Pregame: Illinois vs Arkansas, Thursday, March 16th, 3:30pm CT, TBS

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#501      
I love Henson, but my dad always talks about how people never really appreciated him until he was gone. There was AT LEAST as much of a "he can't win the big games" narrative about him as some have about Underwood all throughout the 1980s ... let's remember 1989 came near the end of our heyday. And who knows what Self does if he stays at Illinois or what Underwood does if he's at Kansas all this time? It's just hard to say.
The NIL and transfer portal, I imagine really changes the dynamics of recuriting and coaching
I imagine some coaches who are purists and whose first love is basketball may no be particuarly excited by having to engage in finanical negotiations with players every year or playingg "muscial chairs" as multiple players go and come each year through the portal
One wonders if we still se the elongevity of coaching careers like Hensons??????
 
#502      
Let me clarify BU is a great coach, bottom line. I’m just pointing out there has been a ceiling, and I’m attributing that to scheme.
I don't believe in this ceiling nonsense. It's a single game best of 1 elimination tournament. Obviously the better teams (1 seeds) tend to win, they are obviously of higher quality and they get easier draws... but when you boil it down, lots of random teams can go on deep runs, winning it all is rarer, but UConn was a 7 seed and won it a while back, they certainly weren't some great team all season. Then when you expand to teams that make the Championship Game, Final Four, Elite Eight..... yeah. Ceilings don't really exist in the way that you are describing.

Illinois had one team under Underwood that should have gone a lot further than it did, two seasons ago. They got a tough draw against a Top 10 KenPom team with the Number 1 Adjusted Defense, and they didn't play well and lost. It's hard to make some big grandiose statement from that. I agree Underwood needs a Sweet Sixteen but there is some context to apply. The program was in rough shape when he took over with what was left over from the Groce era after his last season's NIT team largely matriculated and a few other guys transferred out. That made the first two seasons rebuild. The third season was strong, the culmination of the rebuild efforts and Illinois was finding its stride and slated to be a Tournament team, no idea how that team would have gone. The fourth season was one of the best seasons in Illinois history by all objective measures. Didn't work out in the Tournament but it doesn't erase it. Fifth season was solid, won a co-Big Ten regular season championship, team did about as expected as a 4 seed that got a tough 5 seed. This season wasn't great but not a disaster and still made the Tournament. It would be nice if our tournament fate could balance itself out a bit.

I don't love the idea of looking retroactively and determining that of course that was always going to be the result. I've seen enough 10 and 11 seeds nationwide make Final Four runs that no reasonable metric said that they should be able to do, it just happens sometimes. I see no evidence that there is any sort of scheme deficiency that in and of itself prevents Illinois from winning NCAA Tournament games. In the case of this year's team, it's just not that good. Can't shoot, no point guard, can't shut down other team's top players.
 
#504      
I love Henson, but my dad always talks about how people never really appreciated him until he was gone. There was AT LEAST as much of a "he can't win the big games" narrative about him as some have about Underwood all throughout the 1980s ... let's remember 1989 came near the end of our heyday. And who knows what Self does if he stays at Illinois or what Underwood does if he's at Kansas all this time? It's just hard to say.
You are 100% correct, Henson definitely had that label of not winning the big game, but he also had some really close calls (Kentucky in Rupp, the '89 Final Four game) that would have changed his narrative completely. But talk about raising a program up from the ashes - that's what Henson did for Illinois basketball - he grew it from the pitts (the Illini went 5-18 and 8-18 the two years before he arrived) to National prominence and a consistent winner -after his son died tragically in a car accident he was not the same coach.

What we have today as a basketball program was in large part to the foundation Henson built
 
#510      
I don't believe in this ceiling nonsense. It's a single game best of 1 elimination tournament...
Yep, exactly. Brand Underwood has had TWO opportunities to play in the NCAA Tournament at Illinois. He was robbed of a great opportunity in 2020, 2021 was a disappointment and 2022 went about as planned, given Houston was very underseeded, IMO, and we weren't fully healthy ... also, a 4/5 is a pick 'em. I don't buy this notion that certain coaches, much less programs, are inherently better in March ... it's about execution and luck, and the best way to get far in the NCAAs is to continue to get back there with the highest seed you can and give it another shot.

Even the legendary coach Tom Izzo has had way more than two disappointments in March Madness ... for all we know, Brad just got his out of the way. ;)

Izzo's Less Remembered March Madness Trips
2017:
Lost in the Second Round as a #3 seed
2016: Lost in the First Round as a #2 seed
2012: Lost in the Sweet Sixteen as a #1 seed
1995: Lost in the First Round as a #3 seed

Now, Tom Izzo is obviously a great postseason coach and my point was NOT to dispute that. In fact, I am trying to do just the opposite. If good coaches (which I believe Underwood ABSOLUTELY is, and we are SO lucky to have him!!) continue to get back to March Madness, they'll eventually break through.

