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<blockquote data-quote="FollowTisdale" data-source="post: 1512395" data-attributes="member: 619279"><p>Well for 1 thing Goldschmidt shouldn't even be hitting 3rd, he should be hitting 2nd as that's the most productive place to but your best hitter. He started hitting 2nd last year for this very reason, but hit like crap for the 1st two months of the season and Shildt moved things around. </p><p></p><p>Lineup protection doesn't exist, at least statistically. I'll admit it's probably a psychological thing for the players, to a certain degree, but the only position in the lineup that it's statistically shown gets pitched to differently depending on who is hitting behind them is the 8th position since the pitcher is usually hitting behind them.</p><p></p><p>And like WPR said, the payroll they run is usually right in line with their total revenue relative to other teams; they're never going to run payrolls right at the luxury tax line like the top 5 revenue teams (NYY, LAD, Boston, Cubs, Giants). Opening day (without a late Ozuna signing), they're going to be at about $170MM. Personally, I think they should be running closer to $190MM to keep up with revenues, which is about where they'll be with a Ozuna signing. But Ozuna was never that great of a hitter with the Cardinals and really doesn't change the team much; 107 wRC+ in 2018 and 110 wRC+ last year (7% and 10% better than league average). If they can get him for a 3 year deal around $50MM then sure, he's not worth much more than that though.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="FollowTisdale, post: 1512395, member: 619279"] Well for 1 thing Goldschmidt shouldn't even be hitting 3rd, he should be hitting 2nd as that's the most productive place to but your best hitter. He started hitting 2nd last year for this very reason, but hit like crap for the 1st two months of the season and Shildt moved things around. Lineup protection doesn't exist, at least statistically. I'll admit it's probably a psychological thing for the players, to a certain degree, but the only position in the lineup that it's statistically shown gets pitched to differently depending on who is hitting behind them is the 8th position since the pitcher is usually hitting behind them. And like WPR said, the payroll they run is usually right in line with their total revenue relative to other teams; they're never going to run payrolls right at the luxury tax line like the top 5 revenue teams (NYY, LAD, Boston, Cubs, Giants). Opening day (without a late Ozuna signing), they're going to be at about $170MM. Personally, I think they should be running closer to $190MM to keep up with revenues, which is about where they'll be with a Ozuna signing. But Ozuna was never that great of a hitter with the Cardinals and really doesn't change the team much; 107 wRC+ in 2018 and 110 wRC+ last year (7% and 10% better than league average). If they can get him for a 3 year deal around $50MM then sure, he's not worth much more than that though. [/QUOTE]
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