Pregame: Illinois vs Missouri, Sunday, December 22nd, 12:00pm CT, ESPN

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#76      
Also, I think this game will at least have a chance of selling out - something that hasn't happened for Braggin' Rights since 2011-12 (although it looks like the 2013-14 game was just 13 tickets shy ... lol). We have had some bigger crowds in recent years, but we have not crossed that 22,000 threshold. FWIW, it does seem like in the VAST majority of years, Illinois has definitely filled its 11,000-seat side. It's mostly the Mizzou side that fluctuates wildly depending on how bad they are. Reminder that in the seating charts below, Illinois is on the right and Mizzou is on the left. Also, the blue/pink seats are the unsold tickets.

Braggin' Rights Tickets Sold as of Friday 12/13
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Braggin' Rights Tickets Sold as of Monday 12/16
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Still some work to do in the upper Mizzou sections, but I think virtually all pink tickets will end up being sold and a decent chunk of those blue ones will due to a couple factors:

1. Missouri fans FINALLY have a team to be excited about. That could lead to some last-minute purchases by locals.
2. With the Illini at 3 losses and having already taken down #1 Kansas, Mizzou fans might have renewed confidence after this weekend? Some of those sales might be on a "delay" that will show up mid-week.
3. I think Illinois fans who weren't as preemptive in purchasing their tickets will likely gobble up a decent chunk of those blue seats for a lower price. It always seems like we have a smattering of orange in their upper deck.

Serious question ... has any one of you regular attendees EVER been to a Braggin' Rights wear Mizzou fans outnumbered us? I have been to two, and there were always more Illini fans. In 2021-22, I would guess our side was 85-90% full, while their side was about 30% full (they were awful, and it was during their bowl game). In 2022-23, the crowd was way more even (probably 85-90% full on both sides?), but there were virtually no Mizzou fans on our side and there was a smattering of orange on theirs. It seems like the closest I've ever seen it on TV was a true 50/50, otherwise Illinois has more fans there.

EDIT: And this last question wasn't just to dunk on Mizzou fans or to try to pretend like we have more fans in that metro (which we pretty clearly don't as far as pure numbers go). Also, I have seen pictures that make it quite clear we never outnumbered them a single year at the football version in St. Louis at the Arch Rivalry Game.

In the early 2010's when Mizzou had the Pressey bros and were a top 10ish team, and we were sputtering through the end of the Bruce years, I'm pretty sure the crowd was still 50/50. They MAYBE had slightly more black and gold sprinkled in our orange section, but not much.
 
#77      
The poll seems especially silly this year. I bet if we had not even played Tennesee on Saturday and instead won a buy game by 30 we would've been ranked. Even though the Tennessee game, despite losing, made it pretty evident we are one of the 25 best teams. Meanwhile, Arkansas received twice as many votes as we did.

Here is why I care. This is the comment section of a Fox Sports post about the Tennessee buzzer beater. The casual sports world sees a team with no number next to their name and assumes they're scrubs. It hurts the brand / perception.

View attachment 38021

I have no data to back this up...but I think we are in an anomaly year where a ton of teams have very tough schedules. First, it seems like there are a lot more high quality non conference matches. Could be wrong, but that's what it feels like to me. Combined with that...the SEC, BIG12, and B1G are like a 3 headed monster this year. All 3 conferences are insanely tough.

What's that mean? I'm guessing all these good teams are going to beat up on each other. There are going to be a lot of good teams with just "meh" looking records. Teams that could go 23-8 in most years, might end up 19-12 this season.
 
#78      
Also, this is likely overly dramatic (especially) considering how young we are), but this feels like a line-in-the-sand game as far as what we are on track for. Lose, and I’m worried about a campaign like 2022-23 where even if we look great sometimes … we’re just stacking too many losses too often. Win, and I think we are on track to continue to progress, potentially get hot in Big Ten play and earn another #3 seed, giving us that true chance to make a run without shocking a #1 seed.

Let’s just win!
 
#80      
Friendly reminder that Domask didn't really start cooking until January, but I agree with your larger point.

Ben's gotta find other ways to contribute when the shot isn't falling... 1 rebound in 30 minutes ain't gonna cut it.
He has a ridiculous amount of talent for getting boxed out.
 
#81      
Friendly reminder that Domask didn't really start cooking until January, but I agree with your larger point.

