Pregame: Illinois vs VCU, Saturday, March 21st, 6:50pm CT, CBS

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#251      
I feel like the Illini making 3s and getting offensive rebounds is a result of games when Illinois moves the ball very well and attacks inside to create opportunities to pass out to open shooters.

The ball movement creates more in rhythm open looks(tend to shoot better on those looks) and it gets the defense out of position with guys helping and scrambling to closeout which they are in a worse position to boxout and Illinois can turn those unchecked guys into offensive boards.

The quick 3s when the defense is set doesn't put any pressure on the opposing team to defend and leads to fewer offensive rebound opportunities because the defenders are set and near the guy they are responsible for checking.
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#252      
Z has one strong scoring move when he is not hitting threes....the dunk. It is very frustrating to watch him get a board 3 ft. from the rim and throw it out to Keaton or Bam because he lacks the strength or skill to shoot it in if he can't dunk it. I am certain the coaches would like him to put it back, but there has either been:
1. No effort to develop dependable moves like a jump hook, or flip like Tommy.
2. No desire for him to score two and the staff prefers him to toss it out.

For sure, if I were coaching him, he would have spent 1000 hours by now working on a couple of solid scoring moves every time he got the ball within 5 ft. And one thing he would be doing if he wanted to get on the floor is never bringing the ball down below his head when in traffic.

Unfortunately, Z is such a talented rim protector and rebounder that he needs to play. But I cannot understand why he does not try to score or loses the ball way too often. Otherwise, I love his play...but he could do so much more.
This cr@p needs to stop. No effort. No desire. Seriously? Sometimes, people aren't as good as you want them to be. Maybe they aren't living up to YOUR expectations. That doesn't mean that the effort and desire isn't there. He's at practice working EVERY day, while you're on the sofa watching the day or at work, then eating, then on your sofa. That goes for all of us.

I'm all about being able to be critical, call out mistakes, etc. Bringing the ball down is a problem. I 100% agree. Settling for three's, I agree. That's across the board with this squad. This defaulting to effort, caring, fire, desire, focus, not trying etc....it needs to stop.

If you don't think that he's working his tail off and they're trying everything to uncover his talents, I'm not sure what to say outside of this staff has a pretty good history of development and success. Sounds like you're saying that Wagler has more effort and desire however.

Again, I'm not saying don't be critical. However, have some substance behind it. Don't default to laziness.
 
#253      
I'm even more lost - Offense is about points/possession.

Illinois leads the nation in points per possession and the key factor to having the highest points / possession relates to rebounding the missed 3pt.

A rebound creates a second opportunity to score on the same possession.

We shoot 32 pt shots a game. We make 11 and we rebound and get over 8.5 rebounds on the miss. That is an astronomical number and leads to the highest points per 100 possessions in the history of NCAA men's basketball.

So I am going to (respectfully) ask the same question. Why in the world would we change the offense we run?

One other question (and this is for the board, not exactly for you):

What is the obsession with the Andrej's 3pt shooting? Since he returned from his ankle sprain - he is 3 / 12 from three point range in 7 games. The 3 pt numbers are insignificant and have little impact on our ppm.

Similarly, Z has taken 21 three pt shots in the last 9 games... that isn't having any impact on our offensive production. I am just curious, what all the commentary is about? There isn't any relevance.
I'm in agreement with most of your post, however:

1)When we have a significant advantage in the paint(Friday, vs Wisconsin, etc), we have to recognize that. That second half against Penn, the adjustment was clearly made, we worked from the inside out, not vice versa. You saw the difference in the quality of shots and the easy hoops in the paint.

2)When we're playing a team that has a big, physical, front line, we're not going to be able to double up teams on the offensive glass. Michigan was a great example of that. In games where we can't chase down a ton of rebounds, our style is a problem. We can't rebound to a stalemate. We'll lose unless we're hot and we can't have that be the default.

