Quite honestly, I'm struggling to think of a P4 program that is lower on the totem pole than Vandy's - maybe Wake or BC? There are several non-P4 programs that are better - Boise, Memphis, USF to name a few. Vandy is two years removed from being godawful, and they will return to that state as soon as Pavia and Lea leave at the end of this year.There are 35 SEC and BT jobs plus ND. Those are the best 35 jobs. Vandy is definitely top 30 job.
Every school not in BT and SEC has significant risk.