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Illinois 71, Michigan 62 POSTGAME
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<blockquote data-quote="Illiniguy90" data-source="post: 1506565" data-attributes="member: 746457"><p>If you selectively decide to only look at the last 105 minutes of Illinois basketball then Illinois is absolutely an AP top 25 team.</p><p></p><p>vs Miami (final 25 minutes only): Illinois 61 to Miami 36. Extrapolate that to a full 40 and you get Illinois 97.6 to Miami 57.6.</p><p>@ Maryland: Illinois lead most of the game and barely lost by just 1 point to the #3 ranked team in the country.</p><p>vs Michigan: Illinois kept it close the entire first half and then took the lead and never relinquished it going into the 2nd half to knock off the #5 team in the country.</p><p>vs Old Dominion: Let's just day dream about Illinois making Old Dominion look like Hampton</p><p></p><p>Even if we light up Old Dominion it might not be enough. The Poll likes W's way more than it maybe should and our lack of W @ Maryland and vs Miami is going to hold us back.</p><p></p><p>That being said there are a few teams at the back end of the poll / receiving votes that could slip this week:</p><p>#22 Seton Hall would drop out if they lose @ Rutgers this Saturday (47.4% chance per ESPN)</p><p>#23 Xavier would drop out if they lose @ Wake Forest this Saturday (45.3% chance per ESPN)</p><p>#24 Colorado lost to UNI. They fell 4 spots last week and will fall further this week.</p><p>+1(160 votes) Utah State would lose votes if they lose to BYU (50.1% chance per ESPN)</p><p>+2(140 votes) Washington didn't play this week.</p><p></p><p>Seton Hall, Xavier, Colorado, and Utah State have 836 votes between them. If they all drop in the polls the most likely candidates to receive those votes would be teams with wins over Top teams this week.</p><p></p><p>- Texas Tech knocked off #1 Louisville after losing 3 in a row. Knocking off #1 is big but it didn't get SFA or Evansville ranked.</p><p><strong>- Penn State</strong> knocked off #4 Maryland and improved to 8-2. Their loss to Ohio St is fine as OSU is likely #1/#2 next week. Their loss to Mississippi was by just 2 points and they have wins vs Syracuse and Wake forest. Penn State is probably the most likely team to move into the rankings.</p><p>- Illinois knocked off #5 Michigan and has 3 total losses. A key distinguishing point compared to Texas Tech is that Illinois' losses are to #15 Arizona and #4 Maryland and the remaining loss was by just 2 pts to a P5 team. Tech lost to Iowa, Creighton, and DePaul which are all good teams this year but none of them are ranked.</p><p><strong>- Purdue</strong> didn't win any ranked matchups but they already had 130 votes and a road win @ Nebraska likely pushes them in.</p><p></p><p>I wouldn't be surprised to see all 4 of these teams slide into at least the #25 spot on a bracket and pick up a vote or 2.</p><p></p><p>Then Illinois only has 1 game against Missouri the following week. If we solidly handle that game and Old Dominion I think we're ranked for Christmas.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Illiniguy90, post: 1506565, member: 746457"] If you selectively decide to only look at the last 105 minutes of Illinois basketball then Illinois is absolutely an AP top 25 team. vs Miami (final 25 minutes only): Illinois 61 to Miami 36. Extrapolate that to a full 40 and you get Illinois 97.6 to Miami 57.6. @ Maryland: Illinois lead most of the game and barely lost by just 1 point to the #3 ranked team in the country. vs Michigan: Illinois kept it close the entire first half and then took the lead and never relinquished it going into the 2nd half to knock off the #5 team in the country. vs Old Dominion: Let's just day dream about Illinois making Old Dominion look like Hampton Even if we light up Old Dominion it might not be enough. The Poll likes W's way more than it maybe should and our lack of W @ Maryland and vs Miami is going to hold us back. That being said there are a few teams at the back end of the poll / receiving votes that could slip this week: #22 Seton Hall would drop out if they lose @ Rutgers this Saturday (47.4% chance per ESPN) #23 Xavier would drop out if they lose @ Wake Forest this Saturday (45.3% chance per ESPN) #24 Colorado lost to UNI. They fell 4 spots last week and will fall further this week. +1(160 votes) Utah State would lose votes if they lose to BYU (50.1% chance per ESPN) +2(140 votes) Washington didn't play this week. Seton Hall, Xavier, Colorado, and Utah State have 836 votes between them. If they all drop in the polls the most likely candidates to receive those votes would be teams with wins over Top teams this week. - Texas Tech knocked off #1 Louisville after losing 3 in a row. Knocking off #1 is big but it didn't get SFA or Evansville ranked. [B]- Penn State[/B] knocked off #4 Maryland and improved to 8-2. Their loss to Ohio St is fine as OSU is likely #1/#2 next week. Their loss to Mississippi was by just 2 points and they have wins vs Syracuse and Wake forest. Penn State is probably the most likely team to move into the rankings. - Illinois knocked off #5 Michigan and has 3 total losses. A key distinguishing point compared to Texas Tech is that Illinois' losses are to #15 Arizona and #4 Maryland and the remaining loss was by just 2 pts to a P5 team. Tech lost to Iowa, Creighton, and DePaul which are all good teams this year but none of them are ranked. [B]- Purdue[/B] didn't win any ranked matchups but they already had 130 votes and a road win @ Nebraska likely pushes them in. I wouldn't be surprised to see all 4 of these teams slide into at least the #25 spot on a bracket and pick up a vote or 2. Then Illinois only has 1 game against Missouri the following week. If we solidly handle that game and Old Dominion I think we're ranked for Christmas. [/QUOTE]
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Illinois 71, Michigan 62 POSTGAME
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