Pregame: Illinois vs Arizona, Saturday, December 11th, 4:00pm CT, FOX

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#504      

JJE

Bethalto, IL
I'm hoping the game lives up to the hype. My gut says Arizona by 8, but that might be the leftover Chinese I ate for lunch.
 
#505      
OK, wine has been chosen and is breathing. Pre-game steak dinner seems to be on schedule. Earlier than normal for dinner, but what’s an eastern time zone Illini fan gonna do. Just two hours to go until game time.
 
#509      
Just got off the phone with an Arizona classmate/teammate of mine who moved back to Tucson over a decade ago. Talk around Tucson is that the Illini will win due to home court.

However, neither of us see it that way due to two things. Pace of play will be forced by the Cats and the Illini insistence on sloppy ball handling and passing will lead to another 20 turnovers in that column and an Arizona win in double figures.

Yet, for me, there always exists the possibility that a light will go on and Illini players will realize that there is a good reason that thousands of their fans, who want them to succeed, continue to cry at the top of their lungs to "stop the damn turnovers". If we can keep them to 10 or less while Kofi continues to find open shooters our of double teams....this can be an Illini win by double figures.

Unfortunately, we have enough of a sample size and a stat sheet that shows those winning traits are not likely to happen...but there is no reason it can't happen. So here remains the odd Cat hoping for an Illini victory...with two pretty darn good Illini players sitting on the bench in street clothes.

Per ESPN (https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/stats/_/id/12 and https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/stats/_/id/356)

TOs:

IL: 15.9
AZ: 12.4

Given that AZ will be playing in front of 15,000 screaming fans, the *chances* of them generation more TOs is real. In fact, the chances they will play a sub-par game is real.

I think IL has the edge. And, if IL is hot, then this is a double digit win for IL

I feel that a double digit win for IL is around 65-70%
 
#510      
I'm hoping the game lives up to the hype. My gut says Arizona by 8, but that might be the leftover Chinese I ate for lunch.
Skip the food and stick to bourbon, you will be optimistic like me!
 
#515      

sacraig

The desert
Per ESPN (https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/stats/_/id/12 and https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/stats/_/id/356)

TOs:

IL: 15.9
AZ: 12.4

Given that AZ will be playing in front of 15,000 screaming fans, the *chances* of them generation more TOs is real. In fact, the chances they will play a sub-par game is real.

I think IL has the edge. And, if IL is hot, then this is a double digit win for IL

I feel that a double digit win for IL is around 65-70%
Narcos Mexico GIF by NETFLIX
 
#516      

sacraig

The desert
I camped to get Rose Bowl tickets in December 2007.

I also remember one year in Krush I got out of having to wait 6 hours before a Paint the Hall Orange game against Wisconsin because I had mono so my girlfriend (now wife) agreed to hold me a spot in line. I only waited outside for 2 hours that day. When I showed up and got under the blanket, the first thing she said was "don't dutch oven me, okay."
 
#518      

DeonThomas

South Carolina
Usually but not always. Last night we had strong E and SE winds statewide. Blowing from Indiana toward Iowa. Today, of course, we're back to the more typical circumstance that you cited.
Warm and 70 here in South Carolina today, and no wind.........game could actually be played outdoors.
 
#519      
The line started at -3.5 for Arizona and has since dropped to -2 and -1 depending on what site you use.
As expected, heavy betting came Friday night into Saturday's action, and the line has shifted to -2.5 for Arizona (as of this writing). One site had Zona as -3.5. Betters are playing favorites in the rankings rather than doing their research. I'm not a betting man, but I'd take the Illini at home and bet the under.
 
#523      
My never want to lose Top 5
(Non BIG)

1. puke
2 Zona
3 billy boys dream school
4. Little green guy (got them already)
5. Any team with pearl involved
 
#524      
My never want to lose Top 5
(Non BIG)

1. puke
2 Zona
3 billy boys dream school
4. Little green guy (got them already)
5. Any team with pearl involved
No Iowa???
 
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