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Football Recruiting 2019: How do the Illini Stack Up?
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<blockquote data-quote="Deleted member 631370" data-source="post: 1455993"><p>It's a shame that when that meteor eventually finishes us off, the question of the extent to which ratings predict performance will remain unresolved. </p><p></p><p>A few things have been established. Teams that have a BCR (or blue chip ratio) of less than 50% -- meaning, less than 50% of their roster consists of 4/5* recruits -- have never won a title in the modern era of recruiting ratings. And year after year, team recruiting rankings correlate fairly well with performance. It's not a perfect correlation, but the aggregate data definitely supports correlation at a minimum.</p><p></p><p>I know you're not discarding it outright (as many have done). And I agree with your basic point. I guess I'm more supportive of relying on ratings than many, but of course there are inherent limitations.</p><p></p><p>I'll put it this way. Ratings are *generally* indicative of talent, and talent is a necessary -- but not sufficient -- condition for success.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Deleted member 631370, post: 1455993"] It's a shame that when that meteor eventually finishes us off, the question of the extent to which ratings predict performance will remain unresolved. A few things have been established. Teams that have a BCR (or blue chip ratio) of less than 50% -- meaning, less than 50% of their roster consists of 4/5* recruits -- have never won a title in the modern era of recruiting ratings. And year after year, team recruiting rankings correlate fairly well with performance. It's not a perfect correlation, but the aggregate data definitely supports correlation at a minimum. I know you're not discarding it outright (as many have done). And I agree with your basic point. I guess I'm more supportive of relying on ratings than many, but of course there are inherent limitations. I'll put it this way. Ratings are *generally* indicative of talent, and talent is a necessary -- but not sufficient -- condition for success. [/QUOTE]
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Football Recruiting 2019: How do the Illini Stack Up?
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