You're completely missing the part (and the point) about the other tax revenues and economic benefits from having a project like a Bears stadium and related facilities. Sales tax in Chicago/Cook is north of 10%, and that's not even accounting for all the entertainment, hotel, etc. taxes that the towns and county (not sure if state does to) levy. I'm not sure how can you not the see the huge difference in terms of economic return and tax revenue from $3B business development vs. $3B residential real estate.Fair point, and residential real estate will have a higher tax revenue. Really just wanted to show that AH and the schools will be fine if the Bears don't go there.
I just don't understand why folks think it's so bad for IL if the Bears move. The public always loses in publicly funded stadiums (whether they're paying upfront to build it or deferred with tax breaks).
I'm not missing it at all. I believe (and many, many studies back it up) that the benefits are small. 8 home games/year. Maybe some concerts? I think the economic benefit from 10K new residents greatly outweighs the benefit from 8 home games where most fans drive in for the game and then drive home after. And like I said, there are many studies that back it up.You're completely missing the part (and the point) about the other tax revenues and economic benefits from having a project like a Bears stadium and related facilities. Sales tax in Chicago/Cook is north of 10%, and that's not even accounting for all the entertainment, hotel, etc. taxes that the towns and county (not sure if state does to) levy. I'm not sure how can you not the see the huge difference in terms of economic return and tax revenue from $3B business development vs. $3B residential real estate.
Also, I'm not sure if you're familiar with the area or not, but you're making a huge unsupported (and unlikely to occur) assumption that those 6,000 units would be bought. That's about 18,000+ people (assuming 3 per unit); where are these people coming from? The town (AH) is not growing, and most of the surrounding areas are similarly not growing population wise (many are actually shrinking). There is no need for new/added 6,000 units/residences in that area. There are also no businesses that would attract new residents, etc. At best, these people who will be moving from other areas in Cook (or maybe the surrounding counties), so you're not truly "adding" property tax revenue; rather, just shifting it from one area to another.
The town isn't growing because there literally isn't anywhere left to build there. If new housing were built, people would come.
Pritzker didn't sell the Thomson Center to Google. The State sold it to Michael Reschke and Quintin Primo for only $105M via a complicated transaction that involved trading a portion of it for a portion of the former BMO-Harris HQ. The prices was well below what if would have sold for pre-pandemic if the preservationist wouldn't have put up such a stink. Then those two agreed to a build-to-suit with Google. Pritzker took some credit for someone else's creativity.Warren was credited with spearheading the Vikings process of siting and building what is now regarded as one of the best stadiums in the league, and Pritzker's sale of the Thompson Center to Google is the basic shape of what I have in mind for Solider Field (though that's owned by the city).
But again I return to, even if the individual points of right-wing grievance are 100% factually true, right-wing grievance as a tone and mode of argument is not and inherently cannot be the Bears' ally in this process, playing those notes will always push them further away from their goal working in such a blue state. It's so tempting to reach for "there go Illinois Democrats again" as a rhetorical cudgel because there are so many sympathetic ears nationally, but you play to win the game and strategically the team and its allies should have been more disciplined about avoiding that.
They still think they can blackmail Pritzker with the idea that Indiana would damage his presidential ambitions, and maybe they're right, but you catch more flies with honey than with vinegar.
Lol we've got a lot of Illinois Policy Institute readers in here I see.Pritzker didn't sell the Thomson Center to Google. The State sold it to Michael Reschke and Quintin Primo for only $105M via a complicated transaction that involved trading a portion of it for a portion of the former BMO-Harris HQ. The prices was well below what if would have sold for pre-pandemic if the preservationist wouldn't have put up such a stink. Then those two agreed to a build-to-suit with Google. Pritzker took some credit for someone else's creativity.
The lakefront has never been meaningfully under consideration in this. Any lakefront-related proposal has only been a notional talking point for one side or the other, the fact that Soldier Field stands there as unloved city-owned property still owing nine figures of bond debt makes it impossible to start the conversation on the standard NFL terms.I don't think the lakefront proposal was stopped by right-wing grievance. The Democratic Socialists block of the City Council (which is Johnson's base) were likely louder opponents. The schadenfreude people are experiencing from the Indiana announcement is from the right because of the seeming ineptitude of the State and City fully controlled by Democrats bumbling the whole process.
How many more years did you want the Bears to keep playing the game. It takes 2 and only one side was doing anything. This didn't just start a few months ago.Warren was credited with spearheading the Vikings process of siting and building what is now regarded as one of the best stadiums in the league, and Pritzker's sale of the Thompson Center to Google is the basic shape of what I have in mind for Solider Field (though that's owned by the city).
But again I return to, even if the individual points of right-wing grievance are 100% factually true, right-wing grievance as a tone and mode of argument is not and inherently cannot be the Bears' ally in this process, playing those notes will always push them further away from their goal working in such a blue state. It's so tempting to reach for "there go Illinois Democrats again" as a rhetorical cudgel because there are so many sympathetic ears nationally, but you play to win the game and strategically the team and its allies should have been more disciplined about avoiding that.
They still think they can blackmail Pritzker with the idea that Indiana would damage his presidential ambitions, and maybe they're right, but you catch more flies with honey than with vinegar.
The problem is what they were doing was screwing up. Again and again.How many more years did you want the Bears to keep playing the game. It takes 2 and only one side was doing anything. This didn't just start a few months ago.
I'm not missing it at all. I believe (and many, many studies back it up) that the benefits are small. 8 home games/year. Maybe some concerts? I think the economic benefit from 10K new residents greatly outweighs the benefit from 8 home games where most fans drive in for the game and then drive home after. And like I said, there are many studies that back it up.
