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Illini Basketball 2016-2017
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<blockquote data-quote="ChiefIllini" data-source="post: 1252433" data-attributes="member: 588522"><p>Record only gets you so far... Depending on who are victories against, i.e. if we beat: MDx2, NWx2,Iowax2,Mich,Rutgers,PSUx2, and Minny, our best wins this season are probably VCU, NCSU, and maybe MD and Mich, though theres a high chance we dont have a single win agianst a ranked oppenent come March. That puts us at 21 wins. Lets say we assume we win one BTT game, it wont be any better than any regular season win. So 22 wins, none against op 25 teams... That looks like a 7 seed at best. </p><p></p><p>I dont think this is how it goes down, its pretty much the chalkiest answer I could give. But I guess I'm saying there are a few ways we get to 11 wins and it not look as spectacular as you may think. We play a relatively weak schedule this year in conference. </p><p></p><p>Realistically, we probably lose 3 of the games i mentioned, and win 1 or 2 I didn't, which puts us at something along the lines of 9-9 or 10-8, which in my mind puts us in the same situation--a 7ish seed (assuming we win a game or two in the BTT tourney). While I'd like to think 20 wins means we dance, unless we knock off Indiana, Purdue, or Wisconsin, I don't think it does. 21 wins puts us squarely on the bubble and that Winthrop loss looms its short head once again. 22, regardless of who or when, should get us with comfort. </p><p></p><p>Only way we get a 5 seed is if we beat one of the top 25 teams, win a couple in the BTT, and end with 23 or 24 wins. But, for a second I'll contradict most of my post here, in theory if we go on a monster streak to end the season, we could definitely sneak a higher seed than our resume would seem to predict. This is probably our best chance at even making the tournament and a late season win with MSU would be huge, regardless of their struggles, because this probably gives us at least 5 games to end the season in a row, maybe even 8. We'd still need a win in the BTT, but gaining steam in Feb always looks good. </p><p></p><p>Worst (ok maybe more likely) Case: NIT. Making noise there doesn't mean too much, but I'd like to see Malcolm win something while he was here.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ChiefIllini, post: 1252433, member: 588522"] Record only gets you so far... Depending on who are victories against, i.e. if we beat: MDx2, NWx2,Iowax2,Mich,Rutgers,PSUx2, and Minny, our best wins this season are probably VCU, NCSU, and maybe MD and Mich, though theres a high chance we dont have a single win agianst a ranked oppenent come March. That puts us at 21 wins. Lets say we assume we win one BTT game, it wont be any better than any regular season win. So 22 wins, none against op 25 teams... That looks like a 7 seed at best. I dont think this is how it goes down, its pretty much the chalkiest answer I could give. But I guess I'm saying there are a few ways we get to 11 wins and it not look as spectacular as you may think. We play a relatively weak schedule this year in conference. Realistically, we probably lose 3 of the games i mentioned, and win 1 or 2 I didn't, which puts us at something along the lines of 9-9 or 10-8, which in my mind puts us in the same situation--a 7ish seed (assuming we win a game or two in the BTT tourney). While I'd like to think 20 wins means we dance, unless we knock off Indiana, Purdue, or Wisconsin, I don't think it does. 21 wins puts us squarely on the bubble and that Winthrop loss looms its short head once again. 22, regardless of who or when, should get us with comfort. Only way we get a 5 seed is if we beat one of the top 25 teams, win a couple in the BTT, and end with 23 or 24 wins. But, for a second I'll contradict most of my post here, in theory if we go on a monster streak to end the season, we could definitely sneak a higher seed than our resume would seem to predict. This is probably our best chance at even making the tournament and a late season win with MSU would be huge, regardless of their struggles, because this probably gives us at least 5 games to end the season in a row, maybe even 8. We'd still need a win in the BTT, but gaining steam in Feb always looks good. Worst (ok maybe more likely) Case: NIT. Making noise there doesn't mean too much, but I'd like to see Malcolm win something while he was here. [/QUOTE]
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