2019-2020 Predictions Thread

#1      

Berg88

B
Berg88
With the scheduling of Lindenwood, the schedule is finalized. Seems like as good a time as any to start the prediction thread!

Games:
11/5 - Nicholls State
11/8 - at Grand Canyon
11/10 - at Arizona
11/18 - Hawaii
11/20 - The Citadel
11/23 - Hampton
11/26 - Lindenwood
12/2 - Miami
12/7 - at Maryland
12/11 - Michigan
12/14 - Old Dominion
12/21 - Missouri
12/29 - North Carolina AT&T
1/2 - at Michigan State
1/5 - Purdue
1/8 - at Wisconsin
1/11 - Rutgers
1/18 - Northwestern
1/21 - at Purdue
1/25 - at Michigan
1/30 - Minnesota
2/2 - at Iowa
2/7 - Maryland
2/11 - Michigan State
2/15 - at Rutgers
2/18 - at Penn State
2/24 - Nebraska
2/27 - at Northwestern
3/1 - Indiana
3/4 - at Ohio State
3/8 - Iowa
 
#2      

Berg88

B
Berg88
I posted this in last year's thread, so I'll reproduce it here with last year's results included. These numbers are averages pulled from the last 3 years predictions threads.

2016-2017:
Predicted wins (excluding post-season): 21.5
Predicted conference wins: 10.6
Actual record: 18-13 (8-10)
We only had about 21 predictions that year, but 2 people got the record correct AND the conference record correct (gillini and urbanaistheshiz).

2017-2018:
Predicted wins (excluding post-season): 19.5
Predicted conference wins: 8.9
Actual record: 14-17 (4-14)
46 predictions, we had 3 people predict 15-16, but two of them were after the EIU loss. Before the EIU loss, the lowest conference win prediction was 7-11.

2018-2019:
Predicted wins (excluding post-season): 15.3
Predicted conference wins: 8.4
Actual record: 11-20 (7-13)
49 predictions, 1 (me!) predicted 11-20 but was waaaay off on conference/non-conference breakdown. 2 people (champaignchris and STLflyinIllini) predicted 7-13 in conference.
 
#3      

Ayooooooo

A
Ayooooooo
11/8 - at Grand Canyon W
11/10 - at Arizona W
11/18 - Hawaii W
11/20 - The Citadel W
11/23 - Hampton W
11/26 - Lindenwood W
12/2 - Miami W
12/7 - at Maryland L
12/11 - Michigan W
12/14 - Old Dominion W
12/21 - Missouri W
12/29 - North Carolina AT&T W
1/2 - at Michigan State L
1/5 - Purdue W
1/8 - at Wisconsin L
1/11 - Rutgers W
1/18 - Northwestern W
1/21 - at Purdue L
1/25 - at Michigan L
1/30 - Minnesota W
2/2 - at Iowa W
2/7 - Maryland W
2/11 - Michigan State W
2/15 - at Rutgers L
2/18 - at Penn State L
2/24 - Nebraska W
2/27 - at Northwestern W
3/1 - Indiana W
3/4 - at Ohio State L
3/8 - Iowa W

22-9, good for a 6 seed.
 
#4      

Berg88

B
Berg88
11/5 - Nicholls State - W
11/8 - at Grand Canyon - W
11/10 - at Arizona - L
11/18 - Hawaii - W
11/20 - The Citadel - W
11/23 - Hampton - W
11/26 - Lindenwood - W
12/2 - Miami - W
12/7 - at Maryland - L
12/11 - Michigan - W
12/14 - Old Dominion - W
12/21 - Missouri - W
12/29 - North Carolina AT&T - W
1/2 - at Michigan State - L
1/5 - Purdue - W
1/8 - at Wisconsin - L
1/11 - Rutgers - W
1/18 - Northwestern - W
1/21 - at Purdue - L
1/25 - at Michigan - L
1/30 - Minnesota - W
2/2 - at Iowa - L
2/7 - Maryland - W
2/11 - Michigan State - W
2/15 - at Rutgers - W
2/18 - at Penn State - L
2/24 - Nebraska - W
2/27 - at Northwestern - W
3/1 - Indiana - W
3/4 - at Ohio State - L
3/8 - Iowa - W

22-9 (12-8)
 
