NCAA Tournament

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#1      
#2      
The Illini fans from 2013-2020 wish their team the very best in the 2022 tournament.

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#3      

Tacomallini

Washington State
Which lower ranking teams do y'all like to win a couple games this year?
 
#7      
Does anybody have that reddit link that illustrated kenpom efficiency ratings and how they lined up with performance in the tournament against 1st round opponents?
 
#9      
I like Indiana. They were impressive in the BTT. Their defense is improved and the offense is flowing better.
Vermont. I think they could win 2 games and get to the sweet sixteen. I believe N. Mex. St. will be their opponent. Toss up.
The rest of the upsets will be only 1 game.
S. Dak. St. will lose to Iowa
Iowa St. loses to Wisky
Va. Tech will lose to Purdue
Davidson loses to Duke
 
#10      
I love the following first round upsets this year:
- Loyola over Ohio State (especially if their key players are still injured)
- Rutgers/ND winner over Alabama (they beat only great teams and bad teams, and lose to everyone else)
- Vermont to Sweet 16 (though I think Vermont/NM St should have been swapped for seeds)
- Michigan over Colorado State (I don't know why the 3rd best MW team is the highest seeded, but they are overseeded)
- South Dakota State over Providence
- Miami over USC (USC is super overseeded)

Later round upsets I like:
- Iowa and Wisconsin to elite 8, if Davis is healthy (Auburn has struggled of late, LSU is overseeded, USC is overseeded, Iowa State hasn't won in 2 months, Miami is in a free fall, Providence is overseeded, Richmond isn't tournament quality, and Kansas is the most susceptible 1 seed to an upset)
- Tennessee and Texas Tech to Final Four (ok I guess I like the 3 seeds)
- I like the chalky Sweet 16 in the East bracket
 
#18      
Region strength by average adjusted efficiency of the teams:

East
15.36​
West
14.98​
South
14.46​
Midwest
12.63​


Pod strength by average adjusted efficiency of the teams:
South-4 Illinois
17.85​
West-1 Gonzaga
16.86​
East-2 Kentucky
16.41​
East-3 Purdue
15.70​
West-4 Arkansas
15.38​
East-4 UCLA
15.24​
South-2 Villanova
14.98​
South-3 Tennessee
14.81​
Midwest-4 Providence
14.67​
East-1 Baylor
14.13​
West-3 Texas Tech
14.06​
West-2 Duke
13.87​
Midwest-2 Auburn
13.44​
Midwest-3 Wisconsin
13.21​
South-1 Arizona
11.05​
Midwest-1 Kansas
9.89​
 
#19      
Region strength by average adjusted efficiency of the teams:

East
15.36​
West
14.98​
South
14.46​
Midwest
12.63​


Pod strength by average adjusted efficiency of the teams:
South-4 Illinois
17.85​
West-1 Gonzaga
16.86​
East-2 Kentucky
16.41​
East-3 Purdue
15.70​
West-4 Arkansas
15.38​
East-4 UCLA
15.24​
South-2 Villanova
14.98​
South-3 Tennessee
14.81​
Midwest-4 Providence
14.67​
East-1 Baylor
14.13​
West-3 Texas Tech
14.06​
West-2 Duke
13.87​
Midwest-2 Auburn
13.44​
Midwest-3 Wisconsin
13.21​
South-1 Arizona
11.05​
Midwest-1 Kansas
9.89​
Pardon my ignorance. Is the higher number more difficult here or the opposite?
 
#24      
Higher number means more difficult. Effectively, it means there are no bad teams in Illinois' pod, where as every other pod has at least one bad team (also Gonzaga is super good and overcomes the weak team in their pod).
Also it means if Illinois and Wisconsin were swapped, I'd feel ten times better about them reaching the sweet 16/final four.

But just go through the tough teams now, sort the rest out later.
 
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