All of the NFC North teams are going to have difficult schedules because it's the best division in the NFL. There's 6 games automatically baked into the equation.It's really not. They (NFC North) lucked out getting the NFC South. All of those teams were under .500 last season.
The rest of it is based off of last year's data. There are teams that take steps back, steps forward and then there's always injuries.
Will the Packers look like the Packers team the last quarter of the year, after Parsons got hurt or does he come back cleanly?
Last year, New England feasted on a god awful schedule and an absolutely terrible division. Does Maye play at an MVP level or do we get that regression?
Seattle lost the Super Bowl MVP, chunks of an amazing defense and does Darnold regress?
We can go on and on and on.....
Ultimately, the Bears won 11 games pretty much playing for 1 1/2 quarters a game. The offense was non existent until they were down late and kicked it into gear. That can't happen again. That needs to be cleaned up.
We need answers on the defensive line and their ability to stop the run and get a decent pass rush.
There are SO many variables that go into a season. Basing anything off of last year is good for TV and radio.