The sweet spot is 10th place. 8 or 9 and you likely get Michigan in your second game who I think stands out among conference teams. Although teams with a win under their belt often pull upsets against teams playing their first game.
We are in a predicament as I see the way we are playing currently we will end up most likely in the 8/9 game. Minnesota has to play 4 ranked teams over their final 8 games so if we go 6-2 down the stretch we probably end up in the 7th spot. Anything higher than 7th seems unattainable, and the way Penn State and Northwestern are playing are floor is probably 12th.