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<blockquote data-quote="LurkLongandProsper" data-source="post: 1213130" data-attributes="member: 153359"><p>I think you mis-read the article. 3-9 was the site's prediction for us prior to last season. This article isn't offering any prediction for 2016, by the looks of it, besides pre-season ranking. </p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>That said, I think 3-9 is comfortably the worst case/absolute floor for us this year. I think tiers shake out like this:</p><p></p><p><strong>We Should Comfortably Beat:</strong> vs Murray State, vs Purdue</p><p>- These should be easy wins. Anything else and I'll be concerned. Murray St may start slow, but talent gap alone should allow us to coast. Purdue is awful and will be game #5. </p><p></p><p><strong>Slightly Harder, but Very Winnable:</strong> vs Western Mich, vs Minnesota, @Rutgers</p><p>- These are all games where I don't see any considerable gap in talent. Rutgers is also undergoing a coaching/scheme change, so for me, that takes out the road advantage. We should be able to out-coach all of these games as well, which to me should guide us to a W. </p><p></p><p><strong>Tossups:</strong> vs UNC, @Wisconsin, @Nebraska</p><p>- I view all of these as tossups. UNC lost a lot of talent from last year to graduation, and Nebraska/Wisconsin are still rebuilding to some extent. I think UNC is the most likely we take out of these, but they're all winnable games</p><p></p><p><strong>Winnable 'Dogs:</strong> vs Iowa, @Northwestern </p><p>- You could easily push both of these to Tossups, but I feel this teams are more stable than UW/Neb currently and were successful last year. While both are inconsistent, I gave them benefit of the doubt here. We'll know if they're good far before we play either.</p><p></p><p><strong>Unlikely: </strong> vs MSU, @ Michigan</p><p>- MSU will be far more winnable than @ Michigan in my mind. They are losing a lot of key guys and it will be interesting to see if they truly reload. I don't see us winning at UM.</p><p></p><p>In my mind, assuming we are able to be effective on offense, I don't see any major reason we can't bowl with this schedule. This coaching staff should be able to utilize these seniors to navigate us to 6 wins. I see it as: Murray, Purdue, Minn, WMU being wins, and then take 2 from somewhere else. I think @Rutgers can be a let-down, and @Nebraska being an L with it being our first road game under new staff. So I'd hope to see an early win vs UNC, and get the 6th from @Wisco, @NW, vs Iowa.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="LurkLongandProsper, post: 1213130, member: 153359"] I think you mis-read the article. 3-9 was the site's prediction for us prior to last season. This article isn't offering any prediction for 2016, by the looks of it, besides pre-season ranking. That said, I think 3-9 is comfortably the worst case/absolute floor for us this year. I think tiers shake out like this: [B]We Should Comfortably Beat:[/B] vs Murray State, vs Purdue - These should be easy wins. Anything else and I'll be concerned. Murray St may start slow, but talent gap alone should allow us to coast. Purdue is awful and will be game #5. [B]Slightly Harder, but Very Winnable:[/B] vs Western Mich, vs Minnesota, @Rutgers - These are all games where I don't see any considerable gap in talent. Rutgers is also undergoing a coaching/scheme change, so for me, that takes out the road advantage. We should be able to out-coach all of these games as well, which to me should guide us to a W. [B]Tossups:[/B] vs UNC, @Wisconsin, @Nebraska - I view all of these as tossups. UNC lost a lot of talent from last year to graduation, and Nebraska/Wisconsin are still rebuilding to some extent. I think UNC is the most likely we take out of these, but they're all winnable games [B]Winnable 'Dogs:[/B] vs Iowa, @Northwestern - You could easily push both of these to Tossups, but I feel this teams are more stable than UW/Neb currently and were successful last year. While both are inconsistent, I gave them benefit of the doubt here. We'll know if they're good far before we play either. [B]Unlikely: [/B] vs MSU, @ Michigan - MSU will be far more winnable than @ Michigan in my mind. They are losing a lot of key guys and it will be interesting to see if they truly reload. I don't see us winning at UM. In my mind, assuming we are able to be effective on offense, I don't see any major reason we can't bowl with this schedule. This coaching staff should be able to utilize these seniors to navigate us to 6 wins. I see it as: Murray, Purdue, Minn, WMU being wins, and then take 2 from somewhere else. I think @Rutgers can be a let-down, and @Nebraska being an L with it being our first road game under new staff. So I'd hope to see an early win vs UNC, and get the 6th from @Wisco, @NW, vs Iowa. [/QUOTE]
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