Regarding our Quad 1 and Quad 2 wins, we could really use some good luck down the stretch! Assuming we can win our next two games, in which we will be favored and I believe we can definitely pull this off, these would be our "big wins" the committee would be looking at and how "safe" they are as of today:
QUAD 1
Safe
at #18 Iowa (top 75 keeps it)
vs. #21 Wisconsin (top 30 keeps it)
at #44 Indiana (top 75 keeps it)
at #33 Michigan State (top 75 keeps it)
at #37 Michigan (top 75 keeps it)
vs. #18 Iowa (top 30 keeps it)
"Bubble"
None
QUAD 2
"Bubble" to Move UP
vs. #37 Michigan (needs to be top 30)
vs. #33 Michigan State (needs to be top 30)
at #80 Northwestern (needs to be top 75)
Safe
vs. #69 Kansas State (51-100 keeps it)
vs. #46 Notre Dame (31-75 keeps it)
at #104 Minnesota (76-135 keeps it)
"Bubble" to Move DOWN
None
QUAD 3
"Bubble" to Move to Quad 2
vs. #83 Rutgers (needs to be top 75)
vs. #80 Northwestern (needs to be top 75)
I don't think the Committee will live and die by the NET rankings/Quad system, but ... in short, our resume could receive a relatively massive boost if Michigan/MSU could sneak back into the top 30, and RU/NU could sneak into the top 75. Here are those teams' remaining games:
MICH: vs. #33 MSU, vs. #18 IOWA, at #20 OSU ... murder's row, so a lot could change!
MSU: at #37 MICH, at #20 OSU, vs. #90 UMD ... could going 2-1 with a loss to OSU sneak them in?
NU: at #18 IOWA, vs. #104 MINN ... I think they'd have to go 2-0 to become top 75.
RUT: at #44 IND, vs. #94 PSU ... road win at IU would be huge and actually might get the job done?
I can't say I understand the NET rankings enough to predict movement, haha. However, from looking at that list, it seems like we want Iowa to lose just enough to remain top 30 but to allow Michigan and NU to gain some upward movement off of victories over the Hawkeyes. It seems like a no-brainer to root for Rutgers.