Illinois Hoops Recruiting Thread

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#77      
The difference between Watkins and some of the other options isn't that huge. The difference between Watkins and nothing, or Watkins and the Mongolian Mike's of the world might be.
Wasn't trying to sound too negative but...I mean...Watkins to Lathen, Kelly, or Kasparas - that gap is pretty big imo.

Watkins - we're talking a likely 1st team All Big 10 guy. Are any of those 3 that level?

I think those guys are okay...but I'm not sure if it'd be right to label them on that level IMHO.
 
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#78      

Loyalillini10

Urbana, IL
I think our current crop of insiders are all great posters with interesting perspectives in their own right and I take the info in exactly the spirit you describe, that's well said.

I'm here to get a sense of what the fanbase at large is thinking first and foremost, and to bounce thoughts about the team off the group, so the whole "the insiders are all that matters" and "ignore anyone who annoys you" thing doesn't really compute for me, but that's just me, different people can have different interests.

But the reason I couldn't help that particular comment is because there was such an unrealistic expectation level set, not publicly by the program or in the local or national media but specifically by our insiders. Not a stray bit of commentary or hype, this was beaten to a pulp as THE reality (beating an argument to a pulp, a subject I know a thing or two about...). You were not a member in good standing of Team Underwood if you did not kowtow to our total portal overlordship on April 1.


Some do, that's true. Some don't even need the actual name said! But very strong and clear language was used with respect to Storr and the impossibility of Hawkins entering the portal, to pick two prominent examples.

Taking that stuff with a grain of salt was wise, but it's only natural that there are people feeling let down and confused at this moment, and unwilling to just pretend this is what we were sold. I'm always a fan of more talk and more argument and more words (again, why I'm here), but to just issue sneering eye-roll gifs in response to people holding up an expectation level you created, nay, demanded? That's a bit rich for my blood.

I encourage everyone to say their peace at whatever length and tone they prefer, even if I disagree. There's mine.
I'm here to get Illinois basketball recruiting information. I am interested in what information is being given by those who may be closer to the program than most and really couldn't give a s@#$ what the fanbase at large is thinking. But that's just me providing another perspective.
 
#79      
No one said anyone was intentionally trying to mislead anyone.

It's their reaction when the info they receive winds up being incorrect that's the issue.

Just say, things are fluid instead of rolling their eyes or making snarky comments.
The only snarky remarks I've seen from insiders is when someone comes in all doom and gloom saying well be in the bottom of the big ten and be in the NIT. At that point its open season imo.
 
#80      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
On the contrary, we'd be silly to sign anyone right now before seeing who drops out of the NBA draft process.
See I feel like THAT is the fruit of overconfidence about what we can do in the portal.

If we have a deal to make for a good player who will fill a major role for us we should make that deal this second. As was the case for Storr and Maddox, in retrospect.

The idea that any great opportunity that leaves the draft is just naturally going to gravitate to Illinois was a fairy tale.

Wasn't trying to sound too negative but...I mean...Watkins to Lathen, Kelly, or Kasparas - that gap is pretty big imo.

Watkins - we're talking a likely 1st team All Big 10 guy. Are any of those 3 that level?
I guess I'm not sure Watkins in on that level. He wasn't 1st, 2nd, or 3rd team all-ACC last year.

He'd be my pick of those four, but I don't think there's a world of difference, except with the extremely young and inexperienced (but more talented) Kasparas.
 
#81      
Wasn't trying to sound too negative but...I mean...Watkins to Lathen, Kelly, or Kasparas - that gap is pretty big imo.

Watkins - we're talking a likely 1st team All Big 10 guy. Are any of those 3 that level?

I think those guys are okay...but I'm not sure if it'd be right to label them on that level IMHO.
I don't think anyone is saying they are all on Watkins level - he's clearly the top choice with the most proven capabilities - but to be fair he wasn't even All - ACC last year, so it's not like he's a sure fire 1st team all big ten - I think he can be, but it's not the likely outcome

The question is can we still be competing for a big ten title with one of the others and I think we still can
Lathon - I don't think is as much of a step down as some think - we saw for ourselves how good he was with Ty/TSJ on him
Kelly - we'd be betting on him returning to his shooting form from two years ago - but the talent is there
Kasparas - he has all the skills we'd want, but it will be an adjustment to the college game, how quickly that happens is anyone's guess
 
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#82      

CoalCity

St Paul, MN
The difference between Watkins and some of the other options isn't that huge. The difference between Watkins and nothing, or Watkins and the Mongolian Mike's of the world might be.

