Whoops, meant to share that stat from my KenPom-based stuff last night. I think we were closer to 19%, but still about the same. T-Ranketology seems to have liked us better for most of 2020.21.2% to share the title.
In the spirit of Super Tuesday, I also vote for theWhoops, meant to share that stat from my KenPom-based stuff last night. I think we were closer to 19%, but still about the same. T-Ranketology seems to have liked us better for most of 2020.
Based on a quick look at the numbers, the 19% chance can be broken down into:
I. 15% chance we win out
II. 4% chance we go 1-1 and Maryland, MSU, and Wisconsin all lose 1 more game
I vote we pursue option
I'm going with the theory that is why we had to tank against OSU yesterday, figured out the scenario at half & decide it was worth it. Please don't correct me with actual facts!
If we end up beating Iowa tomorrow & securing a 4 seed in the BTT, I feel like we would’ve outperformed our KenPom ranking by quite a bit.Quick update this morning. We're to the point where you can just put together a chart of all 128 scenarios (usually I see one of these pop up on Twitter) but this still helps to some degree.
Apparently we have a small chance of knocking Iowa down to the 8 line? That would be fun!
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If we win tomorrow and get the 4, we probably have our easiest possible path to the tourney title game. Iowa away from Carver and a Wisconsin team that we already beat. Wisconsin may be on a win streak but look at the teams they played during that streak, beating them is much more plausible than having to face ohio state msu or maryland before the finalsAs Saturday hoops come to a close, I believe we're now going to be the 4, 5 or 6 seed.