Week of 3/2 Games Thread

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#381      
GoodePodzMelendez
Disagree with this. TTU is not a threat to jump us unless we flop. We need it to remain a Q1A win — #14 in the NET, has to be top15.
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Agreed. Tech needs to win against BYU. Tech is not getting back on the 2
Line unless they beat ether AZ or Houston or both. We handle our business and we will stay on the 2 line.
 
#382      
Justan opinion
They’re 16-0 in Q4 games.

Here are a couple of those:

76-71 vs (277) Mercyhurst
90-87 OT @ (244) UNC Asheville
105-102 OT vs (189) Buffalo
86-84 vs (201) Massachusetts
69-67 @ (285) Western Michigan

They’re 11-0 in Q3 games.

Here are a couple of those:

107-101 OT @ (144) Kent St
73-71 @ (189) Buffalo
74-72 vs (149) Toledo
110-108 OT @ (229) Ohio

They’re lucky they don’t have 9 Q3/4 losses.
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But they don't.
 
#383      
GoodePodzMelendez
I was speaking more to how people are talking about them now. A certain level of respect should be afforded to any undefeated team at this point in the season, regardless of metrics.
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I believe they can get to a 7seed and they would be a tough 7 seed. Could be an upset special to get to the S16.
 
#384      
OrangeBlue98
And my personal opinion is that for the second question, the answer should be less black and white. I don't see anything wrong with putting a 1-loss conference tournament runner-up with bad metrics in the field over Indiana. And it's fine if folks disagree with me, and I recognize I'm in the minority. Indiana took its massive NIL budget and put together a mediocre season against a "good schedule," while Miami (OH) kept clawing and scrapping toward zero losses vs. a "bad schedule" ... I'm more impressed by the latter, myself, even if they get one loss.


Yes, so say the computers. And for now, we'll just have to trust them in this hypothetical.
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We might as well not even play the NCAA tournament. Just run a simulation based on NET, KenPom, and Torvik ratings and make it a one day made for TV extravaganza. Saves a lot of money on travel and security, too.
 
#386      
Chase321
Fly Illini Fly! said:
There’s zero chance they lose (and quite frankly, don’t know if that’d do us any good), but it’s so idiotic the folks who were claiming they’d choose to rather be in Duke/AZ bracket.

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I told myself not to get my hopes up when OSU was up 13 on Houston but I did anyway. Now my hopes are up that UCONN will lose now that rhey are down midway through the 2nd but as you said I don’t know it helps us. I assume though they drop to a 2?
 
#396      
IllinitripleJ
NarrowJ said:
Indiana has more Q1 wins, Miami hasn't beaten anyone of any substance (Akron? okay)

They've ran through a bunch of Q3/4 opponents, and won a bunch of close games (top 2 percentile in KP Luck)

Indiana has 9 B1G wins... beat Wisconsin, Purdue, won at UCLA (Indiana only team to accomplish this)... those are accomplishments... how many B1G level teams has Miami OH beaten?



Exactly... Miami OH is not "more accomplished"... that's silly to say, imo



It is certainly relevant. Isn't this whole discussion about which team is better? Why would a betting line not be relevant? Nah, it is
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Indiana played no one in nonconference except the worst Marquette team since 1963-1964 (when Ed Hickey was coaching them) and Louisville. Louisville blew them out. I don't think mediocre Big 10 teams should be rewarded for playing soft non conference schedules when it comes to being on the bubble. They did win at UCLA but got blown out by a lousy USC team. They also just lost at home to the Kitties. Could Northwestern go to Miami of Ohio and beat them? I doubt it. I pass on Indiana. In the last three weeks they have been blown out by the Illini, Sparty and Purdue.
 
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