#5      

FiveStar

F
FiveStar
Games:

11/5 - Nicholls State W
11/8 - at Grand Canyon W
11/10 - at Arizona W
11/18 - Hawaii W
11/20 - The Citadel W
11/23 - Hampton W
11/26 - Lindenwood W
12/2 - Miami W
12/7 - at Maryland L
12/11 - Michigan L
12/14 - Old Dominion W
12/21 - Missouri W
12/29 - North Carolina AT&T W
1/2 - at Michigan State L
1/5 - Purdue L
1/8 - at Wisconsin W
1/11 - Rutgers W
1/18 - Northwestern W
1/21 - at Purdue L
1/25 - at Michigan W
1/30 - Minnesota W
2/2 - at Iowa W
2/7 - Maryland W
2/11 - Michigan State w
2/15 - at Rutgers W
2/18 - at Penn State W
2/24 - Nebraska W
2/27 - at Northwestern W
3/1 - Indiana W
3/4 - at Ohio State L
3/8 - Iowa W

Noncon: 11-0
B1G: 14-6

25-6, 5th place B1G finish

For some reason I feel really good about our noncon. I know I should be concerned about Arizona, but I’m really not. Miami actually concerns me more because they usually have the type of length and athleticism that gives us problems, but I think being at home works in our favor. I don’t see any other high majors in our noncon.

I think conference play starts rocky before we right the ship.
 
#6      

PlayAZ

P
PlayAZ
Berg88 said:
With the scheduling of Lindenwood, the schedule is finalized. Seems like as good a time as any to start the prediction thread!

Games:
11/5 - Nicholls State - W
11/8 - at Grand Canyon - W
11/10 - at Arizona - W
11/18 - Hawaii -W
11/20 - The Citadel -W
11/23 - Hampton -W
11/26 - Lindenwood -W
12/2 - Miami -L
12/7 - at Maryland- L
12/11 - Michigan -W
12/14 - Old Dominion -W
12/21 - Missouri -W
12/29 - North Carolina AT&T -W
1/2 - at Michigan State-L
1/5 - Purdue-W
1/8 - at Wisconsin-L
1/11 - Rutgers-W
1/18 - Northwestern-W
1/21 - at Purdue-L
1/25 - at Michigan -W
1/30 - Minnesota-W
2/2 - at Iowa-L
2/7 - Maryland-L
2/11 - Michigan State-W
2/15 - at Rutgers-W
2/18 - at Penn State -W
2/24 - Nebraska-W
2/27 - at Northwestern-W
3/1 - Indiana-W
3/4 - at Ohio State-L
3/8 - Iowa-L
Click to expand...

22-10
 
#7      

Illwinsagain

Illwinsagain
Cary, IL
Illwinsagain
Berg88 said:
With the scheduling of Lindenwood, the schedule is finalized. Seems like as good a time as any to start the prediction thread!

Games:
11/5 - Nicholls State-W
11/8 - at Grand Canyon-W
11/10 - at Arizona-L
11/18 - Hawaii-W
11/20 - The Citadel-W
11/23 - Hampton-W
11/26 - Lindenwood-W
12/2 - Miami-W
12/7 - at Maryland-L
12/11 - Michigan-L
12/14 - Old Dominion-W
12/21 - Missouri-W
12/29 - North Carolina AT&T-W
1/2 - at Michigan State-L
1/5 - Purdue-L
1/8 - at Wisconsin-L
1/11 - Rutgers-W
1/18 - Northwestern-W
1/21 - at Purdue-W
1/25 - at Michigan-W
1/30 - Minnesota-W
2/2 - at Iowa-L
2/7 - Maryland-L
2/11 - Michigan State-W
2/15 - at Rutgers-W
2/18 - at Penn State-L
2/24 - Nebraska-W
2/27 - at Northwestern-W
3/1 - Indiana-W
3/4 - at Ohio State-L
3/8 - Iowa-W
Click to expand...
21-10 Slow start in conference, finish OK. 11-9. I know it is counter intuitive to put losses to UM and PU at home, only to win on the road, but it is a WAG.
 
