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<blockquote data-quote="the juiceman cometh" data-source="post: 1688962" data-attributes="member: 747321"><p>I mean, before I saw this article of you'd told me on average a 1 seed is 2x more likely to win it all than a 2 seed I'd have been surprised. Is a 1 seed really that much better? Add in the chaos of a single elimination tourney, and it's gotta be much closer than that, right?</p><p></p><p>Article shows that going back to 1985 (1st year of 64-team tourney) 1 seeds have won 23/36. 2 seeds 5/36. 3 seeds 4/36. Historically a 1 seed is 2x more likely to win the tourney <em>than the entire rest of the field combined.</em></p><p></p><p>Of course we have a chance even if we don't get a 1 seed. Every team that makes the 68 team field has a chance. Just saying I think the "chaos" of the tourney gets exaggerated a bit, and typically the team coming away with the prize at the end is from that top tier of teams.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="the juiceman cometh, post: 1688962, member: 747321"] I mean, before I saw this article of you'd told me on average a 1 seed is 2x more likely to win it all than a 2 seed I'd have been surprised. Is a 1 seed really that much better? Add in the chaos of a single elimination tourney, and it's gotta be much closer than that, right? Article shows that going back to 1985 (1st year of 64-team tourney) 1 seeds have won 23/36. 2 seeds 5/36. 3 seeds 4/36. Historically a 1 seed is 2x more likely to win the tourney [I]than the entire rest of the field combined.[/I] Of course we have a chance even if we don't get a 1 seed. Every team that makes the 68 team field has a chance. Just saying I think the "chaos" of the tourney gets exaggerated a bit, and typically the team coming away with the prize at the end is from that top tier of teams. [/QUOTE]
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