In the meantime, we might have to hear rival fans joke about us not being back to the Sweet Sixteen since 2005, but that stat isn't the zinger they think it is ... they're effectively saying that Bruce Weber pretty much sucked post-Dee Brown (duh), John Groce failed here (duh), Underwood took a few years to build a program (duh!) and that we suffered an upset in 2021 in the Second Round that has happened to quite a few #1 seeds over the years - including Baylor last year, one season removed from being National Champs. I have every confidence that we are in amazing hands, and I do not think Underwood is any worse of a "postseason coach" than anyone else, and I think that will be proven over the next several years if we keep recruiting well. This year is theoretically a really tough draw to "prove" that as a #9 seed, and we STILL have it right in front of us with a legitimate chance to go on a run. Let's go beat Arkansas, and give Kansas (or Howard🤞) our all!
 
#512      

LGIllini

La Grange, IL

Thought this was a fun article. Has Illini/Arkansas as the second most interesting game of the first round. Here's the write-up if you don't want to scroll through the whole article:

2. (8) Arkansas vs. (9) Illinois

Thursday | 4:30 p.m. | TBS
Both teams are loaded with talent and fully capable of playing beyond the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament. Both are also maddeningly inconsistent and capable of falling behind by 15 in the first half. Illinois is 4-6 over its last 10 and Arkansas 1-4 over its last five. But somewhere on that Illinois team bus is the squad that beat UCLA and Texas. And somewhere on that Arkansas bus is a team that beat Kentucky by 15 on the road. This one is ripe for chaos.
 
#513      
You are 100% correct, Henson definitely had that label of not winning the big game, but he also had some really close calls (Kentucky in Rupp, the '89 Final Four game) that would have changed his narrative completely. But talk about raising a program up from the ashes - that's what Henson did for Illinois basketball - he grew it from the pitts (the Illini went 5-18 and 8-18 the two years before he arrived) to National prominence and a consistent winner -after his son died tragically in a car accident he was not the same coach.

What we have today as a basketball program was in large part to the foundation Henson built
Agree 100%! Illinois has been very fortunate with the coaches we have had. How many other programs in the nation, including the Blue Bloods, can say things like this?? This seriously speaks to a self-sustaining program that has the built-in advantages to win and doesn't need to rely on one legendary coach ... this all excludes Bartow who was here for ONE season:

- 5 of our last 6 coaches have won at least one Big Ten championship.
- 4 of our last 6 coaches have earned a #1 seed.
- Since the BTT began, 3 of our 5 coaches have won the championship. 4 out of 5 have at least made the championship game once.
- Since the invention of the AP Poll, 7 of our last 8 coaches have had multiple teams finished ranked. 3 of the last 4 have had a team finish in the top 5...
- Since the NCAAT began, 8 of our last 9 coaches have made it at least once.

It's easy for us to get down on ourselves, but it is NOT difficult to win here. And that's why Brad Underwood left a good thing at a storied program like Oklahoma State to be the head coach of the Fighting Illini.
 
#514      

pruman91

Paducah, Ky
You are 100% correct, Henson definitely had that label of not winning the big game, but he also had some really close calls (Kentucky in Rupp, the '89 Final Four game) that would have changed his narrative completely. But talk about raising a program up from the ashes - that's what Henson did for Illinois basketball - he grew it from the pitts (the Illini went 5-18 and 8-18 the two years before he arrived) to National prominence and a consistent winner -after his son died tragically in a car accident he was not the same coach.

What we have today as a basketball program was in large part to the foundation Henson built
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#515      
Yep. Imagine our 2019-20 team, fresh off beating rival Iowa in an intense game to earn a double-bye in the BTT, earns a #4 or #5 seed. That team had most of the same pieces as 2021 but the veteran leadership/toughness of Felize. I really think they wind up in the Sweet Sixteen. If you had that experience under your belt, it's a lot easier to respond when Loyola starts pushing the lead to 6 and then 8 and then 10. Does the 2005 team come back vs. Arizona if that group didn't have experience making the Sweet Sixteen in 2004, let alone ZERO Tournament games under their belt ever?? I don't think so.
I have the exact same philosophy on this.
I agree with the point about getting bored with going inside but the one about not being athletic is a puzzler. Illinois is an excellent fast break team-Shannon is one of the fastest players I've seen. I suppose he must be referring to Hawkins but as he is a 6'10" 4 or 5 that hardly seems relevant.
I believe Shannon is one of the best athletes in college basketball. But watch the big 12 and SEC, guys with the length and athleticism of RJ, Mayer, Hawkins etc are everywhere. For example, Mayer did not stand out athletically when he was at Baylor. He has done so a couple times in league play here. RJ was equal to what Houston (neither conference I know, but similar roster makeups) put on the floor last year. My final question to ponder is, who stood out ATHLETICALLY vs Texas this year? They had us out-athleted at multiple positions, and that’s when RJ, TSJ, Mayer and Hawkins were still all starting together.
 
