Pregame: Illinois vs Arizona, Saturday, December 11th, 4:00pm CT, FOX

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#78      
Ha! and if we played them at home 1,000,000, we would lose 275,000. Math is profound.
Great moments are born from great opportunity. And that's what you have here tonight, boys. That's what you've earned here, tonight. One game.
If we played 'em ten times, they might win nine. But not this game. Not tonight. Tonight, we stay with 'em, and we shut them down because we can!
And you were meant to be here tonight. This is your time. Their time -- is done. It's over. Screw 'em! This is your time!! Now go out there and take it!

--Adapted from Herb Brooks' speech to the 1980 USA Olympic Hockey Team before they beat the Soviets, showing that math can also be inspiring!
 
#80      
Sure, but a 27.5% chance of a loss is still a pretty high chance of a loss. According to BPI, if we played Arizona at home 1000 times, we would lose 275 of them.
calculating the hangover GIF


Math checks out.
 
#81      

Ignatius Shang

3rd year PhD, school of Information Sciences
Champaign, IL
A very interesting international team, their top 7 scorers are from 7 different countries. From top down: Canada, Cameroon, Lithuania, Estonia, USA, Mali, Sweden.
1638920616936.png
 
#83      

sacraig

The desert
Ha! and if we played them at home 1,000,000, we would lose 275,000. Math is profound.
Sure, but I just picked the smallest numbers that resulted in whole numbers to illustrate that predictions like this don't mean the other team has zero chance. There are still an awful lot of wins in the range of simulated games.
 
#84      
Couple things

1) I think it is more of a coin flip game with our Illini with a slight edge. I've seen other projections as a 7 point loss (warrennolan.com Arizona - NET #3). Have your cold beverages ready and send your wife Christmas shopping.
2) I think this is the last game without Curbelo, as it would be tough to bring him back on this high level of a game. After that we have 3 should be bunnies before B10 gets going again
 
#85      
A very interesting international team, their top 7 scorers are from 7 different countries. From top down: Canada, Cameroon, Lithuania, Estonia, USA, Mali, Sweden.
View attachment 13481
No doubt more difficult to get wiretaps in foreign countries. I lived in AZ. when Lute was there, he made it corrupt. Only game in Tucson, makes UA basketball as big as professional sports. I have no doubt incentives are involved. Have been since Lute, and the Pastner involvement. No doubt pay more than amateur leagues in other countries.
 
#86      
Couple things

1) I think it is more of a coin flip game with our Illini with a slight edge. I've seen other projections as a 7 point loss (warrennolan.com Arizona - NET #3). Have your cold beverages ready and send your wife Christmas shopping.
2) I think this is the last game without Curbelo, as it would be tough to bring him back on this high level of a game. After that we have 3 should be bunnies before B10 gets going again
Has any team really stopped Kofi yet? I think Grandison, Plummer, and Frazier will do what they do, and Kofi will too. Pac-ten has never liked Big Ten defense. Four points over WST, that Kst just beat at Wichita.
 
#87      
I saw Arizona play Michigan early on. They stymied Michigan's offense. They put tremendous ball pressure on Michigan's guards that got them totally out of rhythm. Koloko will probably be Kofi's biggest competition this season. We need to move the ball quickly or their pressure defense will be disruptive in the front court. They try to push it on every defensive rebound. Their new coach, Tommy Lloyd, was the assistant at Gonzaga for the past 20 years. I live in Spokane, so know all about how the Zags play basketball, and from what I observed in the Arizona-Michigan game, it was Gonzaga basketball. Expect a lot of cutters toward the hoop for easy lay ins and fast breaks as often as possible. He has basically adopted Gonzaga's footprint on offense. It will be hard to hold them down from scoring. They will play quite different from our typical Big Ten teams but should be a fast and exciting game.

Go Illini!
 
#89      
I think these are the 5 keys for the Illini to beating Zona or just about any other major opponent for the rest of the season:

1. Take care of the ball....12 or fewer turnovers per game
2. Take advantage of fast break opportunities, but don't get caught up in the hap hazard run and gun style of play for any extended period of time
3. Break the Defensive Pressure with passes rather than trying to dribble through the traps
4. The offense needs to go through Kofi.....get him the ball....he gets double, triple teamed then kick it out to Plummer, Trent, Grandson, Goode,
Hawkins for the 3.
5. Continue the excellent FreeThrow %....especially the finally 5 minutes of the game

we do these things and the W's will follow
 
#90      
Great moments are born from great opportunity. And that's what you have here tonight, boys. That's what you've earned here, tonight. One game.
If we played 'em ten times, they might win nine. But not this game. Not tonight. Tonight, we stay with 'em, and we shut them down because we can!
And you were meant to be here tonight. This is your time. Their time -- is done. It's over. Screw 'em! This is your time!! Now go out there and take it!

--Adapted from Herb Brooks' speech to the 1980 USA Olympic Hockey Team before they beat the Soviets, showing that math can also be inspiring!
I saw a competition high school marching band director who was an acolyte of the Herb Brooks school of coaching. It's a thing of beauty when it's done well.
 
#91      
I think these are the 5 keys for the Illini to beating Zona or just about any other major opponent for the rest of the season:

1. Take care of the ball....12 or fewer turnovers per game
2. Take advantage of fast break opportunities, but don't get caught up in the hap hazard run and gun style of play for any extended period of time
3. Break the Defensive Pressure with passes rather than trying to dribble through the traps
4. The offense needs to go through Kofi.....get him the ball....he gets double, triple teamed then kick it out to Plummer, Trent, Grandson, Goode,
Hawkins for the 3.
5. Continue the excellent FreeThrow %....especially the finally 5 minutes of the game

we do these things and the W's will follow
Best things happen when you concentrate on playing the game and not the score. Play the game well and the score will take care of itself.
 
#93      
A very interesting international team, their top 7 scorers are from 7 different countries. From top down: Canada, Cameroon, Lithuania, Estonia, USA, Mali, Sweden.
View attachment 13481


Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk
is from Belgium
Kofi is from Jamaica
Curbelo, Plummer, and Melendez are from Puerto Rico
Grandison has dual citizenship (via mother, who is Finnish) and represents/plays for Finland

It is funny that CBS has no means to ID a foreign location - their software/DB only caters to US locations:

1638932977240.png
 
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#95      

Ignatius Shang

3rd year PhD, school of Information Sciences
Champaign, IL

Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk
is from Belgium
Kofi is from Jamaica
Curbelo, Plummer, and Melendez are from Puerto Rico
Grandison has dual citizenship (via mother, who is Finnish) and represents/plays for Finland

It is funny that CBS has no means to ID a foreign location - their software/DB only caters to US locations:

View attachment 13482
Well, although they have their own team represented in Olympics, Puerto Rico is not a country :)
 
#96      
Hey Lost, did you make the game last night? Did you enjoy it?!😀
Yep! I like to think I influenced a few of the Sqwuak free throw misses here and there.
It's a weird arena but that's cool with me. It did look like stands were about 75% full at best.
Got a point and nod from a couple players during warmups which was cool.
10/10 seeing the Hawkeyes lose on their home court from the 10th row. Highly recommend, would do it again.
 
#97      
Yep! I like to think I influenced a few of the Sqwuak free throw misses here and there.
It's a weird arena but that's cool with me. It did look like stands were about 75% full at best.
Got a point and nod from a couple players during warmups which was cool.
10/10 seeing the Hawkeyes lose on their home court from the 10th row. Highly recommend, would do it again.
Quite a drive from NE to IA City, how long of a drive for you?
 
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