3)When that's the offense, end of game situations where we need a bucket....it's not always ideal.
 
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#254      
Places that are ten minute walk from arena
Bars: Neat Bourbon Bar, City Tavern, Ink n Ivy
Restaurants : Sassafras, Draper, Cantina 76
fireforge had a great reuben and beer menu Thursday. Too bad Penn had their event in the garage
 
#259      
Keep in mind with focusing only on counting stats that those aren't opponent-adjusted. Illinois has compiled it's counting statistics over a 20 game B1G slate + extremely hard non-conference schedule while VCU has played 3 ranked teams all season (sidenote they're 0-3 in those games losing by an average of 11.3 points)
They needed awful officiating and enormous luck just to get past Carolina.
 
#261      
Hill should be in for a long night with Bam on him and dialed in. Still crazy to think he was only out for a month with a fractured hand and surgery and to come back and play at a high level is crazy. Paul and Fletch are incredible!
 
#262      
This cr@p needs to stop. No effort. No desire. Seriously? Sometimes, people aren't as good as you want them to be. Maybe they aren't living up to YOUR expectations. That doesn't mean that the effort and desire isn't there. He's at practice working EVERY day, while you're on the sofa watching the day or at work, then eating, then on your sofa. That goes for all of us.

I'm all about being able to be critical, call out mistakes, etc. Bringing the ball down is a problem. I 100% agree. Settling for three's, I agree. That's across the board with this squad. This defaulting to effort, caring, fire, desire, focus, not trying etc....it needs to stop.

If you don't think that he's working his tail off and they're trying everything to uncover his talents, I'm not sure what to say outside of this staff has a pretty good history of development and success. Sounds like you're saying that Wagler has more effort and desire however.

Again, I'm not saying don't be critical. However, have some substance behind it. Don't default to laziness.
Likely, I used the wrong words. I was not saying Z had no effort or desire, but the continued lack of evidence seems to say that the staff has either made none or has been unsuccessful in their efforts to develop his scoring skills around the rim....other than dunking,

Z is a highly athletic team player. It is hard to imagine that he would not respond if the staff were to work with him individually to develop dependable scoring skills within 5 ft. of the rim. It has been done successfully a thousand times or more over the past 100 yrs.

And in addition to his unsuccessful efforts to be a dependable scorer at 5 to 8 ft. from the rim, he brings the ball down way too often and gets it stolen way too often by little guys. It does not take a lot of work to develop both to a positive.

I did not intend to be critical of Z but place almost all of the two shortcomings on the staff. One thing for certain, both have proven to be re-occurring problems that are pretty easily corrected.

It is really surprising to me that after two seasons with Cal and one with Brad that both continue to be issues. The "why" is baffling.
 
#266      
Hey, I got me some Bears, Blackhawks, Bulls, Cubs, White Sox, even Chicago Sting championship with Karl-Heinz Granitza! When am I gonna get me Illini national champeen? Came close twice but horseshoes and hand grenades. My clock is still ticking, but it's winding down. Go Illini!
Karl Heinz Granitza… wow. Honestly don’t think I’ve heard that name in over 35 years… well done!
star wars GIF
 
#267      
I don't think anyone is saying we should heave up contested 3s early in a possession before our rebounders are in position, or even that Tomi and Z should be chucking very many regardless.

But if one of our good shooters is open, that's a very high value shot. Even an occasional long range one from Wagler is good to make the defense honor that and open up some other easy option.

I get the argument about collapsing the defense to create an open look, but if you already have an open look, there's no reason to risk an errant dribble or pass or that you just don't get a good look.

Edit: a 30% 3pt shot with a 40% ORB is 1.25ppp. At 32%, it's 1.33
Generally, I agree with you about the capable shooters taking open threes. Especially when the pass is to the pocket, the shot can be taken in rhythm, and the offense is set so there's a good chance of an offensive rebound. But if it's not Keaton, Mirk, Jake, or Ben, it's a so-so pass (Kylan has made a couple bounce passes around the perimeter), it's early in the clock, and we're still getting set so the chances of an offensive rebound are less, I would rather they wait to see if they can get something better.
 