I grew up in AH so I'm very familiar with the area. The town isn't growing because there literally isn't anywhere left to build there. If new housing were built, people would come.
Tax breaks are (at least partially) paying for the stadium. Taxpayers are being asked to give up $100MM+ every year forever.Again, where would those people come/move from? Using that area for residential development will be pretty useless. For residential development to make sense, be justified, and be net positive economically and from tax revenue purposes, you need one or both of: 1) population growth in the area, and 2) business growth. You would also generally need housing shortages. None of these factors exist.
That town and the surrounding area are not growing because there is no population growth in the area, or in the Chicago metro in general--namely, in the Illinois parts. The Chicago area (particularly the parts in Illinois) has not seen any measurable population increase almost 20 years.
As for the business side, what would those people be moving for? Existing businesses in that area, at least ones that are big enough to result in substantial population growth (e.g., Motorola, which was there at one point) are gone and not coming back. Are you aware of any businesses moving or expanding there?
That area has NEITHER. Most people living there work in the city (unless they are working in school systems, health care, or services/entertainment).
So, as I mentioned, those would be people moving within Cook county, or at most from one of the other counties in Chicago area.
As for your last point, about studies showing that the benefits are small, I'll admit that I have not done the research there, but I'm going to guess that this mostly pertains to situations where the taxpayers were asked to pay for the stadium. This is NOT the case.
The Bears are being asked to pay 5x more property tax than the HIGHEST paying NFL team.Tax breaks are (at least partially) paying for the stadium. Taxpayers are being asked to give up $100MM+ every year forever.
And to your other point, we don't know where they would moving from or where jobs are coming from. A quick google search shows:
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Chicago No. 1 in annual ranking for corporate relocations
The city had 223 corporate expansions, projects and new entrants in the Chicago area last year.chicago.suntimes.com
AH isn't growing because there is no land to build on.
They're being asked to pay much LESS than the normal tax rate.The Bears are being asked to pay 5x more property tax than the HIGHEST paying NFL team.
I find the Sun Times article very hard to believe - does this really add up?Tax breaks are (at least partially) paying for the stadium. Taxpayers are being asked to give up $100MM+ every year forever.
And to your other point, we don't know where they would moving from or where jobs are coming from. A quick google search shows:
![]()
Chicago No. 1 in annual ranking for corporate relocations
The city had 223 corporate expansions, projects and new entrants in the Chicago area last year.chicago.suntimes.com
AH isn't growing because there is no land to build on.
Cook county's property taxes are insane.They're being asked to pay much LESS than the normal tax rate.
Tax breaks are (at least partially) paying for the stadium. Taxpayers are being asked to give up $100MM+ every year forever.
And to your other point, we don't know where they would moving from or where jobs are coming from. A quick google search shows:
![]()
Chicago No. 1 in annual ranking for corporate relocations
The city had 223 corporate expansions, projects and new entrants in the Chicago area last year.chicago.suntimes.com
AH isn't growing because there is no land to build on.
It reads like an advertisement. It doesn't mention any closings or size reductions. This isn't a net increase article, just a size increase or new business. Fluff article.I find the Sun Times article very hard to believe - does this really add up?
It pretty much disproves the thesis that no new jobs are coming to Chicago, which was always ridiculous.It reads like an advertisement. It doesn't mention any closings or size reductions. This isn't a net increase article, just a size increase or new business. Fluff article.
That article isn’t the gotcha you think it is.It pretty much disproves the thesis that no new jobs are coming to Chicago, which was always ridiculous.
Do you like this article better?
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Chicago ranked No. 1 metropolitan area for corporate relocations for 13th year in a row
Chicago is once again the top U.S. metropolitan area for companies looking to relocate.www.cbsnews.com
That seems more accurate.That article isn’t the gotcha you think it is.
It’s a count of “projects” and the org behind it lumps three totally different things into one number: local companies expanding, companies moving in, and brand-new businesses.
Most of that, in any big metro, is just existing companies renewing leases. Chicago “wins” this 13 years running mostly because it’s the 3rd-biggest metro and the ranking rewards raw volume. Houston, Dallas, NY and Atlanta are right behind for the same reason.
The way that data is shared, it only adds, never subtracts. Pritzker used this same “we’re #1 in relocations” line back in 2022, the same few months Chicago lost Boeing, Caterpillar AND Citadel headquarters.
The numbers that actually matter: Illinois is 48th of 50 states for people leaving, the metro lost 35,000+ residents last year, and downtown office vacancy just hit a record high 28.6% (was at 12% pre-pandemic).
I'd hate for actual facts and data to get in the way of your pre-existing mindset. And to the other poster--it's not renewing leases. It's new projects. It's really pretty easy to click through one link to the actual data, but I'll help you:That seems more accurate.
Seems like most of the big relocations are to Nashville or Austin.
I don't think I have heard of a big name going to Chicago.
HUD also does a measure of household income growth by region. Nationally the most recent numbers have the US average at 3.4%; Chicago was 1.1%.I'd hate for actual facts and data to get in the way of your pre-existing mindset. And to the other poster--it's not renewing leases. It's new projects. It's really pretty easy to click through one link to the actual data, but I'll help you:
It's not perfect data, but I'm not claiming Chicago is #1 for job growth--I'm just saying all the Chicago is dead folks on here are wrong.
No one”s disputing the project count. It’s what it measures that’s the problem.I'd hate for actual facts and data to get in the way of your pre-existing mindset. And to the other poster--it's not renewing leases. It's new projects. It's really pretty easy to click through one link to the actual data, but I'll help you:
It's not perfect data, but I'm not claiming Chicago is #1 for job growth--I'm just saying all the Chicago is dead folks on here are wrong.