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<blockquote data-quote="Piotyr" data-source="post: 1590738" data-attributes="member: 747104"><p>I find this article interesting, presenting an argument to do away with the selection committee and just pick tournament teams based on an objective measure of accomplishment: <a href="https://www.kansascity.com/sports/article249265095.html">https://www.kansascity.com/sports/article249265095.html</a></p><p></p><p>This article suggests using the "Wins over bubble" statistic, but I've seen arguments for just using the strength of record metric, which measures how strong a team's wins and how weak their losses are.</p><p></p><p>Taking a quick look at that, let's see how the bracket looks right now based on those two metrics.</p><p>WAB: <a href="https://barttorvik.com/?sort=34&begin=20201101&end=20210501&conlimit=All&year=2021&top=0&hteam=&quad=5&rpi=#">https://barttorvik.com/?sort=34&begin=20201101&end=20210501&conlimit=All&year=2021&top=0&hteam=&quad=5&rpi=#</a></p><p></p><p>Interestingly here, at the top, Michigan and Ohio State are rated above Baylor, due to the better wins on their schedules (helped by the fact that Ohio State has played 5 more games than Baylor and Michigan). The at-large quality tournament teams are, in order:</p><p></p><p>1 seeds: 1) Gonzaga - 2) Michigan - 3) Ohio State - 4) Baylor</p><p>2 seeds: 5) Illinois - 6) Alabama - 7) Iowa - 8) West Virginia</p><p>3 seeds: 9) Villanova - 10) Clemson - 11) Kansas - 12) Virginia</p><p>4 seeds: 13) USC - 14) Creighton - 15) Arkansas - 16) Florida State</p><p>5 seeds: 17) Purdue - 18) Wisconsin - 19) Oklahoma - 20) BYU</p><p>6 seeds: 21) Houston - 22) Missouri - 23) UCLA - 24) Drake</p><p>7 seeds: 25) Virginia Tech - 26) North Carolina - 27) Oregon - 28) Texas</p><p>8 seeds: 29) Tennessee - 30) Wichita State - 31) Oklahoma State - 32) LSU</p><p>9 seeds: 33) Colorado - 34) Louisville - 35) Boise State - 36) Rutgers</p><p>10 seeds: 37) Loyola Chicago - 38) VCU - 39) Belmont - 40) St. Bonaventure</p><p>11 seeds: 41) Florida - 42) Texas Tech - 43) Minnesota - 44) Colorado State</p><p>12 seeds: 45) Maryland - 49) Winthrop - 50) Western Kentucky </p><p>Last 4 in: 46) San Diego State - 47) SMU - 48) Xavier - 51) Indiana</p><p>First 4 out: Seton Hall, Syracuse, Connecticut, Richmond</p><p>Next 4 out: Navy, Michigan State, Stanford, Colgate</p><p></p><p>If we go by Strength of Record instead, the bracket looks more like: <a href="https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bpi/_/dir/asc/view/overview/sort/sorrank">https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bpi/_/dir/asc/view/overview/sort/sorrank</a></p><p></p><p>1 seeds: 1) Gonzaga - 2) Baylor - 3) Michigan - 4) Ohio State</p><p>2 seeds: 5) Illinois - 6) Alabama - 7) West Virginia - 8) Villanova</p><p>3 seeds: 9) Iowa - 10) Clemson - 11) Kansas - 12) Florida State</p><p>4 seeds: 13) Oklahoma - 14) Virginia - 15) Creighton - 16) USC</p><p>5 seeds: 17) Arkansas - 18) Missouri - 19) Wisconsin - 20) Virginia Tech</p><p>6 seeds: 21) Purdue - 22) Texas - 23) Houston - 24) BYU</p><p>7 seeds: 25) UCLA - 26) North Carolina - 27) Oregon - 28) LSU</p><p>8 seeds: 29) Tennessee - 30) Oklahoma State - 31) Rutgers - 32) Texas Tech</p><p>9 seeds: 33) Louisville - 34) Drake - 35) Wichita State - 36) Minnesota</p><p>10 seeds: 37) Florida - 38) Colorado - 39) Boise State - 40) St. Bonaventure</p><p>11 seeds: 41) Xavier - 42) VCU - 43) Belmont - 44) Maryland</p><p>12 seeds 45) SMU - 46) Western Kentucky - 50) Winthrop</p><p>Last 4 in: 47) Indiana - 48) Loyola Chicago - 49) Colorado State - 51) UConn</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Piotyr, post: 1590738, member: 747104"] I find this article interesting, presenting an argument to do away with the selection committee and just pick tournament teams based on an objective measure of accomplishment: [URL]https://www.kansascity.com/sports/article249265095.html[/URL] This article suggests using the "Wins over bubble" statistic, but I've seen arguments for just using the strength of record metric, which measures how strong a team's wins and how weak their losses are. Taking a quick look at that, let's see how the bracket looks right now based on those two metrics. WAB: [URL]https://barttorvik.com/?sort=34&begin=20201101&end=20210501&conlimit=All&year=2021&top=0&hteam=&quad=5&rpi=#[/URL] Interestingly here, at the top, Michigan and Ohio State are rated above Baylor, due to the better wins on their schedules (helped by the fact that Ohio State has played 5 more games than Baylor and Michigan). The at-large quality tournament teams are, in order: 1 seeds: 1) Gonzaga - 2) Michigan - 3) Ohio State - 4) Baylor 2 seeds: 5) Illinois - 6) Alabama - 7) Iowa - 8) West Virginia 3 seeds: 9) Villanova - 10) Clemson - 11) Kansas - 12) Virginia 4 seeds: 13) USC - 14) Creighton - 15) Arkansas - 16) Florida State 5 seeds: 17) Purdue - 18) Wisconsin - 19) Oklahoma - 20) BYU 6 seeds: 21) Houston - 22) Missouri - 23) UCLA - 24) Drake 7 seeds: 25) Virginia Tech - 26) North Carolina - 27) Oregon - 28) Texas 8 seeds: 29) Tennessee - 30) Wichita State - 31) Oklahoma State - 32) LSU 9 seeds: 33) Colorado - 34) Louisville - 35) Boise State - 36) Rutgers 10 seeds: 37) Loyola Chicago - 38) VCU - 39) Belmont - 40) St. Bonaventure 11 seeds: 41) Florida - 42) Texas Tech - 43) Minnesota - 44) Colorado State 12 seeds: 45) Maryland - 49) Winthrop - 50) Western Kentucky Last 4 in: 46) San Diego State - 47) SMU - 48) Xavier - 51) Indiana First 4 out: Seton Hall, Syracuse, Connecticut, Richmond Next 4 out: Navy, Michigan State, Stanford, Colgate If we go by Strength of Record instead, the bracket looks more like: [URL]https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bpi/_/dir/asc/view/overview/sort/sorrank[/URL] 1 seeds: 1) Gonzaga - 2) Baylor - 3) Michigan - 4) Ohio State 2 seeds: 5) Illinois - 6) Alabama - 7) West Virginia - 8) Villanova 3 seeds: 9) Iowa - 10) Clemson - 11) Kansas - 12) Florida State 4 seeds: 13) Oklahoma - 14) Virginia - 15) Creighton - 16) USC 5 seeds: 17) Arkansas - 18) Missouri - 19) Wisconsin - 20) Virginia Tech 6 seeds: 21) Purdue - 22) Texas - 23) Houston - 24) BYU 7 seeds: 25) UCLA - 26) North Carolina - 27) Oregon - 28) LSU 8 seeds: 29) Tennessee - 30) Oklahoma State - 31) Rutgers - 32) Texas Tech 9 seeds: 33) Louisville - 34) Drake - 35) Wichita State - 36) Minnesota 10 seeds: 37) Florida - 38) Colorado - 39) Boise State - 40) St. Bonaventure 11 seeds: 41) Xavier - 42) VCU - 43) Belmont - 44) Maryland 12 seeds 45) SMU - 46) Western Kentucky - 50) Winthrop Last 4 in: 47) Indiana - 48) Loyola Chicago - 49) Colorado State - 51) UConn [/QUOTE]
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