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Big Ten Media Rights / Conference Realignment
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<blockquote data-quote="Second and Chalmers" data-source="post: 1238258" data-attributes="member: 527609"><p>This is a misguided analysis.</p><p></p><p>First of all, the Big 12's TV contract, which runs through 2025, automatically provides for pre-negotiated increased revenue in the event of expansion. That is why ESPN and Fox Sports have been so vocally upset during this process. It didn't matter which underwhelming schools the Big 12 picked, they were going to be on the hook for the bill either way. And it appears that the networks have sweetened the pot in order to kill this expansion deal.</p><p></p><p>Secondly, remember the history here. The Pac 16 was a done deal in 2010. It was only a ludicrous last-minute bribe from ESPN to Texas (the Longhorn Network) that prevented that tectonic shift from happening. Ever since then the Big 12 has been a fundamentally extortionate relationship in which the schools that have suitors elsewhere (OU and Texas) can demand anything they want from the schools whose time as major conference programs is over when the conference inevitably breaks up (Iowa State, TCU, Kansas State, etc).</p><p></p><p>Texas and OU pushed for expansion as they saw it in their short-term football best interests. But the other schools know that their endgame hand is stronger in 2025 if they are fewer in number and stronger on average. That puts them in a position, potentially, to bribe Texas and OU to keep the conference together. Add 2 or 4 lesser mouths to feed and the numbers just don't work.</p><p></p><p>So here are the questions going forward.</p><p></p><p>1. Is the Pac 16 still possible? Adding Utah and losing Texas A&M to the SEC most likely killed this for good. But a Pac 16 with Texas and OU is the only way 4X16 will ever occur. The Pac 12 has no incentive to come East for table scraps.</p><p></p><p>2. Can the Little 8 bribe Texas and OU to keep the conference alive beyond 2025. Do they even want to? Do they have a TV partner to make it happen?</p><p></p><p>3. Do the B1G, SEC and ACC want to go to 16 and let the Pac 12 have an easier playoff path?</p><p></p><p>4. If the answer is yes, where does everyone go?</p><p></p><p>The TV deals end in 2025. The future will all be in writing by 2024. The real backroom dealings will probably start a year or two even before that. And the rumors will never stop. Ah college sports...</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Second and Chalmers, post: 1238258, member: 527609"] This is a misguided analysis. First of all, the Big 12's TV contract, which runs through 2025, automatically provides for pre-negotiated increased revenue in the event of expansion. That is why ESPN and Fox Sports have been so vocally upset during this process. It didn't matter which underwhelming schools the Big 12 picked, they were going to be on the hook for the bill either way. And it appears that the networks have sweetened the pot in order to kill this expansion deal. Secondly, remember the history here. The Pac 16 was a done deal in 2010. It was only a ludicrous last-minute bribe from ESPN to Texas (the Longhorn Network) that prevented that tectonic shift from happening. Ever since then the Big 12 has been a fundamentally extortionate relationship in which the schools that have suitors elsewhere (OU and Texas) can demand anything they want from the schools whose time as major conference programs is over when the conference inevitably breaks up (Iowa State, TCU, Kansas State, etc). Texas and OU pushed for expansion as they saw it in their short-term football best interests. But the other schools know that their endgame hand is stronger in 2025 if they are fewer in number and stronger on average. That puts them in a position, potentially, to bribe Texas and OU to keep the conference together. Add 2 or 4 lesser mouths to feed and the numbers just don't work. So here are the questions going forward. 1. Is the Pac 16 still possible? Adding Utah and losing Texas A&M to the SEC most likely killed this for good. But a Pac 16 with Texas and OU is the only way 4X16 will ever occur. The Pac 12 has no incentive to come East for table scraps. 2. Can the Little 8 bribe Texas and OU to keep the conference alive beyond 2025. Do they even want to? Do they have a TV partner to make it happen? 3. Do the B1G, SEC and ACC want to go to 16 and let the Pac 12 have an easier playoff path? 4. If the answer is yes, where does everyone go? The TV deals end in 2025. The future will all be in writing by 2024. The real backroom dealings will probably start a year or two even before that. And the rumors will never stop. Ah college sports... [/QUOTE]
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