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Illinois 105, Minnesota 97 Postgame
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<blockquote data-quote="From the cheap seats" data-source="post: 2025077" data-attributes="member: 749742"><p>Just out of curiosity, I looked at what the last 20 NCAA champions scored/gave up during their tourney run:</p><p>2023 --UConn 79/59</p><p>2022--Kansas 76/62</p><p>2021--Baylor 77/62</p><p>2020--COVID</p><p>2019--Virginia 69/62</p><p>2018--Villanova 84/66</p><p>2017--NC 82/71</p><p>2016--Villanova 84/63</p><p>2015--Duke 72/56</p><p>2014--UConn 72/64</p><p>2013--Louisville* 80/63 *--Vacated</p><p>2012--Kentucky 81/70</p><p>2011--UConn 66/56</p><p>2010--Duke 71/57</p><p>2009--NC 88/57</p><p>2008--Kansas 88/57</p><p>2007--Florida 83/69</p><p>2006--Florida 73/57</p><p>2005--NC 84**/70 (Illini tourney run was 75/66) **--Higher than average SAT</p><p>2004--UConn 77/64</p><p>2003--Syracuse 77/68</p><p></p><p>A couple of thoughts: 1) 6 games is small sample size, and some early round mismatches certainly skew the averages, but the championship profiles seem to hold to form in most cases, 2) there have been some rule changes and changes to pace of play, but the profiles still are eerily similar in that the championship teams normally held opponents under 70 ppg , 3) the team that matches this Illini team's profile most closely are the 2017 and 2005 Tar Heels...they gave up lots of points but just outscored opponents.</p><p></p><p>This Illini team doesn't really fit the profile of past champions...but this team also scores with more efficiency (and goes to the offensive glass) better than those teams. The one thing that gives me the most hope is that this Illini team since TSJ has gotten back into rhythm is scoring consistently against everyone. With so many good options on offense, scoring is not dependent on one or two people being on for every game.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="From the cheap seats, post: 2025077, member: 749742"] Just out of curiosity, I looked at what the last 20 NCAA champions scored/gave up during their tourney run: 2023 --UConn 79/59 2022--Kansas 76/62 2021--Baylor 77/62 2020--COVID 2019--Virginia 69/62 2018--Villanova 84/66 2017--NC 82/71 2016--Villanova 84/63 2015--Duke 72/56 2014--UConn 72/64 2013--Louisville* 80/63 *--Vacated 2012--Kentucky 81/70 2011--UConn 66/56 2010--Duke 71/57 2009--NC 88/57 2008--Kansas 88/57 2007--Florida 83/69 2006--Florida 73/57 2005--NC 84**/70 (Illini tourney run was 75/66) **--Higher than average SAT 2004--UConn 77/64 2003--Syracuse 77/68 A couple of thoughts: 1) 6 games is small sample size, and some early round mismatches certainly skew the averages, but the championship profiles seem to hold to form in most cases, 2) there have been some rule changes and changes to pace of play, but the profiles still are eerily similar in that the championship teams normally held opponents under 70 ppg , 3) the team that matches this Illini team's profile most closely are the 2017 and 2005 Tar Heels...they gave up lots of points but just outscored opponents. This Illini team doesn't really fit the profile of past champions...but this team also scores with more efficiency (and goes to the offensive glass) better than those teams. The one thing that gives me the most hope is that this Illini team since TSJ has gotten back into rhythm is scoring consistently against everyone. With so many good options on offense, scoring is not dependent on one or two people being on for every game. [/QUOTE]
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