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Chicago Cubs 2018 Season
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<blockquote data-quote="champaignchris" data-source="post: 1359776" data-attributes="member: 26283"><p>The Brewers signed Yovani Gallardo, pretty much signaling that they were out of the running for any of the top-flight (or even second tier) starting pitching FA’s. They were settled for starters anyway except that Jimmy Nelson is going to miss most likely the whole season with TJS. They were looking for a stop gap. </p><p></p><p>By the way, I think the Brewers are due for some major, hard core regression this year. They had a lot of pitchers out perform their entire careers last year and it probably won’t happen again. </p><p></p><p>And that trade Jesse Rogers pulled out of his nether regions... even IF you think that 2017 was a fluke and the Cubs would be getting 2015 or 2016 Machado, and even IF you think that Addison Russell has topped out in production at age 23, you’re still talking about one 6 WAR season of Machado in exchange for four 3 WAR seasons from Russell. </p><p></p><p>It might makes some sort of sense if the Cubs window to compete for a WS was closing. But even then, upgrading from a good shortstop to an elite shortstop isn’t a particularly effective upgrade. Maybe he adds three wins in the regular season. Probably not the difference between making the playoffs or not. He would probably be worth half a win in the playoffs. At most. Not the difference between a WS or not. </p><p></p><p>Standing pat and hoping for better luck has a better chance of working out for the Cubs this year than a Russell-Machado trade. (Not saying the Cubs should stand pat. Just there are far more effective areas to improve the club.) And a Russell-Machado grade would certainly hurt the Cubs chances in future years.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="champaignchris, post: 1359776, member: 26283"] The Brewers signed Yovani Gallardo, pretty much signaling that they were out of the running for any of the top-flight (or even second tier) starting pitching FA’s. They were settled for starters anyway except that Jimmy Nelson is going to miss most likely the whole season with TJS. They were looking for a stop gap. By the way, I think the Brewers are due for some major, hard core regression this year. They had a lot of pitchers out perform their entire careers last year and it probably won’t happen again. And that trade Jesse Rogers pulled out of his nether regions... even IF you think that 2017 was a fluke and the Cubs would be getting 2015 or 2016 Machado, and even IF you think that Addison Russell has topped out in production at age 23, you’re still talking about one 6 WAR season of Machado in exchange for four 3 WAR seasons from Russell. It might makes some sort of sense if the Cubs window to compete for a WS was closing. But even then, upgrading from a good shortstop to an elite shortstop isn’t a particularly effective upgrade. Maybe he adds three wins in the regular season. Probably not the difference between making the playoffs or not. He would probably be worth half a win in the playoffs. At most. Not the difference between a WS or not. Standing pat and hoping for better luck has a better chance of working out for the Cubs this year than a Russell-Machado trade. (Not saying the Cubs should stand pat. Just there are far more effective areas to improve the club.) And a Russell-Machado grade would certainly hurt the Cubs chances in future years. [/QUOTE]
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Chicago Cubs 2018 Season
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