Bracketology

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#152      
Lunardi was updating his 2 and 3 seeds after the games yesterday, even though Dan Gavitt said, on national tv, that the 1 through 9 seeds were already set as of Saturday morning. Kinda tarnishes his credibility.
Lunardi had credibility? Guy came up with a tremendous angle years ago in the early days of the web. He’s really picking about 5 spots for 8 teams. It can be a fun distraction but it’s not like he’s particularly good at this.
 
#153      
Vermont is 28-5 and won their conference championship game by 40 points.

Correct, Vermont is a considerably better basketball team and are currently 59 in KenPom and 52 in the NET.

To put it in perspective the other proposed 4 seeds in that bracket would be facing teams with KP ratings of 72, 80 and 103.

They may not be Loyola from last year but that are going to be a team that’s very undervalued for their seed. IMO we do not want to face Vermont.
 
#154      

RockyMtnIllini81

Golden, Colorado
This is what Sports Illustrated predicted this morning.

West Region​

No. 1 Gonzaga vs. No. 16 Norfolk State/Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
No. 8 TCU vs. No. 9 North Carolina
No. 5 Iowa vs. No. 12 Chattanooga
No. 4 Providence vs. No. 13 South Dakota State
No. 6 Texas vs. No. 11 Davidson*
No. 3 Illinois vs. No. 14 Delaware
No. 7 Boise State vs. No. 10 Iowa State
No. 2 Tennessee* vs. No. 15 Yale
 
#156      
Tennessee's profile does suddenly look better than Duke or Auburn's, so I wouldn't be surprised to see htem on the 2 line with one of the others on the 3 line.

I think the 1 seeds are for sure Gonzaga, Arizona, Kansas and Baylor.
2 seeds at this point are Kentucky, Tennessee, Villanova and one of Purdue/Auburn/Duke
3 seeds are the other 2 of Purdue/Auburn/Duke, Texas Tech, and one of Wisconsin/Illinois/UCLA
4 seeds are the other 2 of Wisconsin/Illinois/UCLA, Arkansas and Iowa.

I'd say those 16 are veritable certainties for protected seeds, with Iowa the only one somewhat vulnerable if the committee really believes in, say, Houston.
 
#159      
Well, Richmond overcomes Davidson at the end and likely steals a bid (unless Davidson is the bid they took, but I don't think so).
 
#161      
I think Richmond gets a 12 seed, with the play-in games now being one 12 seed and one 11 seed. And Davidson is probably in one of those play in games.
 
#165      

Ignatius Shang

5th year PhD, school of Information Sciences
Champaign, IL
I guess Richmond just knocked Wyoming out of the tournament - though I really, really hope it would be Michigan.
 
#171      
Given the rankings the committee put out several weeks ago, along with Illinois and some other teams' performance since then (I have Wisconsin in mind)... I'd put just as much money on Illinois being a 3-seed (probably the lowest one) as I would a 4-seed. Guess we'll find out shortly.
 
#172      
Not sure which I prefer, East region and get the first weekend in Mil or Midwest and get a potential 2nd weekend in Chicago.
Let's get out of the first two rounds for the first time in 17 years, so, Milwaukee. After that, let the chips fall where they may. Let's not take this as we're a regular to the Sweet 16.
 
#174      
So I know Michigan is most disappointing Big Ten team this year. But can't imagine with all the talent they had coming back and all the expectations, that Purdue can't be happy to get neither a Big Ten regular season or tournament title. (if this game finishes like it's going first half)

Of course they could forget all that by getting to an Elite 8, but right now I'd say it's shaping up to be a somewhat unfulfilling season for Boilers.
 
#175      
My predictions:

IL: 5 - I think the initial 3 seeding was giving a large benefit of the doubt to the injury issues. I'm not sure we lived up to it. Now Grandison, one of the key cogs, is injured. I'd actually prefer we get a 6 seed to a 5 seed.

Indiana is in - no play in game.
Michigan is out
I really hope Rutgers gets a last 4 in, though I expect they will be just on the outside. They were unsteady early. They have a ton of Q1 wins.
 
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