.
That is only if we don't do what we have the past decade against them...play great defense until there is less than 5 on the shot clock and give up an easy basket.

It's frustrated me for YEARS how patient those dang Badgers are. If you only play 28 seconds of great D, they'll beat you in the 2 seconds left.
 
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#34
Rutgers sets up to be a tougher matchup for us than Wisconsin imo. Yes they both have good guard play, but Rutgers is far more athletic and creative than Wisconsins guards are. Motion makes for mistakes, Wisconsin guards I think will be easier to defend than Rutgers. Good test both though.
The Quadrant system would give the impression that a Top 75 Team played AWAY is equivalent to a Top 50 Team played on NEUTRAL ground is equivalent to a Top 30 Team played at HOME.

Wisconsin: Net Rank 27 | Kenpom 21 | T-Rank 21
Rutgers: Net Rank 20 | Kenpom 37 | T-Rank 18

So if we apply a 50/75 factor to Wisconsin and conservatively use their worst rank we get 18 (27*50/75). Likewise, if we apply a 50/30 factor to Rutgers and use their best rank we get 30 (18*50/30). So if you believe that the quadrant system is a fair representation of home court advantage then Wisconsin should be like playing the 18th best team on a Neutral site and Rutgers should be like playing the 30th best game on a Neutral site. Neither are easy tasks but Wisconsin should be the harder game.
 
#42
Are you in the same group of fans that also said Zona is a top 5 team, and Miami isn’t a basement team in the ACC? 😉
Miami has the same record as Illinois (taking away our D2 win) and a tougher Strength of Schedule according to Kenpom. If you look at quadrant wins/losses Miami has 1 Q1 win, 3 Q2 wins, 4 Q1 losses, and 1 Q2 loss (the rest being Q3/4 wins). Illinois has 1 Q1 win, 1 Q2 wins, 3 Q1 losses, 1 Q2 loss, and 1 Q3 loss (the rest being Q3/4 wins).

Looking at Warrennolan.com Miami has an RPI of 34 and an SoS of 10. Illinois has an RPI of 68 and a SoS of 60.

Not really sure why Illinois is being talked about as a bubble team while Miami is so much worse based on all those numbers.
 
#45
Miami has the same record as Illinois (taking away our D2 win) and a tougher Strength of Schedule according to Kenpom. If you look at quadrant wins/losses Miami has 1 Q1 win, 3 Q2 wins, 4 Q1 losses, and 1 Q2 loss (the rest being Q3/4 wins). Illinois has 1 Q1 win, 1 Q2 wins, 3 Q1 losses, 1 Q2 loss, and 1 Q3 loss (the rest being Q3/4 wins).

Looking at Warrennolan.com Miami has an RPI of 34 and an SoS of 10. Illinois has an RPI of 68 and a SoS of 60.

Not really sure why Illinois is being talked about as a bubble team while Miami is so much worse based on all those numbers.
1-3 start in the ACC. Pretty likely they could lose their next 4 as well. 🤷🏽‍♂️
 
#46
1-3 start in the ACC. Pretty likely they could lose their next 4 as well. 🤷🏽‍♂️
Can't really fault them for dropping to Louisville and Duke, the clear top of the ACC and potential NCAA championship contenders. They've played 3 of their first 4 games against the best teams in the conference so it's all up hill from there.
 
#47
Very true, as Groce used to say when we used to get in the hole in conference play, we’ll see what their mental toughness is.