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Chicago Cubs 2019 Season
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<blockquote data-quote="champaignchris" data-source="post: 1473610" data-attributes="member: 26283"><p>Cubs' team OPS is .796 at home and .763 on the road. And that's completely normal. Most teams are a little worse on offense on the road. The average disparity between home and road OPS is right at .030. </p><p></p><p>It's the pitching that makes the difference. Home ERA is 3.27 (2nd best in the Majors) and away ERA is 4.73. That's a run and a half difference per game when the MLB average difference is about a third of run between home and away. </p><p></p><p>Basically, the Cubs are an above average offense wherever they play. At home they're a great pitching staff, but away they're below average. </p><p></p><p>There has also been a ton of bad luck involved. The Cubs have actually outscored their opponents on the road 268 to 264. They're playing 6 games below their Pythagorean expectation on the road. Which means they probably don't have to make any real changes to be a .500 road team over the rest of the year. Do that while continuing to win at home over the next two months and they should walk away with the division.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="champaignchris, post: 1473610, member: 26283"] Cubs' team OPS is .796 at home and .763 on the road. And that's completely normal. Most teams are a little worse on offense on the road. The average disparity between home and road OPS is right at .030. It's the pitching that makes the difference. Home ERA is 3.27 (2nd best in the Majors) and away ERA is 4.73. That's a run and a half difference per game when the MLB average difference is about a third of run between home and away. Basically, the Cubs are an above average offense wherever they play. At home they're a great pitching staff, but away they're below average. There has also been a ton of bad luck involved. The Cubs have actually outscored their opponents on the road 268 to 264. They're playing 6 games below their Pythagorean expectation on the road. Which means they probably don't have to make any real changes to be a .500 road team over the rest of the year. Do that while continuing to win at home over the next two months and they should walk away with the division. [/QUOTE]
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Chicago Cubs 2019 Season
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