Bowl Projections
I get nervous posting a thread like this without 6 wins.
But, as long as we go bowling, I don’t care where.
But, as long as we go bowling, I don’t care where.
It is nice to have 3 games left and not be hearing jokes about the toilet bowl. Like the above poster I’ll be good with any bowls. Get the 6th win. Anything beyond would be gravy.
If we somehow pull 8 wins, the possibilities expand to San Diego, New York, Santa Clara, Nashville, Miami, Orlando, or Tampa.
Right now, let’s get six next weekend so we can worry about where later.
- Austin
I don’t understand the title of this thread
It’s still possible we don’t go. MSU and Iowa are tough road games. And northwestern is a rivalry, so it would still make their season to keep us out. But I just saw no bowl as one of the options
Lastest ESPN projections has
Quick Lane Bowl
Ford Field, Detroit
Bonagura: Illinois vs. Duke
Shlabach: Duke vs Illinois
hmmmmmm
Quick Lane Bowl
Ford Field, Detroit
Bonagura: Illinois vs. Duke
Shlabach: Duke vs Illinois
hmmmmmm
- Michigan
Ford Field, where the Detroit Lions play!
Hey, we'll take a bowl, any bowl.
- Tyngsborough, MA
Quick Lane is an easy flight and overnight stay for us. Going south might be nicer. But, a Bowl Game anywhere is acceptable.
Likes:
thunderwear
- Cincinnati, OH
ESPN:
Quick Lane Bowl
Duke v. Illinois
CBS:
Quick Lane Bowl
Florida State v. Illinois
247:
Quick Lane Bowl
Louisville v. Illinois
Quick Lane Bowl
Duke v. Illinois
CBS:
Quick Lane Bowl
Florida State v. Illinois
247:
Quick Lane Bowl
Louisville v. Illinois
- Cincinnati, OH
- Carbondale, IL
I'm clinging to hope for the Music City Bowl. Three hour drive from me, and I've got friends I could stay with. Purdue went last year at 6-6 (5-4), so it's possible.
Likes:
LFOD and pvaughn8
I would love this. It would give us a home game atmosphere and the dates are perfect given that I hadn't planned on attending a bowl game.
Likes:
BWBW
Getting a win against MSU will really open up the options. If we don't become Bowl eligible until our game with NW on Nov 30 we will probably head to the Quick Lane.
Likes:
thunderwear
https://www.si.com/college/michigan/football/michigan-football-bowl-projections-week-10-2019
We need to get to 6, will MSU game decide the Redbox vs Quick Lane bowl if these projections hold true..or since MSU was in the Redbox last year it looks like at least SI thinks we may get a bump...to get any higher will be tough, like win out tough and give us a chance to jump Iowa.
Brett McMurphy also has the Illini in the Quick Lane Bowl but he is projecting them to play NC State.
Likes:
thunderwear
- Cincinnati, OH
Let's just fly the team to Detroit and spend two months playing every non-Clemson team in the ACC.
That would be a very winnable game
Detroit is an underrated city. I’m biased because my mom’s family is all from there, but I’ve had some good times there.
Dallas would be great, too. Direct flights from Champaign to DFW!
And Nashville would be awesome. Hella fun city.
Dallas would be great, too. Direct flights from Champaign to DFW!
And Nashville would be awesome. Hella fun city.
Edit because I am an idiot. Music City is in Nashville. Liberty Bowl is in Memphis.
Enough with all this optimism!!!
I have decided the best way for me to ensure an Illini victory on Saturday is to write an extended post that will immediately become irrelevant upon gaining their 6th win...
Thus APR bowl eligibility!
It's been a few years since this was relevant to Illini fans, so here's a little review. If there are more bowl slots available than there are 6+ win teams, the bowls start taking 5-win teams. These teams are taken in order of their Academic Progress Ranking (APR), which is based on graduation rate, player retention and things like that. Illinois is in pretty good position, tied with 5 other teams for 22nd in the rankings.
There were 3 APR teams selected to bowls in 2015 and 2016, but there hasn't been a single one in both 2017 and 2018. So there's no guarantee for even the top ranked 5-win APR team that they'll get to a bowl.
