I think worst case, but honestly a realistic scenario is below (10-10):
NW - W
@PU - L
@MI - L
MN - W
@IA - W
MD - L
MSU - L
@RU - L
@PSU - L
NE - W
@NW - W
IN - L
@OSU - L
IA - W
I wish we were playing @RU and @PSU earlier, because those games will be rough, and after @PU, @MI, MD, MSU - we could be in a bit of a hole.
My top 3 games to flip to wins are:
IN, @PSU, MD (2 day turnaround for them, and after getting beat up a bit against RU).
...
Also, for you forever optimists:
http://www.seed-madness.com/
And the best tool for conference forecasting:
http://bball.notnothing.net/big10.php?sport=mbb