#9      

DB11Headband

D
Chicago Burbs
DB11Headband
11/5 - Nicholls State W
11/8 - at Grand Canyon W
11/10 - at Arizona L
11/18 - Hawaii W
11/20 - The Citadel W
11/23 - Hampton W
11/26 - Lindenwood W
12/2 - Miami W
12/7 - at Maryland L
12/11 - Michigan W
12/14 - Old Dominion W
12/21 - Missouri W
12/29 - North Carolina AT&T W
1/2 - at Michigan State L
1/5 - Purdue L
1/8 - at Wisconsin L
1/11 - Rutgers W
1/18 - Northwestern W
1/21 - at Purdue L
1/25 - at Michigan L
1/30 - Minnesota W
2/2 - at Iowa W
2/7 - Maryland W
2/11 - Michigan State L
2/15 - at Rutgers W
2/18 - at Penn State L
2/24 - Nebraska W
2/27 - at Northwestern W
3/1 - Indiana W
3/4 - at Ohio State W
3/8 - Iowa W

22-9, 12-8
 
#12      

Illiniguy13

Illiniguy13
Illiniguy13
11/5 - Nicholls State W
11/8 - at Grand Canyon W
11/10 - at Arizona W
11/18 - Hawaii W
11/20 - The Citadel W
11/23 - Hampton W
11/26 - Lindenwood W
12/2 - Miami W
12/7 - at Maryland L
12/11 - Michigan L
12/14 - Old Dominion W
12/21 - Missouri W
12/29 - North Carolina AT&T W
1/2 - at Michigan State L
1/5 - Purdue W
1/8 - at Wisconsin L
1/11 - Rutgers W
1/18 - Northwestern W
1/21 - at Purdue L
1/25 - at Michigan L
1/30 - Minnesota W
2/2 - at Iowa L
2/7 - Maryland L
2/11 - Michigan State L
2/15 - at Rutgers W
2/18 - at Penn State L
2/24 - Nebraska W
2/27 - at Northwestern W
3/1 - Indiana W
3/4 - at Ohio State W
3/8 - Iowa W

21-10, 9 conference wins
 
#14      

pruman91

pruman91
Paducah, Ky
pruman91
EyeoftheIllini said:
21-10 looks about right, and hopefully no worse that 19-12 with enough good wins to get the Illini in the tourney.
Click to expand...

giphy (4).gif


giphy (6).gif
 
#15      

Ayooooooo

A
Ayooooooo
rbachhuber said:
Not drinking the orange Kool Aid.
16-15
Click to expand...
Do you mind showing me how you came to this conclusion? Obviously it has been proven that whatever we as fans predict for the season, you have to take about 3 wins off what we predict. That being said, most of us are in the 20-23 win range. 16 is still pretty low, and given our weaker non-con schedule, I don’t see how you came to this.
 
#16      

Punesguy

Punesguy
Ft. Collins, CO
Punesguy
Games:
11/5 - Nicholls State - W
11/8 - at Grand Canyon - W
11/10 - at Arizona - L (Kofi fouls out of a collegiate game for the first time)
11/18 - Hawaii - W
11/20 - The Citadel - W
11/23 - Hampton - W
11/26 - Lindenwood - W
12/2 - Miami - W
12/7 - at Maryland - L
12/11 - Michigan - W
12/14 - Old Dominion - W
12/21 - Missouri - W (Gonna really enjoy this one!)
12/29 - North Carolina AT&T - W
1/2 - at Michigan State - L
1/5 - Purdue - L
1/8 - at Wisconsin - L
1/11 - Rutgers - W
1/18 - Northwestern - W
1/21 - at Purdue - L
1/25 - at Michigan - L
1/30 - Minnesota - W
2/2 - at Iowa - W
2/7 - Maryland - W
2/11 - Michigan State - L
2/15 - at Rutgers - L
2/18 - at Penn State - W
2/24 - Nebraska - W
2/27 - at Northwestern - W
3/1 - Indiana - W
3/4 - at Ohio State - L
3/8 - Iowa - W

21 & 10
10 & 1 (Non-Conference)
11 & 9 (Conference - 5th Place)
Get to play K-State in the 1st round of the dance as the 8 seed

Can't wait to get this season started ... Illini! :shield:
 
#17      

Berg88

B
Berg88
Ayooooooo said:
Do you mind showing me how you came to this conclusion? Obviously it has been proven that whatever we as fans predict for the season, you have to take about 3 wins off what we predict. That being said, most of us are in the 20-23 win range. 16 is still pretty low, and given our weaker non-con schedule, I don’t see how you came to this.
Click to expand...
I'm not him, but lose your conference road games plus Arizona, Miami, Missouri, and MSU and Maryland at home is 15 losses. Certainly not out of the question.
 
