Illinois 79, UCLA 70 Postgame

#226      
Right, but that also means that it should react more strongly to big wins early.
Not how he has it setup. Basically he mutes the early season game data such that it is rather small in deciding ranking compared to preseason predictions. As each progressive game is played, the amount of muting gradually goes down. If I recall correctly, by about the 12th game of the season, game results are close to having full weight.

Statistically this makes sense as it's difficult to balance real results on very low data points and your predictive data. Pomeroy opts to be more conservative early putting a lot of weight of preseason prediction and less weight on in game results, because otherwise, we're a 4-0 team with a win over a 3-1 team on a neutral court. Good, but there's also about 50 additional undefeated teams right now, so each day rankings would be a lot more fluid (very very fluid early season) and the average person hates that, haha, so his reasoning makes a lot of sense.

That said, personally I love the only real results, no predictive component to stats and I think college football would be much much much better if this were how rankings were handled instead of an AP poll, as teams would be ranked entirely on their on-field performance. It would get rid of all jersey and conference bias that voters have. That said when you have a team like Alabama ranked 50something after 1 game their fanbase would kill people, so there's a give and take there too I guess.
 
#230      

JSpence

Evansville, IN
Correct. Your biggest wins are the things your grandchildren will see banners of, that's clear.

Nights like tonight are the ones old timers swap stories about. Remember that time Terrence Shannon went Godzilla Mode and we beat UCLA in Vegas with like 80% Illinois fans in the house?
Exactly. This game had 15 minutes of the 2004 Gonzaga game.
 
#233      
Danija should start and Hawkins needs to come off the bench. He played tentative and seemed lost on offense. RJ also played tentative. Both are very talented but they need to trust their skills and play with more confidence and fluidity. The freshmen are legit! Great battle!!!
 
#237      
This game, in my opinion , has started to identify what each player role is. Just a few observations. SH is a spark plug off the bench.

CHawk, although not confident offensively yet, he is a defensive stopper.

Epps and Clark are your PGs for the season. Steady and solid with occasional hiccups.

Mayer is getting his mojo back. He will be instrumental where this team goes.

Dainja…relentless. Needs more touches.

Once RJ, Ty and eventually Luke get in sync…yikes.

And well, TSJ…..wow! Agree but I would say 50% of the game Coleman Hawkins bought the ball up and started the offense that's why he had 5 assist No words.
 
#240      

Kramerica Industries

Greenville, SC
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#241      
When I say not content offensively, he should take those open shots. Don’t think about it, shoot it.
 
#242      
Danija should start and Hawkins needs to come off the bench. He played tentative and seemed lost on offense. RJ also played tentative. Both are very talented but they need to trust their skills and play with more confidence and fluidity. The freshmen are legit! Great battle!!!
No. Hawkins is a difference maker on defense.
 
#249      
Hawk definitely is hesitant to take an outside shot. He had a few open looks tonight but deferred.
Hawk was definitely pass-first tonight, led the team in assists and defended well. Tentative on the shot but contributed positively. He doesn't have to be the #1 scoring option for the team to do well, is really the takeaway from tonight.