#270      
Is Mirk on anyone's draft board this year?
After he leads the Illini to title this year, he'll be lotto pick.... 🏆

In the SLIM chance that doesn't happen, he'd be a 2nd rounder this loaded draft.

Think he can be a later half 1st rounder next year in a shallower draft. And make a boatload of money next season. Illini are gonna have to open up the checkbook like theyve never had to do before with him. The Andrej money, the KB money, the Petro money.....is gonna have to be allocated to Mirk.
 
#271      
I'm in agreement with most of your post, however:

1)When we have a significant advantage in the paint(Friday, vs Wisconsin, etc), we have to recognize that. That second half against Penn, the adjustment was clearly made, we worked from the inside out, not vice versa. You saw the difference in the quality of shots and the easy hoops in the paint.

2)When we're playing a team that has a big, physical, front line, we're not going to be able to double up teams on the offensive glass. Michigan was a great example of that. In games where we can't chase down a ton of rebounds, our style is a problem. We can't rebound to a stalemate. We'll lose unless we're hot and we can't have that be the default.

3)When that's the offense, end of game situations where we need a bucket....it's not always ideal.
Hear you and completely understood. Where a I differ is I think the conceptual frame work behind all of our players shooting 3pt shots is so the opposition doesn't sag off. I am more of the school of "If it ain't broke, don't fix it." I am more in wonderment about second half FT shooting at this point in the season.
 
#272      
If he keeps this up in the tournament he's like Luka 2.0.
No and no way. But 10 Colleges across the land will pay him 3 to 7 million to enter transfer portal. If he gets more athletic and opens his hps. He will be a NBA baller and very good. I believe Adam Fletcher is the man to help him achieve his goals. Fletcher has been a secret weapon for our beloved for years!
 
#273      
Well brothers and sisters, here's to hoping VCU guards don't maul us to shreds like good guards have all season. I don't know Coaches, maybe more zone or 1,3,1.. I dont care. Man up and we'll be in for a rock fight. I also hope we Poud them In the PAINT. Then let our 3's rain on Occasion. I say, On Occasion. Kill em in the lane and free throw line. Move On!
 
#274      
2)When we're playing a team that has a big, physical, front line, we're not going to be able to double up teams on the offensive glass. Michigan was a great example of that. In games where we can't chase down a ton of rebounds, our style is a problem. We can't rebound to a stalemate. We'll lose unless we're hot and we can't have that be the default.
This is super opponent-based.

Penn is #216 in DREB rate (they were 184 before our game, lol)

VCU is #143

Houston is #176.

We should be fine in all 3 games if we play to our standard. Illinois — 3rd best OREB team in the nation at 39.2%.

Florida however, might be tough as they’re #7 (2nd amongst high major teams).
 
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#275      
Brad's version of moneyball, and it's working. It's a very analytical approach. Impossible to argue with the stats that we need to change our offense.
I think it's on the defensive end where our weaknesses show. Our guys avoid fouling very well but I think that also creates a lot of open drives to the basket for the opponents. UCLA exploited this particularly well.
I hear you and agree for the most part. UCLA shot 65% in the the last 29 minutes against us. They were 10-21 from 3 and shot 17 FTs (including 3 at the end of the first half) after the 10 minute mark. That was 46 of the 85 points they scored. I understand your observation, but 65% shooting doesn't happen against the worst defenses in the NCAA (23 of 36) from 2 point range. Your point about the defense in that game is well taken - but Bilodeau and Daily were pretty difficult to stop, Mirk played with 4 fouls. I think those are related. In my opinion we lost to UCLA because of execution (silly 3 shot foul at the end of the first half, missed foul shots in the second half and complete brain fart on the final play of the game).
 
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