Ben's gotta find other ways to contribute when the shot isn't falling... 1 rebound in 30 minutes ain't gonna cut it.
This right here. The guy's 6'9. Surely he can do more offensively beside standing out on the perimeter and just be a spot up shooter. We've all seen the tape of him at Evanville where he was doing some Domask type things. I can't think of the last time Ben shot a two for us. Very little display of a midrange game so far out of him. I think the coaching staff are dead set on what they want out of Ben on offense and they're contempt with just him being that spot up shooter for us.
 
#82      
ESPN stats…Last year’s team shot it a little better. Just one more 3 pointer was the difference vs. NW and Tenn.

PPG
2024: 84.4
2025: 84.0

Turnovers per game
2024: 10.8
2025: 11.2

FG%
2024: 47.1%
2025: 43.2%

FT%
2024: 74.5%
2025: 73.5%

3PT%
2024: 35.0%
2025: 32.4%

KJ is actually leading the team at 42% from 3. Statistically, things are looking up as I’m comparing a full season last year to this season-to-date. We’re going to continue getting better. Brad and company (even Hamer 😎) deserve some credit.
 
#83      
Very very likely they lose to Missouri, then # 10 Oregon (With a win over Chicago State). Probably wont have an AP vote at 8-5.
 
#84      
I have a Bil in Pittsburgh who is a huge college BB fan (he even coached at something like D3). About 6-7 years ago he said to me, "I had no idea what a big game that is".
 
#85      
This right here. The guy's 6'9. Surely he can do more offensively beside standing out on the perimeter and just be a spot up shooter. We've all seen the tape of him at Evanville where he was doing some Domask type things. I can't think of the last time Ben shot a two for us. Very little display of a midrange game so far out of him. I think the coaching staff are dead set on what they want out of Ben on offense and they're contempt with just him being that spot up shooter for us.
I don't think Underwood's offense calls for spot up midrange jumpers. JMO. I do hope he becomes more aggressive around the hoop.
 
#86      
It's so wild to me that a team many thought was going to be all offense is now seemingly being carried by its defense. Is it too much to expect our offense to get back on track before the end of the season so we can make a huge push in March?
 
#88      
Think it’s time we get Riley or Rez in the starting lineup in place of Ben. I’m not worried about Ben’s shot, he’ll get out of the slump. What I’m worried about is his rebounding. Outside of that I have few concerns with this team. Issues like closing out games will come with experience. The defense is far ahead of where I thought it would be, just need to figure out offense and that should be correctable with our roster.
 
#89      
Don't understand at all why people say "we should win this one". I surely hope that we do, and we certainly have the talent, but Mizzo just beat Kansas and they are a very physical team. At this point I'm not sure how we will do in a street fight.
Physical games..

we have some ref points...not necessarily confidence builders: tennessee, Alabama, northwestern and ole miss exhibition.

They all have a common outcome .....(L)
 
#90      
I believe the Illini will add another L to that streak against Mizzou. Another week off, they have struggled over the years in long layoffs. The shooting is off, they seem to be out of sync, sometimes they play like they have never seen their teammates before. Only Gibbs-Lawhorne has been in this Braggin rights game before. It is different than most games. The intensity, the rivalry, this is the whole season. The Illini will be thinking about Christmas and being home with family, sugar plums dancing in their heads. They will go thru the motions [KJ will do his best to carry them] but their hearts and minds will be elsewhere. We will hear constant clanging of the ball bouncing off the rims playing a sour note and falling into the hands of a Mizzou player. I think Mizzou embarrasses the Illini 89-69
 
#91      
This right here. The guy's 6'9. Surely he can do more offensively beside standing out on the perimeter and just be a spot up shooter. We've all seen the tape of him at Evanville where he was doing some Domask type things. I can't think of the last time Ben shot a two for us. Very little display of a midrange game so far out of him. I think the coaching staff are dead set on what they want out of Ben on offense and they're contempt with just him being that spot up shooter for us.
I think most of the contempt has been from the fans watching his defense...
 
#92      
This right here. The guy's 6'9. Surely he can do more offensively beside standing out on the perimeter and just be a spot up shooter. We've all seen the tape of him at Evanville where he was doing some Domask type things. I can't think of the last time Ben shot a two for us. Very little display of a midrange game so far out of him. I think the coaching staff are dead set on what they want out of Ben on offense and they're contempt with just him being that spot up shooter for us.
maybe you missed the offensive rebound/Dunk against Tennessee. His only Rebound and 2 pointer against Tennessee.
 
