This isn’t about the Cubs but rather one of their rivals. It also speaks to why stats aren’t the whole story at the minor league level. Teams have a plan for prospects and look for particular development milestones that aren’t always reflected in stats.
Brewers are reportedly bringing up their #17 prospect Tyson Hardin to make a start. I had never heard of him, so I was curious and checked him out. He was drafted in the 12th round in 2024 after being a reliever at Miss St., and tossed a few inning at A ball that year. Last year he had a solid year starting at A+ (11 games) and finishing at AA (10 games). This year he was sent back to AA to start the season. There is where it gets interesting.
Again, I know next to nothing about this guy and some type of injury might have played a part of it or it could have been about adding a new pitch or wanting him to alter his pitch sequencing. I am strictly going off the stats. Looking at those, it is hard to say he wasn’t having a worse season repeating the same level — not what you want to see. His ERA went from 3.29 (10 games) to 7.67 (7 games), his WHIP from 1.23 to 1.77, and his opponent BA from .267 to .313. This year at AA he didn’t give up less than two ERs in a game and in his final 3 starts he gave up 14 ERs in 13.2 innings. So what do you do? Promote him to AAA of course. And in 3 games at the higher level, he’s getting fewer strikeouts but averaging a shade over 6 innings an outing (about 4.1 at AA) with an ERA of 0.96, WHIP of 0.91 and opponent BA of .161.