Week of 2/17 Bracketology

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#1      

Dan

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#2      
Illini92and96
Dan said:
Illinois a 5 seed in the Bracket Matrix
bracketmatrix.com

Illinois #18 in the NET Rankings
www.ncaa.com

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Get NCAA college basketball rankings from the Associated Press, USA Today Coaches poll and the NCAA NET Rankings.
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Big Ten Tournament Bracket Generator

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Big 10 Conference Men's Basketball Tournament Seeding and Tiebreakers
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This seems bizarre given the season we are having. We feel like a 10 seed.
 
#6      
the juiceman cometh
Illini92and96 said:
This seems bizarre given the season we are having. We feel like a 10 seed.
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I'd keep in mind that not all of these brackets have been updated since the MSU game. If you go to Bracket Matrix you can see that there are a lot of 5-seed and even some 3-seed and 4-seed predictions pulling the average down that were last updated on 2/15 or earlier. A lot of the more recent brackets have us at 6 or 7, and our average is 5.67 putting us at the lowest lowest ranked 5-seed. I think it's likely Bracket Matrix will have us as a 6-seed relatively soon, possibly even a 7.
 
#8      
Illinialldayeveryday
would 2 more wins lock in the 7 seed? At this point you don't want the 10 seed you have to play the 15 seed and thats a no upside game. The 7/10 or 8/9 should be all quad 1 chances.
 
#10      
the juiceman cometh
Illinialldayeveryday said:
would 2 more wins lock in the 7 seed? At this point you don't want the 10 seed you have to play the 15 seed and thats a no upside game. The 7/10 or 8/9 should be all quad 1 chances.
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Idk for sure, but it feels like it would. It's a tough stretch of five games and I think 2-3 is kind of the expected result as far as the predictive analytics go.
 
#12      
Tevo
We’ll probably end up a 6 seed or so, and should be good enough, even if we’re not shooting well, to beat an 11. Then we should have a chance to ruin some 3-seed’s year by busting out an Oregon-style performance and leaving them scratching their heads how “a team like that could possibly be a 6!?”

Then we will lose our next game by 25 because we all know we can’t string two good games together.
 
#13      
Heisenbobble
Tevo said:
We’ll probably end up a 6 seed or so, and should be good enough, even if we’re not shooting well, to beat an 11. Then we should have a chance to ruin some 3-seed’s year by busting out an Oregon-style performance and leaving them scratching their heads how “a team like that could possibly be a 6!?”

Then we will lose our next game by 25 because we all know we can’t string two good games together.
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Without Morez, I'd bet on a 9-10 seed.
 
#15      
OrangeKrush1981
Impressive situation: a projected seed in the NCAA tournament that is higher than the seed our current 7th place in the B1G standings would give us in the B1G tournament.
 
#17      
DeeIL89
With seven quad 1 wins we won't be denied entry into the tournament. The consequence could be we get a double digit seed. The bubble teams this year are bad and a lot of them won't have the metric and resume that will be better than ours. There are still plenty of Quad 1 opportunities to end the conference season. Just got to hope for the best.
 
#19      
Old Farm Illini
DeeIL89 said:
With seven quad 1 wins we won't be denied entry into the tournament. The consequence could be we get a double digit seed. The bubble teams this year are bad and a lot of them won't have the metric and resume that will be better than ours. There are still plenty of Quad 1 opportunities to end the conference season. Just got to hope for the best.
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The reality is that there’s not a big difference between the quality of teams in the 5-10 seed range. I don’t even see a risk of dropping to 8-9 since we have the luxury of other teams have just as abysmal performances without the resume that we have. There have been a ton of epic collapses.
 
#21      
Battle89
OrangeKrush1981 said:
Impressive situation: a projected seed in the NCAA tournament that is higher than the seed our current 7th place in the B1G standings would give us in the B1G tournament.
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Yeah probably my natural pessimism but I'm not seeing these higher seeds coming to fruition. Happy as always to be wrong. And please keep us out of the 8-9 game, if any karmic being still has sympathy for the Illini.
 
#22      
SKane
I think that IL will do better than an 8-9 but I would not be afraid of an 8-9. Get some momentum, beat the number one seed, and then cruise onward to the final four from there.
 
#23      
steelmen72
One more win guarantees Illinois a NCAA TOURNAMENT BID! 18 regular season wins. They can lose in the conference tournament and be 18-14 and 10-10 during the regular season. If they lose their remaing games and go 17-14 and/or 17-15 with a conference tournament lose then they have no business in the NCAA TOURNAMENT, PERIOD! That would remind you of Bruce Weber last year where they started 14-3 and finished 17-14.
 
#24      
Illini in Italy
Seeing our seed progress here late in the season

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