2/28 Polls & Bracketology - Illinois #20 in AP Poll

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#2      

Bigtex

DFW
can't imagine many changes at the top of the polls.

In top 10 8 teams lost. Only Duke and Baylor won both games
outside of the top 10 only #12 (UCLA) and #15 (Illinois) lost.
 
#5      
The Selection Committee will still have us as a 3-seed. We've gone 2-1 in Quad 1 games since their top 16 bracket 10 days ago. And both wins were on the road.
Still think we need dubs in the next 2 games to keep us on the 2/3 line. We don't really move up or down with a win against Penn State and even though Iowa is a quad 1 team a loss would give us a sub-500 record against quad 1 opponents
 
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#6      
In the NET rankings Houston is #3 with a 24 -4 record. However, they are 0-3 in Quad 1 wins. I do not pretend to understand how these stats are compiled. I wonder how many other teams without a Quad 1 win have been ranked that high at this time of the year. Illinois looks to be placed correctly.
 
#7      
CBS has their weekly rankings as they have us at 22. Gary Parrish is not a fan of the Illini. He has us as a 5 in his bracket.
 
#10      
Illini can win out and maybe get a share of the B10 title. Then get to B10 championship game, and I think we are a solid 3 seed, win B10 tourney outside shot at a 2. IMO, not much difference between a 2 & 3, but a big difference between a 3 & 4.
So so so much agree with this! Really don’t think we can get to a 2 seed as the BTT championship is usually worth nothing, but a 3 is leaps and bounds better than the 4/5.
 
#12      
Regarding our Quad 1 and Quad 2 wins, we could really use some good luck down the stretch! Assuming we can win our next two games, in which we will be favored and I believe we can definitely pull this off, these would be our "big wins" the committee would be looking at and how "safe" they are as of today:

QUAD 1
Safe

at #18 Iowa (top 75 keeps it)
vs. #21 Wisconsin (top 30 keeps it)
at #44 Indiana (top 75 keeps it)
at #33 Michigan State (top 75 keeps it)
at #37 Michigan (top 75 keeps it)
vs. #18 Iowa (top 30 keeps it)

"Bubble"
None

QUAD 2
"Bubble" to Move UP

vs. #37 Michigan (needs to be top 30)
vs. #33 Michigan State (needs to be top 30)
at #80 Northwestern (needs to be top 75)

Safe
vs. #69 Kansas State (51-100 keeps it)
vs. #46 Notre Dame (31-75 keeps it)
at #104 Minnesota (76-135 keeps it)

"Bubble" to Move DOWN
None

QUAD 3
"Bubble" to Move to Quad 2

vs. #83 Rutgers (needs to be top 75)
vs. #80 Northwestern (needs to be top 75)

I don't think the Committee will live and die by the NET rankings/Quad system, but ... in short, our resume could receive a relatively massive boost if Michigan/MSU could sneak back into the top 30, and RU/NU could sneak into the top 75. Here are those teams' remaining games:

MICH: vs. #33 MSU, vs. #18 IOWA, at #20 OSU ... murder's row, so a lot could change!
MSU: at #37 MICH, at #20 OSU, vs. #90 UMD ... could going 2-1 with a loss to OSU sneak them in?
NU: at #18 IOWA, vs. #104 MINN ... I think they'd have to go 2-0 to become top 75.
RUT: at #44 IND, vs. #94 PSU ... road win at IU would be huge and actually might get the job done?

I can't say I understand the NET rankings enough to predict movement, haha. However, from looking at that list, it seems like we want Iowa to lose just enough to remain top 30 but to allow Michigan and NU to gain some upward movement off of victories over the Hawkeyes. It seems like a no-brainer to root for Rutgers.
 
#13      
The polls make literally no sense sometimes. We lose to #22 OSU at home, who then goes on to lose at unranked/barely .500 Maryland by 15 ... and drops from #22 to #23. That indicates the voters thought a win at Illinois was impressive enough to effectively outweigh getting whooped in College Park. However, we respond to our 3-point loss by going on the road and winning vs. a top 40 NET Michigan team and we drop 5 spots. Lol.
 
#16      
AP poll is so bad....good thing it doesn't matter
Regarding the new AP poll, the headline on CBS Sports includes "...but wild weekend leads to new-look top 10 in AP Top 25"

Which means, as usual, even with a loss....Duke is moving up. I'm almost surprised that the AP voters didn't find a way to move ND football up a couple of spots.
 
#18      
Right on that 3/4 seed line right now...it's close. We should go 2-0 this week which would guarantee a top 4 seed. I think the dream would be to get a 3 seed in the same region that providence has the 2. Would be an amazing matchup for us
 
#19      
My computer background is still this photo of what turned out to be the last game of 2020, with Ayo, Kofi, Trent, Giorgi and Andres walking off the SFC court triumphantly with Luka Garza flopped down on the ground, but if I have reason to change that after this Sunday, I'm OK with that.

 
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#21      
So pretty much everyone loses a game in the top ten and don’t move. We do, to a ranked team, and drop five spots. Lol. Never change AP.

Wonder what Duke’s record would be if Paulo missed five games?
 
#23      
One starts to see the point of those who claim the rankings don't matter, and not just because they dropped us 5 spots. These rankings are a mess. Partly it's due to recent chaotic outcomes, but still...
 
#24      
The polls make literally no sense sometimes. We lose to #22 OSU at home, who then goes on to lose at unranked/barely .500 Maryland by 15 ... and drops from #22 to #23. That indicates the voters thought a win at Illinois was impressive enough to effectively outweigh getting whooped in College Park. However, we respond to our 3-point loss by going on the road and winning vs. a top 40 NET Michigan team and we drop 5 spots. Lol.
Honestly, I would rather the team progress to its final, better form even if we are ranked a little lower and get a slightly worse seed.

We are finally healthy. Curbelo is working through his kinks. And Coleman Hawkins is blossoming into exactly what this team needs. Throw in the growth of RJ and I think we’re a better team today than we were at earlier points in the season. As long as we’re not a 7 or 8 seed, I think we’re built for a nice run.
 
#25      
Right on that 3/4 seed line right now...it's close. We should go 2-0 this week which would guarantee a top 4 seed. I think the dream would be to get a 3 seed in the same region that providence has the 2. Would be an amazing matchup for us
It would be nice to see that scenario. But they are not going to do us any favors. We will get Kentucky, Kansas or Duke as the 2 seed if we are the 3 seed. I believe they will hand us KU or UK as there is a storyline to both. But we need to win out and get to the B1G final to have a chance for a three and we may need to win the tourney to get a high 3 Or low 2.
 
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