Illini Basketball 2021-2022

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#326      
We have a pretty darn good coach. If that isn't clear to people by now....
True but there is a less than zero chance BU would have turned to Hawkins instead of BBV down low. I think in hindsight we can say Hawkins in addition to BBV would have been best defensively but I don't know that during the game many would have went with that combo over Damonte and CoHawk. Offensively even in hindsight I would take Damonte and CoHawk. For as much as BBV did to keep the team in the game he really didn't do much of anything on the offensive side. He literally passed up being wide open standing under the hoop at one point.
CoHawk= Hawkins
 
#327      
Hawkins length does cause problems when he is on defense. Did an excellent job on Harper and was keeping Murray in check until he got in foul trouble. He will be an important part of our success as the season goes on.
He also played Mathurin very well in the AZ game. His height plus ability to close out is troublesome for perimeter shooters.
 
#328      
Man the video I posted shows EVERY SINGLE TIME Ivey had the ball and clearly showed who was on him

Ivey is not a knock down shooter so the only way he could beat us was on the glass and in transition which is exactly what he did .

Hawkins and his length gives him a much tougher challenge on both glasses and he wouldn't have to play him for the jump shot but the drive .Instead Ivey got the defensive vacation of a lifetime as he didnt have to guard anyone who even remotely good with the ball offensively the majority of the night
Hawkins is not very quick and often is behind/playing catchup to the man he is guarding. That, along with his tendency to reach, means he is likely to foul a lot. Until he can learn to move his feet and not reach, he is a foul machine waiting to happen.
 
#330      
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#332      
Is Trent in grad school now?
For certain, Wally, I don't know. But I am pretty sure that all players have to pass and average 12 credits per semester in order to be eligible. Since they all take classes and are on campus in the Summer, it seems reasonable that after 9 semesters and 4 Summers, Trent likely has graduated.

That said, even though he likely has a Bachelor's degree by now, it does not mean he is enrolled in a program that would lead to a graduate degree. It is quite common for players to take random graduate courses, or even upper level undergrad courses in areas other than their degree, in order to maintain eligibility when playing a 5th, or in some cases 6th season.

Maybe someone who knows more facts can fill them in...please.
 
#338      
This chart is confusing. Is it saying we allow a low percentage of shots at the rim or from 3 but we give up a lot of points when those shots do happen?

Exactly. Forcing a lot of mid range shots, which is great. It's an interesting stat but doesn't seem super useful. FSU and Arkansas are in the bottom right which is where you don't want to be...yet they both have top 50 defenses.
 
#340      

Bigtex

DFW
I find these charts fascinating but find it hard to believe for each chart we are extreme (so far not in the bunch).
 
#341      

danielb927

Orange Krush Class of 2013
Rochester, MN
I find these charts fascinating but find it hard to believe for each chart we are extreme (so far not in the bunch).

There are plenty of others from the same Twitter account where we aren’t extreme, the interesting ones are just the ones RT’ed by Illini accounts / posted here.

Overall they are nice charts, but I would love to see the analysis go one step deeper. Regarding the “special teams” one — it does not appear to be normalized by # of “special teams” opportunities per game. Are we really that much “better” (which to me means “more efficient”) at coming out of timeouts & inbounds plays? Or do we just happen to have more of those situations per game — perhaps because we force a lot of inbounds scenarios on the offensive end through contested rebounds on misses, or sloppy passes? Could be either, a bit more statistical digging would answer that question as well.
 
#342      
This chart is confusing. Is it saying we allow a low percentage of shots at the rim or from 3 but we give up a lot of points when those shots do happen?
That's how I understand it.

Spinning it a bit I'm sure but I assume that stems from breakout downs of plays rather than systematic issues. Or means we give up and allow a lot of midrangers. I assume both.

I'm relatively happy because it feels more like we've ran into teams who have thrived off mid ranges which analytics states are bad shots. You'd have to assume that is a better outcome than allowing more at rim and 3 pt shots.
 
#344      

DeonThomas

South Carolina
Sat, Jan 29at Northwestern3:30pm BTN
Wed, Feb 2Wisconsin8:00pm BTN
Sat, Feb 5at Indiana11:00am ESPN/2
Thu, Feb 10at Purdue8:00pm ESPN/2
Sun, Feb 13Northwestern1:00pm BTN
Wed, Feb 16at Rutgers6:00pm BTN
Sat, Feb 19at Michigan State1:30pm FOX
Thu, Feb 24Ohio State8:00pm FS1
Sun, Feb 27at Michigan1:00pm CBS
Thu, Mar 3Penn State6:00pm FS1
Sun, Mar 6Iowa6:30pm FS1

I did some "conservative" prognosticating earlier today:

14-5 Current overall record; 7-2 conference
2-2 Next four games, with three of the four on the road
5-2 Final seven games, with four of the seven at home; 14-6 conference
2-1 BTT
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23-10 Projected Overall Record #5 Seed in NCAA Tourney
 
#345      
Sat, Jan 29at Northwestern3:30pm BTN
Wed, Feb 2Wisconsin8:00pm BTN
Sat, Feb 5at Indiana11:00am ESPN/2
Thu, Feb 10at Purdue8:00pm ESPN/2
Sun, Feb 13Northwestern1:00pm BTN
Wed, Feb 16at Rutgers6:00pm BTN
Sat, Feb 19at Michigan State1:30pm FOX
Thu, Feb 24Ohio State8:00pm FS1
Sun, Feb 27at Michigan1:00pm CBS
Thu, Mar 3Penn State6:00pm FS1
Sun, Mar 6Iowa6:30pm FS1

I did some "conservative" prognosticating earlier today:

14-5 Current overall record; 7-2 conference
2-2 Next four games, with three of the four on the road
5-2 Final seven games, with four of the seven at home; 14-6 conference
2-1 BTT
------
23-10 Projected Overall Record #5 Seed in NCAA Tourney
Fair prognosticating, Deon. But I would sacrifice a beach house or two to avoid the 4/5 line.
 
#347      

danielb927

Orange Krush Class of 2013
Rochester, MN
That looks very fair. 14-6 in this year's B1G will still have an outside shot at a co-championship, IMO. But I would really love to go 15-5 as that seems almost certain to get a co-championship, with an outside shot at a solo title.

From a championship perspective, the game against Wisconsin in a week seems by far the most important. I don't know why, but Wisco just feels like the most likely team to put together a 4-loss B1G season this year.
 
#349      
That looks very fair. 14-6 in this year's B1G will still have an outside shot at a co-championship, IMO. But I would really love to go 15-5 as that seems almost certain to get a co-championship, with an outside shot at a solo title.

From a championship perspective, the game against Wisconsin in a week seems by far the most important. I don't know why, but Wisco just feels like the most likely team to put together a 4-loss B1G season this year.
Current projections have both UofI and PU finishing at 14-6 with MSU and Wisc one game back at 13-7. That said Wisc has the easiest remaining schedule in the B1G. Would have really helped if the PU game didn't cost UofI two losses.
 
#350      

danielb927

Orange Krush Class of 2013
Rochester, MN
Current projections have both UofI and PU finishing at 14-6 with MSU and Wisc one game back at 13-7. That said Wisc has the easiest remaining schedule in the B1G. Would have really helped if the PU game didn't cost UofI two losses.

Right. I think for most teams, the likelihood of finishing at that exact record is still pretty low, maybe 1-in-4. That could mean better or worse… so of the 4 teams, you’d expect 1 or 2 to finish at least 1 game better than their prediction. That’s why I think 15-5 is going to have a decent chance of a solo title but not a guarantee.
 
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