There are 38 bowls. That means 76 teams go to bowls out of 130 FBS teams.
As of right now, 45 teams have become bowl eligible with 6 or more wins, leaving 31 bowl slots to be filled.
Of the remaining teams, 5 have 8 or more losses, leaving 80 teams to fight out for bowl slots.
Taking out the teams that have either been eliminated up (have 6 or more wins) or been eliminated down (have 8 or more losses), Illinois is currently tied for 10th place in the APR standings.
1. Northwestern
2. Duke
3(t) Vanderbilt, Washington
5(t) Boston College, Nevada
7. Stanford
8. Louisville
9. Temple
10(t) Illinois, Middle Tenn St., Arkansas
So, absent a 6th Illinois win, we want teams that haven't become bowl eligible to keep losing, especially those teams on the above list.
I'm not sure the tie breakers or the order in which bowls that don't have slots filled get assigned APR teams. I'll research that if it becomes relevant.
I'll try to update the numbers as games are played so long as Illinois is sitting on 5 wins. Temple could lock down a bowl bid with a win at South Florida tonight. Tomorrow night, Tulsa could be eliminated from bowl contention against UCF and Washington could clinch a bowl bid with a win at Oregon St.
I have decided the best way for me to ensure an Illini victory on Saturday is to write an extended post that will immediately become irrelevant upon gaining their 6th win...
Thus APR bowl eligibility!
It's been a few years since this was relevant to Illini fans, so here's a little review. If there are more bowl slots available than there are 6+ win teams, the bowls start taking 5-win teams. These teams are taken in order of their Academic Progress Ranking (APR), which is based on graduation rate, player retention and things like that. Illinois is in pretty good position, tied with 5 other teams for 22nd in the rankings.
There were 3 APR teams selected to bowls in 2015 and 2016, but there hasn't been a single one in both 2017 and 2018. So there's no guarantee for even the top ranked 5-win APR team that they'll get to a bowl.
There are 38 bowls. That means 76 teams go to bowls out of 130 FBS teams.
As of right now, 45 teams have become bowl eligible with 6 or more wins, leaving 31 bowl slots to be filled.
Of the remaining teams, 5 have 8 or more losses, leaving 80 teams to fight out for bowl slots.
Taking out the teams that have either been eliminated up (have 6 or more wins) or been eliminated down (have 8 or more losses), Illinois is currently tied for 10th place in the APR standings.
1. Northwestern
2. Duke
3(t) Vanderbilt, Washington
5(t) Boston College, Nevada
7. Stanford
8. Louisville
9. Temple
10(t) Illinois, Middle Tenn St., Arkansas
So, absent a 6th Illinois win, we want teams that haven't become bowl eligible to keep losing, especially those teams on the above list.
I'm not sure the tie breakers or the order in which bowls that don't have slots filled get assigned APR teams. I'll research that if it becomes relevant.
I'll try to update the numbers as games are played so long as Illinois is sitting on 5 wins. Temple could lock down a bowl bid with a win at South Florida tonight. Tomorrow night, Tulsa could be eliminated from bowl contention against UCF and Washington could clinch a bowl bid with a win at Oregon St.
Heading into Saturday:
47 of 76 bowl slots have been filled.
5 teams have been eliminated.
78 teams still competing for 29 bowl bids.
Illinois' current standing among still-eligible APR teams:
1. Northwestern
2. Duke
3 Vanderbilt
4(t) Boston College, Nevada
6. Stanford
7. Louisville
8(t) Illinois, Middle Tenn St., Arkansas
There are about 20 games today that could either clinch a bowl bid or eliminate a team from APR consideration. I won't list them all, but basically any game where a team has 5 wins or 7 losses counts.
47 of 76 bowl slots have been filled.
5 teams have been eliminated.
78 teams still competing for 29 bowl bids.
Illinois' current standing among still-eligible APR teams:
1. Northwestern
2. Duke
3 Vanderbilt
4(t) Boston College, Nevada
6. Stanford
7. Louisville
8(t) Illinois, Middle Tenn St., Arkansas
There are about 20 games today that could either clinch a bowl bid or eliminate a team from APR consideration. I won't list them all, but basically any game where a team has 5 wins or 7 losses counts.