Calling Lovie Smith high-risk is being a little hyperbolic, especially when the initial comment pertained to Jerrance Howard as a HC canddiate. Not really a fair comparison. The biggest question/risk with Lovie was recruiting, and maybe if his defensive concepts would translate, but to call him high risk is certainly unfair.
Calling Jerrance high-risk is entirely accurate. Hiring assistants with no head coaching experience is high risk, and we have no history of doing that. I don't think we've ever made really, really big leaps of faith on our hires to the football/hoops posts, I have no issues with Obelix's statement, especially in this context.