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2022 FIFA World Cup Thread
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<blockquote data-quote="danielb927" data-source="post: 1821590" data-attributes="member: 3372"><p>My take now is that there's no way we can get by with a loss to Iran. They would finish with 6 points, definitely advancing. If we'd beat England we'd be at 4 points, but England would only need to draw Wales to tie us on points - and they have that +4 goal differential in hand already.</p><p></p><p>So here are are our paths:</p><p>1. Win today, win or draw over Iran</p><p>2. Draw today, win over Iran</p><p>3. Lose by 1 today, win over Iran</p><p>4. Lose by 2 today, win big over Iran or win and get help from England</p><p></p><p>The first two are mathematical certainties, the last 2 just my takes. In situation 3 we'd finish with 4 points and a 0 or better goal differential - Wales would have to beat England by 2+ to catch up on goal differential. Of course that could still happen but I see it as unlikely since England would go into that last game knowing a draw clinches first in the group.</p><p></p><p>First things first - let's go all 1776 on England today!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="danielb927, post: 1821590, member: 3372"] My take now is that there's no way we can get by with a loss to Iran. They would finish with 6 points, definitely advancing. If we'd beat England we'd be at 4 points, but England would only need to draw Wales to tie us on points - and they have that +4 goal differential in hand already. So here are are our paths: 1. Win today, win or draw over Iran 2. Draw today, win over Iran 3. Lose by 1 today, win over Iran 4. Lose by 2 today, win big over Iran or win and get help from England The first two are mathematical certainties, the last 2 just my takes. In situation 3 we'd finish with 4 points and a 0 or better goal differential - Wales would have to beat England by 2+ to catch up on goal differential. Of course that could still happen but I see it as unlikely since England would go into that last game knowing a draw clinches first in the group. First things first - let's go all 1776 on England today! [/QUOTE]
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