And look, if the cake doesn't rise and we're an NIT type team next year, with the lesson being that we over-shot on roster churn and newness, that isn't the end of the world. The important thing is that we learn how to operate in this new landscape, that the right lessons are taken and acted upon, positive or negative.


The sneering condescension from those who fed this board a line of propaganda for months about our dominant position in the portal that was massively, comprehensively incorrect and misleading is a little disappointing, I can't help but say.
 

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#83      
Wasn't trying to sound too negative but...I mean...Watkins to Lathen, Kelly, or Kasparas - that gap is pretty big imo.

Watkins - we're talking a likely 1st team All Big 10 guy. Are any of those 3 that level?

I think those guys are okay...but I'm not sure if it'd be right to label them on that level IMHO.
As discussed earlier, if Illinois somehow signed transfer SF Jamir Watkins (FSU), then we would leave two scholarships open and be done with recruiting.

If Illinois does NOT sign Watkins, I think that we should try to sign transfer SG Jordan Lathon (Morehead State) [or transfer SG Miles Kelly (Georgia Tech)], then try to sign transfer SG Damari Monsanto (Wake Forest), leaving only one scholarship open. Just an opinion... and one I would expect BU to never share. :giggle: Lathon (or Kelly) and Monsanto, together, might somewhat proximate the production we would get from Watkins alone.
 
#85      
One of my concerns is 3pt shooting. We are a team that has averaged 794 3s a year over the last 3 years. Now granted, we've shown minimal concern about not making them. In 2022-23 we took 793 3s and hit 31% of them, but that was a frustrating team. Last year we took 809 but hit 35% and had a much better season.

Looking at this roster Boswell, Humrichous, and Davis are the only good 3pt shooters. And I personally have concerns that Humrichous is going to have a much tougher time in the Big Ten and I think Davis will be a bench player that sees less than 10 mpg. If we bring in Watkins or Kelly, they're not great 3pt shooters. We're either going to have to change the offense, or we better be good on the offensive boards, because our 3pt shooters don't look to be elite.
 
#87      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
Looking at this roster Boswell, Humrichous, and Davis are the only good 3pt shooters.
Ivisic's 3pt shooting stats are lights out, DGL is a good shooter, Booth is a plus shooter for the position, this isn't really my worry at all, and Watkins and Kelly are decent shooters as well.

All of these guys are better 3pt shooters than Domask.
 
#88      
I don't think anyone is saying they are all on Watkins level - he's clearly the top choice with the most proven capabilities - but to be fair he wasn't even All - ACC last year, so it's not like he's a sure fire 1st team all big ten - I think he can be, but it's not the likely outcome

The question is can we still be competing for a big ten title with one of the others and I think we still can
Lathon - I don't think is as much of a step down as some think - we saw for ourselves how good he was with Ty/TSJ on him
Kelly - we'd be betting on him returning to his shooting form from two years ago - but the talent is there
Kasparas - he has all the skills we'd want, but it will be an adjustment to the college game, how quickly that happens is anyone's guess

There's the difference. I don't think this roster, even with one of the additions you mention, is Big Ten title good. One of those additions gets us off the bubble and into the Top 25 discussion, IMO.

And that's not doom and gloom. It's a transitional season where we are returning just two players. If we compete for the Big Ten championship, that's a masterclass by Underwood. If we're a competitive, NCAA tournament team this year, that's still a darn good job by Brad.

Everyone on here hates Torvik (usually when he doesn't agree with their opinion).

Right now, without Ivisic (not in his database yet), we are projected to be 59th overall.

Adding Lathon moves us up to 55th.
Adding Kelly moves us up to 54th.
Kasparas isn't in his database.

Maybe Torvik is WAY off, that's certainly possible. But it's the one actual data point we have so far.
 
#89      
Ivisic's 3pt shooting stats are lights out, DGL is a good shooter, Booth is a plus shooter for the position, this isn't really my worry at all, and Watkins and Kelly are decent shooters as well.