#18      

The Dave

The Dave
CA
The Dave
Last year I had us for 14 wins. Didn't post it here because while that is what I came up with I hoped it was too low. It wasn't. :poop:

This year I came up with 18.5 wins (18 when I did it a few weeks ago and 19 when I just did it again). Guess I'm setting it as an O/U :p
 
#19      

foby

foby
Bonnaroo Land
foby
Now that I see the Arizona game is at night, I think we have a good chance to pull that one out,

23-8, 12-8
 
#20      

illini80

illini80
Forgottonia
illini80
My prediction is if we don’t win 20 games this board will not a happy place to hang out. 🙂

I’m going with 22 and really think we should exceed that if we learn to play some defense.
 
#21      

EyeoftheIllini

EyeoftheIllini
EyeoftheIllini
foby said:
Now that I see the Arizona game is at night, I think we have a good chance to pull that one out,

23-8, 12-8
Click to expand...


The Arizona game is certainly winnable. They were 17-15 last year and they lost their top 3 guards (#1 scorer; #2 scorer and #2 assists; and #4 scorer and #1 assist) as well as forward who was their #5 scorer and #2 rebounder. All told cumulatively those guys accounted for 112.7 mpg, 41.1 ppg (out of 70.9 ppg), 13.0 rpg (34.8), 9.4 apg (12.4), and 3.2 spg (5.2), and they made 160 of the 235 3-pt shots. Now they did bring in a great class and have Max Hazzard as a grad transfer. Good chance he and freshman Nico Mannion are their starting backcourt. They also brought in 5* SG Josh Green from IMG and 4* PF Zeke Nnaji. So certainly not without weapons, but it is also their 3rd game of the season. Their first two games are against Chico State and N. Arizona, so their freshmen will get baptism by fire against the Illini.
 
#22      

bombayIllini

B
bombayIllini
Guess we have plenty of bandwidth.

11/05 - Nicholls State - W 1-0, 0-0
11/08 - at Grand Canyon - W 2-0, 0-0
11/10 - at Arizona - W 3-0, 0-0
11/18 - Hawaii - W 4-0, 0-0
11/20 - The Citadel - W 5-0, 0-0
11/23 - Hampton - W 6-0, 0-0
11/26 - Lindenwood - W 7-0, 0-0
12/02 - Miami - W 8-0, 0-0
12/07 - at Maryland - L 8-0, 0-1
12/11 - Michigan - W 8-0, 1-1
12/14 - Old Dominion - W 9-0, 1-1
12/21 - Missouri - W 10-0, 1-1
12/29 - North Carolina AT&T - W 11-0, 1-1
01/02 - at Michigan State - L 11-0, 1-2
01/05 - Purdue - W 11-0, 2-2
01/08 - at Wisconsin - W 11-0, 3-2
01/11 - Rutgers - W 11-0, 4-2
01/18 - Northwestern - W 11-0, 5-2
01/21 - at Purdue - L 11-0, 5-3
01/25 - at Michigan - W 11-0, 6-3
01/30 - Minnesota - W 11-0, 7-3
02/02 - at Iowa - W 11-0, 8-3
02/07 - Maryland - L 11-0, 8-4
02/11 - Michigan State - W 11-0, 8-5
02/15 - at Rutgers - W 11-0, 9-5
02/18 - at Penn State - W 11-0, 10-5
02/24 - Nebraska - W 11-0, 11-5
02/27 - at Northwestern - W 11-0, 12-5
03/01 - Indiana - W 11-0, 13-5
03/04 - at Ohio State - L 11-0, 13-6
30308 - Iowa - W 11-0, 14-6

25-6
 
#25      

PtownIllini8

P
PtownIllini8
Illwinsagain said:
I also had 21-10, but don't think that will be biting nails. I think palm, etc will have us safely in the 8-10 range, depending who we beat where.
Click to expand...

I agree with your conclusion that 21-10 isn't a bubble situation, unless we had zero good wins, which seems unlikely with 21 wins.