#516      
I love Henson, but my dad always talks about how people never really appreciated him until he was gone. There was AT LEAST as much of a "he can't win the big games" narrative about him as some have about Underwood all throughout the 1980s ... let's remember 1989 came near the end of our heyday. And who knows what Self does if he stays at Illinois or what Underwood does if he's at Kansas all this time? It's just hard to say.
Lou made the S16 in his 6th year here - if BU does the same a lot of the chatter about him goes away.
 
#520      

Illini_1979

Oregon

Thought this was a fun article. Has Illini/Arkansas as the second most interesting game of the first round. Here's the write-up if you don't want to scroll through the whole article:

2. (8) Arkansas vs. (9) Illinois

Thursday | 4:30 p.m. | TBS
Both teams are loaded with talent and fully capable of playing beyond the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament. Both are also maddeningly inconsistent and capable of falling behind by 15 in the first half. Illinois is 4-6 over its last 10 and Arkansas 1-4 over its last five. But somewhere on that Illinois team bus is the squad that beat UCLA and Texas. And somewhere on that Arkansas bus is a team that beat Kentucky by 15 on the road. This one is ripe for chaos.
I love that closing sentence.

Go Illini. :illinois:
 
#523      
Yep, exactly. Brand Underwood has had TWO opportunities to play in the NCAA Tournament at Illinois. He was robbed of a great opportunity in 2020, 2021 was a disappointment and 2022 went about as planned, given Houston was very underseeded, IMO, and we weren't fully healthy ... also, a 4/5 is a pick 'em. I don't buy this notion that certain coaches, much less programs, are inherently better in March ... it's about execution and luck, and the best way to get far in the NCAAs is to continue to get back there with the highest seed you can and give it another shot.

Even the legendary coach Tom Izzo has had way more than two disappointments in March Madness ... for all we know, Brad just got his out of the way. ;)

Izzo's Less Remembered March Madness Trips
2017:
Lost in the Second Round as a #3 seed
2016: Lost in the First Round as a #2 seed
2012: Lost in the Sweet Sixteen as a #1 seed
1995: Lost in the First Round as a #3 seed

Now, Tom Izzo is obviously a great postseason coach and my point was NOT to dispute that. In fact, I am trying to do just the opposite. If good coaches (which I believe Underwood ABSOLUTELY is, and we are SO lucky to have him!!) continue to get back to March Madness, they'll eventually break through.

In the meantime, we might have to hear rival fans joke about us not being back to the Sweet Sixteen since 2005, but that stat isn't the zinger they think it is ... they're effectively saying that Bruce Weber pretty much sucked post-Dee Brown (duh), John Groce failed here (duh), Underwood took a few years to build a program (duh!) and that we suffered an upset in 2021 in the Second Round that has happened to quite a few #1 seeds over the years - including Baylor last year, one season removed from being National Champs. I have every confidence that we are in amazing hands, and I do not think Underwood is any worse of a "postseason coach" than anyone else, and I think that will be proven over the next several years if we keep recruiting well. This year is theoretically a really tough draw to "prove" that as a #9 seed, and we STILL have it right in front of us with a legitimate chance to go on a run. Let's go beat Arkansas, and give Kansas (or Howard🤞) our all!
Not just Izzo, either. You could say that about just about every BIGTIME coach.
I mean you could say it about anybody. They’ve all gone through it…they’ve all struggled to build/rebuild in varying degrees. They’ve all been booted in March multiple times. They’ve all had the…”he can’t coach”….”he can’t make adjustments” tag put on ‘em…

There’s many more but:
Scott Drew, Tony Bennett, Jay Wright, Mike Kryzewski, Tom Izzo, snd Bill Self…are good examples…think about that…it’s a list of Hall Of Famers.

Everyone one of ‘em went through a mountain o’ crap with their: respective know-it-all fan bases, media big-mouths, and ultra-competitive…ahem, ambitious? peers.
 
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#524      

GallopingGhost

Denver, CO
Not just Izzo, either. You could say that about just about every BIGTIME coach.
I mean really…you could. They’ve gone through it…they’ve all struggled to build/rebuild in varying degrees. They’ve all been booted in March multiple times. They’ve all had the…he can’t coach….he can’t make adjustments tag put on ‘em…

There’s many more but:
Scott Drew, Tony Bennett, Jay Wright, Mike Kryzewski, Tom Izzo, snd Bill Self…are good examples…think about that…it’s a list of Hall Of Famers.

Everyone one of ‘em went through a mountain o’ crap with their: respective know-it-all fan bases, media big-mouths, and ultra-competitive…ahem, ambitious? peers.
It’s really about how often you get there. If you’re getting there every year, eventually you will have a team that gets hot and goes deep. Yes it’s more likely if you get a 1 seed than a 9 seed but we’ve seen it can happen to anyone who is playing strong and together.

In such a single-elimination chaotic event, it’s literally just a numbers game.
 
#525      
It’s really about how often you get there. If you’re getting there every year, eventually you will have a team that gets hot and goes deep. Yes it’s more likely if you get a 1 seed than a 9 seed but we’ve seen it can happen to anyone who is playing strong and together.

In such a single-elimination chaotic event, it’s literally just a numbers game.
Yep
 
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