All of these guys are better 3pt shooters than Domask.

Booth is a better 3 point shooter than Domask? Domask struggled last year, but he shot 34.5% for his career.
 
#90      
The only snarky remarks I've seen from insiders is when someone comes in all doom and gloom saying well be in the bottom of the big ten and be in the NIT. At that point its open season imo.

Well, look back a couple pages then buddy. All the guy said was that if we don't land Watkins we're in trouble because we don't have any other elite wing options.
There was no mention of the NIT or the bottom of the Big Ten.
 
#92      

sacraig

The desert
See I feel like THAT is the fruit of overconfidence about what we can do in the portal.

If we have a deal to make for a good player who will fill a major role for us we should make that deal this second. As was the case for Storr and Maddox, in retrospect.

The idea that any great opportunity that leaves the draft is just naturally going to gravitate to Illinois was a fairy tale.


I guess I'm not sure Watkins in on that level. He wasn't 1st, 2nd, or 3rd team all-ACC last year.

He'd be my pick of those four, but I don't think there's a world of difference, except with the extremely young and inexperienced (but more talented) Kasparas.
Did I say that they would gravitate to Illinois? No. But we shouldn't be taking people we don't think are right if the portal is going to fill with a glut of talent when players don't grade our for the draft.

At that point, it's incumbent on us to go out and sign one, not assume they will all come to us.
 
#93      

Epsilon

M tipping over
Pdx
See I feel like THAT is the fruit of overconfidence about what we can do in the portal.

If we have a deal to make for a good player who will fill a major role for us we should make that deal this second. As was the case for Storr and Maddox, in retrospect.

The idea that any great opportunity that leaves the draft is just naturally going to gravitate to Illinois was a fairy tale.


I guess I'm not sure Watkins in on that level. He wasn't 1st, 2nd, or 3rd team all-ACC last year.

He'd be my pick of those four, but I don't think there's a world of difference, except with the extremely young and inexperienced (but more talented) Kasparas.
Do we have any sense for how many players will drop out of the draft? And how many of them are wings? And on the flip side, do we have a sense for “better” programs (however that’s defined) needs where we would be competing for the same players? Just curious what the world of supply and demand looks like at this point for wings we need…
 
#95      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
Booth is a better 3 point shooter than Domask? Domask struggled last year, but he shot 34.5% for his career.
Holy cow, amazing stats department

Carey Booth in 2023-24: 1.1 3PG on 3.6 attempts, 29.7%

Marcus Domask in 2023-24: 1.1 3PG on 3.6 attempts, 29.7%

The difference is that 61% of Booth's FG attempts were from 3, whereas only 29% of Domask's were.

Domask has been a good shooter in his career but struggled in that aspect with us and increasingly downshifted that as part of his game, it never dominated his game in the first place.

Whereas this group coming in is all about letting fly, this roster is being built with exactly that in mind.
 
#98      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
A stray observation:

Of the top 35 transfers in college football, only two are committed to a school outside of the Big Two of the B1G and SEC (both to Miami)

Of the top 35 transfers in college basketball, 13 are committed to a school outside the Big Two, 14 are committed inside the Big Two, and 8 remain uncommitted.
 
#99      
I guess I'm not sure Watkins in on that level. He wasn't 1st, 2nd, or 3rd team all-ACC last year.

He'd be my pick of those four, but I don't think there's a world of difference, except with the extremely young and inexperienced (but more talented) Kasparas.
I don't think anyone is saying they are all on Watkins level - he's clearly the top choice with the most proven capabilities - but to be fair he wasn't even All - ACC last year, so it's not like he's a sure fire 1st team all big ten - I think he can be, but it's not the likely outcome
First of all, he'll get better. Secondly, Uhhhh...who is better than him?

Braden Smith - maybe
Ballo - maybe
Thornton - maybe
and...?

Can't think of all the names right this moment off the top of my head, sorry if I missed some, but I think that's it. If at worst you're the 4th best player in the conference preseason - I think that qualifies as a likely 1st team All BIG 10 player...

He'd be the perfect "star wing" type of guy we've been looking for the past month or so IMO.
 
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