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Jan 4th Bracketology - Illinois #4 in first NET ranking
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<blockquote data-quote="Goode-for-3" data-source="post: 1573084" data-attributes="member: 747212"><p>NET considers both the strength of opponent (Quadrant 1-4) and your Margin of Victory / Defeat. However, I believe that your margin is capped at 10 points. We have 2 losses by 3 points and all 3 losses are against top opponents so they don't really hurt us (aside from considering how much they would have "helped" if we won). We have also won 5 of our games by 10+ points, and another 2 by 8 and 9 points so our wins are counting as full blowouts. Having 4 'blowout' wins against Top 51 ranked teams is helping us a lot. The NET also seems to punish teams that play too many Q4 games even if they are complete blowouts like our +62 and +59 victories to start the season; having only 2 Q4 games is probably helping us compared to other teams that have more.</p><p></p><p>Losses: <em>Q1=-16pts</em></p><p>(N) #2, by 13 (Q1)</p><p>(A) #10, by 3 (Q1)</p><p>(A) #17, by 3 (Q1)</p><p>Wins: <em>Q1=+10pts; Q2=+37pts; Q3=+2pts; Q4=+20pts</em></p><p>(H) #308, by 62 (Q4)</p><p>(H) #339, by 59 (Q4)</p><p>(H) #90, by 2 (Q3)</p><p>(A) #115, by 15 (Q2)</p><p>(H) #43, by 27 (Q2)</p><p>(A) #42, by 17 (Q1)</p><p>(H) #51, by 9 (Q2)</p><p>(H) #47, by 8 (Q2)</p><p>Cumulative +/- pts per Quadrant: <em>Q1=+-6pts; Q2=+37pts; Q3=+2pts; Q4=+20pts</em></p><p></p><p><strong>#11 Wisconsin for comparison:</strong></p><p></p><p>Losses: <em>Q1=-2pts; Q2=-6pts</em></p><p>(A) #63, by 2 (Q1)</p><p>(H) #32, by 6 (Q2)</p><p>Wins: <em>Q1=+0pts; Q2=+39pts; Q3=+10pts; Q4=+40pts</em></p><p>(H) #219, by 10 (Q4)</p><p>(H) #326, by 34 (Q4)</p><p>(H) #278, by 40 (Q4)</p><p>(H) #79, by 11 (Q3)</p><p>(H) #58, by 14 (Q2)</p><p>(H) #33, by 37 (Q2)</p><p>(H) #186, by 14 (Q4)</p><p>(A) #119, by 9 (Q2)</p><p>(H) #43, by 12 (Q2)</p><p>Cumulative +/- pts per Quadrant: -2<em>pts; Q2=+33pts; Q3=+10pts; Q4=+40pts</em></p><p></p><p>Wisconsin is very similar, but their Q2 loss by 6 and having 2 additional Q4 games on their schedule are likely holding them behind us.</p><p></p><p>If you do a similar comparison for any team outside of the Top 10 I think you'd find similar results that show Illinois as clearly deserving the better NET rank.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Goode-for-3, post: 1573084, member: 747212"] NET considers both the strength of opponent (Quadrant 1-4) and your Margin of Victory / Defeat. However, I believe that your margin is capped at 10 points. We have 2 losses by 3 points and all 3 losses are against top opponents so they don't really hurt us (aside from considering how much they would have "helped" if we won). We have also won 5 of our games by 10+ points, and another 2 by 8 and 9 points so our wins are counting as full blowouts. Having 4 'blowout' wins against Top 51 ranked teams is helping us a lot. The NET also seems to punish teams that play too many Q4 games even if they are complete blowouts like our +62 and +59 victories to start the season; having only 2 Q4 games is probably helping us compared to other teams that have more. Losses: [I]Q1=-16pts[/I] (N) #2, by 13 (Q1) (A) #10, by 3 (Q1) (A) #17, by 3 (Q1) Wins: [I]Q1=+10pts; Q2=+37pts; Q3=+2pts; Q4=+20pts[/I] (H) #308, by 62 (Q4) (H) #339, by 59 (Q4) (H) #90, by 2 (Q3) (A) #115, by 15 (Q2) (H) #43, by 27 (Q2) (A) #42, by 17 (Q1) (H) #51, by 9 (Q2) (H) #47, by 8 (Q2) Cumulative +/- pts per Quadrant: [I]Q1=+-6pts; Q2=+37pts; Q3=+2pts; Q4=+20pts[/I] [B]#11 Wisconsin for comparison:[/B] Losses: [I]Q1=-2pts; Q2=-6pts[/I] (A) #63, by 2 (Q1) (H) #32, by 6 (Q2) Wins: [I]Q1=+0pts; Q2=+39pts; Q3=+10pts; Q4=+40pts[/I] (H) #219, by 10 (Q4) (H) #326, by 34 (Q4) (H) #278, by 40 (Q4) (H) #79, by 11 (Q3) (H) #58, by 14 (Q2) (H) #33, by 37 (Q2) (H) #186, by 14 (Q4) (A) #119, by 9 (Q2) (H) #43, by 12 (Q2) Cumulative +/- pts per Quadrant: -2[I]pts; Q2=+33pts; Q3=+10pts; Q4=+40pts[/I] Wisconsin is very similar, but their Q2 loss by 6 and having 2 additional Q4 games on their schedule are likely holding them behind us. If you do a similar comparison for any team outside of the Top 10 I think you'd find similar results that show Illinois as clearly deserving the better NET rank. [/QUOTE]
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Jan 4th Bracketology - Illinois #4 in first NET ranking
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