People who have read my posts over the years know that I have had a strong dislike for Weber from early on. I thought he lacked the personality to attract talented players, build the relationships with AAU/HS programs, work and market Illinois at a local and national media level, and most importantly the ability to recruit strong talent. For those reasons, I thought he was a terrible fit for Illinois. But as a game coach, and a coach myself, I think Weber is very solid in his coaching and system. No doubt about that. I do not think what we noticed post-Dee era is that Weber forgot how to coach. What we noticed was the inability to maintain a strong talent level necessary to compete in B1G. When he inherited such talent level from Self, he did extremely well, and he would probably do the same today.
I also think BU is strong, solid game coach and really like his system and style of play. I do not think BU forgot how to coach either when he got to UI. I do have some concerns that his personality may clash with players (similar to Martin/Huggins -- not a fan) but that is the least of my concerns at this point. My main concern is recruiting and his ability to elevate and consistently maintain the talent level to where it needs to consistently compete in the B1G (less worried about a one year underachievement like last year, or a possible one year overachievement in the future similar to Groce's first year). I talk to coaches on a regular basis and while many like his coaching style, I have never heard that BU is a strong recruiter.
If BU turns it around recruiting-wise I think he will be very successful at UI. If not, his system will not save him long term. He may have the occasional over-achieving season (like Weber in 08-09, Groce 12-13) where many people will quickly come to the conclusion that "it is happening!!!" and "I told you so" but that joy will be short lived like his predecessors. JMO.