#93      
Think it’s time we get Riley or Rez in the starting lineup in place of Ben. I’m not worried about Ben’s shot, he’ll get out of the slump. What I’m worried about is his rebounding. Outside of that I have few concerns with this team. Issues like closing out games will come with experience. The defense is far ahead of where I thought it would be, just need to figure out offense and that should be correctable with our roster.
Give me Morez over Ben to start. I feel like Will needs extended runs in the game to find his rhythm.

If I had to chose between Will or Ben for minutes, I'd choose the 5* kid who is 100% effort and might be here next year as a major part of the program. Neither is outperforming the other currently.
 
#94      
Think it’s time we get Riley or Rez in the starting lineup in place of Ben. I’m not worried about Ben’s shot, he’ll get out of the slump. What I’m worried about is his rebounding. Outside of that I have few concerns with this team. Issues like closing out games will come with experience. The defense is far ahead of where I thought it would be, just need to figure out offense and that should be correctable with our roster.
I say we go with both. We would be way better if we played six at one time.
 
#96      
Luke Goode at 6'7" with limited athleticism and less height averaged 4 rpg in 20 minutes last season.

Rebounding is effort. Ben needs to step it up if he wants to play 30 mpg. 1 rpg aint cutting it.
 
#97      
This right here. The guy's 6'9. Surely he can do more offensively beside standing out on the perimeter and just be a spot up shooter. We've all seen the tape of him at Evanville where he was doing some Domask type things. I can't think of the last time Ben shot a two for us. Very little display of a midrange game so far out of him. I think the coaching staff are dead set on what they want out of Ben on offense and they're contempt with just him being that spot up shooter for us.
- Ben's Game By Game 23-24 Log at Evansville - If you look game by game at Ben's best offensive performances last season, outside of an 18 point performance at home against Drake, they were all against teams with losing records. Against the top teams in the MVC, Ben struggled offensively. There's absolutely no comparison between Ben's performances last year at Evansville and Markus Domask at SIU. There's a reason Markus made multiple all conference teams and was first team all conference his last year at SIU and Ben wasn't considered for an all conference team.

- By this time last season, Markus Domask had already had a 33 point performance against #11 FIU on national TV. He had also had an 18 point performance in a losing effort against nationally ranked Marquette. He also hadn't shown the defensive and rebounding deficiencies that Ben has so far this season. Even at the beginning of the season before he started to put up ridiculous numbers, Markus proved that he belonged as a leader on our team. Can you honestly state the same about Ben this season given what we've seen on the defensive end alone?

- Ben has proven last season that he is capable of shooting the basketball. Against the best competition that we've faced this season, however, he just hasn't done it. He's also proven that he doesn't have the athleticism or the strength to defend at the B1G level. Does that mean he shouldn't have a role with our team? Not at all. There are always roles for shooters. But playing him 30-39 minutes when we have talents like Morez Johnson is absolute madness.
 
#99      
It's so wild to me that a team many thought was going to be all offense is now seemingly being carried by its defense. Is it too much to expect our offense to get back on track before the end of the season so we can make a huge push in March?

What's interesting to me is that on 12/18/2023, our KenPom adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency ratings were 28th and 13th, respectively. I chose December 18th as a reference because it was post- Tennessee & Colgate and pre-Missouri. Our overall ranking was 14th in KenPom then. Our AP rank was 13th. Bragging Rights last year was the final game with TSJ before the controversy.

Through January and into February, our offensive efficiency began to climb in the rankings while defensive took a back seat (and Illinois inevitability ended the season ranked 80th defensive efficiency, ranked 3rd offensively).

Today, on 12/17/2024, our adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency ratings on KenPom are 29th and 11th, respectively.

I'm not sure what the significance of this is but it's interesting to consider what schematic changes were made around this time last year and going into the new year. My guess is that this is the point where offensive roles and chemistry became more established/matured, so we leaned on it more to win games vs. grinding out teams defensively. One obvious example of maturing offensively and role establishment through the season is Domask, who around the turn of the new year, really hit his stride from 3 (see green line on the graph below, showing his 5-game moving average from 3 compared to from 2 and overall) while also finding success with booty ball.

1734458168219.png


Is it crazy to say we'll see the same as players like KJ, Kylan, Tre White, Tomi, etc. come to accept and commit to their responsibility towards "the winning formula"?
 
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