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Illinois 85, Maryland 80 Postgame
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<blockquote data-quote="ejam21" data-source="post: 2017391" data-attributes="member: 601156"><p>Devils advocate..and im gonna go a little nerd here, but Probablity wise though, in this game wasnt Hamer right? Especially given we were up 6 and not like 3?</p><p></p><p>Before that 3, they were 3/17 so less than a 20%, so the expected value of a 3 was like half a point. THey were 80% from the line so the EV of 2 fts is 1.6....</p><p></p><p>Of course you can go off "worst" case and just go 3 vs 2...but i think there can be two reasonable schools of thought on this one in this game.</p><p></p><p>Plus, you say DHS hit the 3? He's shooting 19% on the year</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ejam21, post: 2017391, member: 601156"] Devils advocate..and im gonna go a little nerd here, but Probablity wise though, in this game wasnt Hamer right? Especially given we were up 6 and not like 3? Before that 3, they were 3/17 so less than a 20%, so the expected value of a 3 was like half a point. THey were 80% from the line so the EV of 2 fts is 1.6.... Of course you can go off "worst" case and just go 3 vs 2...but i think there can be two reasonable schools of thought on this one in this game. Plus, you say DHS hit the 3? He's shooting 19% on the year [/QUOTE]
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