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Big Ten Media Rights / Conference Realignment
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<blockquote data-quote="Second and Chalmers" data-source="post: 1230874" data-attributes="member: 527609"><p>Totally, totally 100% agree with this. No disagreement whatsoever.</p><p></p><p>That's not the point people make though. The argument people make is that the Big Ten is the once and forever revenue king and will make ever more money forever because our schools are marginally higher in the US News Rankings and Jim Delany is a chessmaster thinking 7 moves ahead of the rest of the sports world, and any school in America would crawl over their mother to prostrate themselves before the entry gates of our almighty union.</p><p></p><p>I'm barely exaggerating.</p><p></p><p>I have two points.</p><p></p><p>1. All of college sports, and much of US televised sports generally, is currently a bubble because of the way they have generated colossal rent-seeking revenue from the existing but receding media paradigm, which doesn't reflect the actual interest in their product. The money is going to go downward. Possibly quite gradually and not anywhere near to zero, but the scams that are pushing revenue through the roof are temporary.</p><p></p><p>2. Because of how heavily leveraged the Big Ten is in the current paradigm, in a variety of ways, I see the Pac 12 and SEC as somewhat, SOMEWHAT, better positioned for the long-term future than the Big Ten. Particularly the SEC. That could change, there is a lot of uncertainty, but the Big Ten has made moves for short term gain and long term problems in a way those other leagues have not.</p><p></p><p>Again, that is not to say whatsoever that the Big Ten is doomed to failure or breakup or anything like that. But the idea that anyone is even in the same stratosphere as the Big Ten as a business entity, let alone better positioned for the future, is a very controversial one around here, and I can't seem to stop myself from harping on what I see as the faulty assumptions underlying that conventional wisdom.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Second and Chalmers, post: 1230874, member: 527609"] Totally, totally 100% agree with this. No disagreement whatsoever. That's not the point people make though. The argument people make is that the Big Ten is the once and forever revenue king and will make ever more money forever because our schools are marginally higher in the US News Rankings and Jim Delany is a chessmaster thinking 7 moves ahead of the rest of the sports world, and any school in America would crawl over their mother to prostrate themselves before the entry gates of our almighty union. I'm barely exaggerating. I have two points. 1. All of college sports, and much of US televised sports generally, is currently a bubble because of the way they have generated colossal rent-seeking revenue from the existing but receding media paradigm, which doesn't reflect the actual interest in their product. The money is going to go downward. Possibly quite gradually and not anywhere near to zero, but the scams that are pushing revenue through the roof are temporary. 2. Because of how heavily leveraged the Big Ten is in the current paradigm, in a variety of ways, I see the Pac 12 and SEC as somewhat, SOMEWHAT, better positioned for the long-term future than the Big Ten. Particularly the SEC. That could change, there is a lot of uncertainty, but the Big Ten has made moves for short term gain and long term problems in a way those other leagues have not. Again, that is not to say whatsoever that the Big Ten is doomed to failure or breakup or anything like that. But the idea that anyone is even in the same stratosphere as the Big Ten as a business entity, let alone better positioned for the future, is a very controversial one around here, and I can't seem to stop myself from harping on what I see as the faulty assumptions underlying that conventional wisdom. [/QUOTE]
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