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2019 St. Louis Cardinals
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<blockquote data-quote="FollowTisdale" data-source="post: 1479827" data-attributes="member: 619279"><p>Well, the likelihood of the Cardinals losing all 7 against the Cubs and still going 8-8 is pretty low. And no, it doesn't matter who the games are against, Cubs go 11-5 winning all 7 of their head to heads, Cardinals go 8-8 (8-1 against not Cubs teams), and they still win the division (pending Brewers results). I'm just saying, being 4 games up with 16 to play is a pretty "odds heavily in your favor" scenario. Obviously there are scenarios in which that lead goes away the Cubs/ Brewers win the division, but there's a reason Fangraphs has the Cardinals with 76.7% odds to win the division.</p><p></p><p>I mean it's baseball, so things that only have a 23.3% likelihood of happening (the Cardinals NOT winning the division) do happen sometimes, but only... 23.3% of the time.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="FollowTisdale, post: 1479827, member: 619279"] Well, the likelihood of the Cardinals losing all 7 against the Cubs and still going 8-8 is pretty low. And no, it doesn't matter who the games are against, Cubs go 11-5 winning all 7 of their head to heads, Cardinals go 8-8 (8-1 against not Cubs teams), and they still win the division (pending Brewers results). I'm just saying, being 4 games up with 16 to play is a pretty "odds heavily in your favor" scenario. Obviously there are scenarios in which that lead goes away the Cubs/ Brewers win the division, but there's a reason Fangraphs has the Cardinals with 76.7% odds to win the division. I mean it's baseball, so things that only have a 23.3% likelihood of happening (the Cardinals NOT winning the division) do happen sometimes, but only... 23.3% of the time. [/QUOTE]
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2019 St. Louis Cardinals
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