Home
Forums
New Posts
Illini Basketball
Illini Football
Sports Talk
Log in
Register
What's new
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Forums
Sports
Illini Basketball
Illinois 76, Michigan 53 Postgame
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="Piotyr" data-source="post: 1597697" data-attributes="member: 747104"><p>When the season begins, KenPom calculates a preseason rating based on returning minutes and points and based on last year's performance. As the season goes along, that preseason factor gradually lessens and the in-season data increases in importance until about the end of January (usually) when it's solely based on current season numbers.</p><p></p><p>To that end, it's a measure of a team's season based on adjusted efficiency with no extra weight given to more recent events. So the reason it seems more fluid earlier on is that (1) There is less current game data, so if you've played 4 games and then have a dynamite 5th game it will affect your season rating more than having a so so 20 games and then a dynamite 21st game, just from sample size.</p><p></p><p>At the same time, it's not exactly calcifying either, because Michigan jumped from 5th to 2nd over a 3 game span (Wisconsin, Rutgers, Iowa), and the reason for that is their efficiency jumped from about 27 to about 32 (and Baylor dropped from 34 to 31). Illinois' rating jumped from 25ish to 29+ from the Michigan win, it's just that the gap between 6 and 7 right now was large enough that it wasn't a noticeable jump in the actual rankings (if you look, Illinois is now favored to win at OSU even though Illinois is 5th/6th and OSU is a clear 7th).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Piotyr, post: 1597697, member: 747104"] When the season begins, KenPom calculates a preseason rating based on returning minutes and points and based on last year's performance. As the season goes along, that preseason factor gradually lessens and the in-season data increases in importance until about the end of January (usually) when it's solely based on current season numbers. To that end, it's a measure of a team's season based on adjusted efficiency with no extra weight given to more recent events. So the reason it seems more fluid earlier on is that (1) There is less current game data, so if you've played 4 games and then have a dynamite 5th game it will affect your season rating more than having a so so 20 games and then a dynamite 21st game, just from sample size. At the same time, it's not exactly calcifying either, because Michigan jumped from 5th to 2nd over a 3 game span (Wisconsin, Rutgers, Iowa), and the reason for that is their efficiency jumped from about 27 to about 32 (and Baylor dropped from 34 to 31). Illinois' rating jumped from 25ish to 29+ from the Michigan win, it's just that the gap between 6 and 7 right now was large enough that it wasn't a noticeable jump in the actual rankings (if you look, Illinois is now favored to win at OSU even though Illinois is 5th/6th and OSU is a clear 7th). [/QUOTE]
Verification
Post reply
Forums
Sports
Illini Basketball
Illinois 76, Michigan 53 Postgame
This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
Accept
Learn more…