I thought ESPN and Fangraphs used the same odds calculator, but ESPN now has the Cubs up to 7.1%. Baseball Reference is more optimistic with it being 15.3.
Chicago Cubs 2024
I thought ESPN and Fangraphs used the same odds calculator, but ESPN now has the Cubs up to 7.1%. Baseball Reference is more optimistic with it being 15.3.
Perusing the standings. NL is winning the interleague competition this season, 1044 wins to 1015. The Sox are the difference.
www.statmuse.com
MLB Interleague Play Record | StatMuse
MLB interleague play record this regular season
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That loss pales in comparison to the possibility of losing Steele the rest of the year.
As good as the extended wild card is for fans, in some ways it is just as bad for rebuilding franchises on an upward trajectory and makes it tough on GMs. I give Hoyer credit for his approach at the deadline. Cubs were playing “average” ball — think they were like 10 games out in division and 6 out in wild card (can’t remember how many teams between them and final spot). While a lot of fans see that wild card number and think we can still make wild card so make some trades to get there, in Cubs case it wasn’t really the prudent thing to do. Tinker around the edges to maybe get a leg up this season but with more an eye on 2025 when your young core should start making appearances was the right thing to do.
As to the answer to the original question, I agree with you that knowing the outcome skews everything, but you always want the playoffs. Last year neither World Series team was a divisional winner nor even in first wild card spot. Never know what can happen. Player or two get scorching in playoffs, and might just find yourself in WS.
KBLEE
- Montgomery, IL
Uggh - the Bartman Game. I was there. Even after winning it all, that one still hurts.
Agreed but the intention of the question was knowing the outcome.
After hearing Hoyer on the Score this morning he didn't sound overly optimistic. If so, final nail in the coffin. He's our stud.
I’d still take playoffs as long as they weren’t negatively impacting future by having made deadline trades to get there. Playoff experience is always good even if swept, and that sweep might just act as additional motivation going into offseason.
Atlanta wins, Mets win, and we leave 8 men on base the first 3 innings and get shut out. Is it safe to say we're done?
Friendly confines.
Friendly confines.
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This was almost predictable. 8-1 road trip, come home to play a struggling Pirates team, get swept. Sports!Atlanta wins, Mets win, and we leave 8 men on base the first 3 innings and get shut out. Is it safe to say we're done?
Friendly confines.
We were done months ago. Too many flaws and too many injuries.Atlanta wins, Mets win, and we leave 8 men on base the first 3 innings and get shut out. Is it safe to say we're done?
Friendly confines.
just for curiousity, dug back to this old post back on Aug 22 Cubs under .500 - 5.5 games back
... Braves are now 76-63 -.547, Cubs 72 - 68 - 4.5 games ahead of Cubs
...Braves pace up to 88.6 games -> Cubs to get to 89 games (just to tie & lose tiebreaker) 17-5 =>.772 pace
...then of course the Mets are still 4 games ahead as well @ 76-64
...so we have went 10-3 (.769) since Aug 22 and have lost ground on the pace we needed to catch the Braves & I think the Mets have extended there lead on the Cubs.
But, hey, the no-hitter last night was fun.
Remaining games. Mets have tough schedule. Cubs need to play well against good teams not just under .500 teams.
| G | W | L | G | W | L | G | W | L | |||||||||||
| Cubs | 72 | 68 | Mets | 76 | 64 | Braves | 76 | 63 | |||||||||||
1 | Rockies | 51 | 89 | -38 | -38 | ||||||||||||||
3 | Yankees | 80 | 60 | 20 | 60 | 3 | Reds | 67 | 73 | -6 | -18 | 3 | Blue Jays | 67 | 74 | -7 | -21 | ||
3 | at Dodgers | 84 | 56 | 28 | 84 | 3 | at Blue Jays | 67 | 74 | -7 | -21 | 1 | Reds | 67 | 73 | -6 | -6 | ||
3 | at Rockies | 51 | 89 | -38 | -114 | 3 | at Phillies | 83 | 56 | 27 | 81 | 2 | at Nationals | 62 | 77 | -15 | -30 | ||
3 | Athletics | 61 | 79 | -18 | -54 | 3 | Nationals | 62 | 77 | -15 | -45 | 4 | Dodgers | 84 | 56 | 28 | 112 | ||
4 | Nationals | 62 | 77 | -15 | -60 | 4 | Phillies | 83 | 56 | 27 | 108 | 3 | at Reds | 67 | 73 | -6 | -18 | ||
3 | at Phillies | 83 | 56 | 27 | 81 | 3 | at Braves | 76 | 63 | 13 | 39 | 3 | at Marlins | 52 | 87 | -35 | -105 | ||
3 | Reds | 67 | 73 | -6 | -18 | 3 | at Brewers | 81 | 59 | 22 | 66 | 3 | Mets | 76 | 64 | 12 | 36 | ||
22 | -2 | -21 | 22 | 61 | 210 | 3 | Royals | 76 | 65 | 11 | 33 | ||||||||
23 | -56 | -37 |
I think if it was only 1 team in front of you, maybe you could hope for some help with a collapse (like the Cubs gave the Mets in 69)...but at this point with both the Mets & Braves that far in front it will probably take better than a .750 finish considering both the Braves & Mets have been playing above their season average as of late.
