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Penn State 72, Illinois 56 POSTGAME
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<blockquote data-quote="bobbob" data-source="post: 1457489" data-attributes="member: 531828"><p>First, unrelated, I am surprised only 87 B1G players play 40% or more minutes.</p><p></p><p>I bumped it down to 30% (~12 minutes/game) and switched it to conference only to level out the field a bit. He came in 84/98 then. When you check offensive rate (the stat I was referring to before), he's 53rd. </p><p></p><p>That default stat is not one that I am a big fan of, you can read about it here: <a href="https://www.bigtengeeks.com/new-stat-porpagatu/" target="_blank">https://www.bigtengeeks.com/new-stat-porpagatu/</a></p><p>Basically they came up with a decent attempt to adjust offensive rating to a replacement score. But it failed for guys with extreme high or low usage rates (and Williams usage rate was 97th out of those 98). So instead of going back to the board and figuring out why it gets screwy, they just started to blindly adjust it based on usage rate. I don't think that is a good statistacal analysis, and that is why the stat hasn't really taken off. </p><p>Offensive rating, on the other hand, is commonly used and you can find a version of it on most stat sites.</p><p></p><p>I still look at his offensive rate and his usage and see an average B1G player who needs to get more aggressive.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="bobbob, post: 1457489, member: 531828"] First, unrelated, I am surprised only 87 B1G players play 40% or more minutes. I bumped it down to 30% (~12 minutes/game) and switched it to conference only to level out the field a bit. He came in 84/98 then. When you check offensive rate (the stat I was referring to before), he's 53rd. That default stat is not one that I am a big fan of, you can read about it here: [URL]https://www.bigtengeeks.com/new-stat-porpagatu/[/URL] Basically they came up with a decent attempt to adjust offensive rating to a replacement score. But it failed for guys with extreme high or low usage rates (and Williams usage rate was 97th out of those 98). So instead of going back to the board and figuring out why it gets screwy, they just started to blindly adjust it based on usage rate. I don't think that is a good statistacal analysis, and that is why the stat hasn't really taken off. Offensive rating, on the other hand, is commonly used and you can find a version of it on most stat sites. I still look at his offensive rate and his usage and see an average B1G player who needs to get more aggressive. [/QUOTE]
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Penn State 72, Illinois 56 POSTGAME
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