We “should” win but should don’t hang no banners. Nervous but if we play good we win. It’s that simple really. I hope we come out cooking from the tip.
If we play well for 40, not necessarily GREAT, but well.....we win by double digits.
We can't have a 6 for 31 night from three, we can't let dribble drive suck us in for uncontested threes, shoot reasonably well from the line(75%) and rebound the ball per usual.
Then, it comes down to guys just playing well. This is a FAR less athletic team than we've played this last two games. It's not close. This should be a game where Wagler should thrive. Drej should thrive. Our bigs should thrive. They don't have the ultra quick guards that can give us fits. They don't have the bouncy, physical bigs that give us fits. We are a LOT more talented than they are.
What does concern me is Sturtz getting on a heater, them gaining momentum and we're getting rained on. The flip side is we have the potential to do the exact same thing.
I feel like there's no middle ground on this one.
It's either:
Illinois 91
Iowa. 71
Or we have a Nebraska(at home) type game and as has been our trend....can't close games out with free throws, can't get critical rebounds, etc
Iowa. 77
Illinois. 74
They cannot beat us, but we can beat us. We've been home free in games and everything unravels and unravels quickly. It's never a slow leak. It's a 10-2 run in 2 minutes.
I lean towards a comfortable Illinois win, but I'm fully prepared for multiple WTF stretches.